玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/10159.30.17.51591.5210.08476.61N/A0.444.35-
2024/9159.130.610.881432.2210.38472.020.170.433.91-
2024/8158.182.248.621273.0910.32479.580.160.433.48-
2024/7154.71-7.198.371114.9110.56481.720.160.663.05-
2024/6166.693.9710.51960.2110.92477.440.140.432.39-
2024/5160.326.578.49793.5111.01471.450.140.391.95-
2024/4150.43-6.399.91633.1911.67463.610.140.41.56-
2024/3160.75.3911.09482.7712.23482.770.130.41.16-
2024/2152.48-10.0811.01322.0612.8492.870.130.340.76-
2024/1169.59-0.7114.46169.5914.46557.40.120.420.42-
2023/12170.81-21.289.521833.486.46535.990.150.584.69-
2023/11217.0146.455.021662.676.16508.690.160.44.11-
2023/10148.183.253.31445.666.33437.30.190.343.71-
2023/9143.51-1.455.631297.496.69431.870.170.353.37-
2023/8145.622.017.491153.986.83439.20.170.383.02-
2023/7142.75-5.367.031008.366.73441.350.170.392.64-
2023/6150.842.075.17865.626.68435.460.150.432.26-
2023/5147.777.975.13714.787.01429.280.150.381.83-
2023/4136.86-5.385.66567.017.51418.860.160.361.45-
2023/3144.655.318.14430.158.11430.150.180.381.09-
2023/2137.35-7.2811.85285.58.09441.450.180.360.71-
2023/1148.15-5.04.82148.154.82510.730.150.350.35-
2022/12155.95-24.5212.971722.0610.31506.010.160.344.35-
2022/11206.6344.0512.891566.1110.05485.910.170.374.01-
2022/10143.435.5811.361359.489.63414.750.20.323.63-
2022/9135.850.2811.191216.059.43404.680.180.343.31-
2022/8135.471.577.591080.29.21412.250.180.372.97-
2022/7133.37-7.06.0944.749.45417.340.180.382.6-
2022/6143.412.034.83811.3710.04413.490.140.42.22-
2022/5140.568.524.07667.9511.22403.830.140.381.81-
2022/4129.52-3.1615.25527.413.29386.070.150.361.43-
2022/3133.758.9114.01397.8812.67397.880.150.371.07-
2022/2122.8-13.1110.67264.1312.0402.170.150.330.7-
2022/1141.332.3813.18141.3313.18462.40.130.370.37-
2021/12138.04-24.578.511561.117.49449.860.140.374.18-
2021/11183.0342.1119.871423.0518.44434.00.150.343.82-
2021/10128.795.4123.431240.0318.24376.870.170.33.47-
2021/9122.18-2.9619.841111.2317.66373.90.170.333.18-
2021/8125.910.0718.08989.0617.4388.510.160.372.85-
2021/7125.81-8.0221.14863.1517.3397.650.160.392.47-
2021/6136.791.2928.9737.3416.67384.210.10.412.09-
2021/5135.0520.1724.82600.5514.21364.730.110.361.67-
2021/4112.37-4.213.38465.511.46340.640.120.331.31-
2021/3117.315.7211.69353.1310.86353.130.130.340.98-
2021/2110.96-11.135.22235.8210.45363.020.130.290.64-
2021/1124.86-1.8415.55124.8615.55404.750.120.350.35-
2020/12127.21-16.6814.761328.616.78384.240.150.234.15-
2020/11152.6946.3321.511201.46.0358.980.160.323.92-
2020/10104.342.35-0.231048.724.06312.920.180.313.6-
2020/9101.95-4.38-1.61944.374.56312.430.160.313.29-
2020/8106.632.665.42842.435.36316.60.150.342.99-
2020/7103.86-2.130.34735.85.35318.170.150.372.64-
2020/6106.12-1.917.23631.946.23313.420.120.372.27-
2020/5108.199.167.73525.826.03312.320.120.381.9-
2020/499.1-5.632.42417.635.59309.580.120.361.52-
2020/3105.03-0.395.77318.536.62318.530.120.371.16-
2020/2105.45-2.4111.81213.57.05324.340.120.380.8-
2020/1108.06-2.512.78108.062.78344.550.110.410.41-
2019/12110.84-11.784.31244.214.790.0N/A0.334.45-
2019/11125.6520.1412.591133.374.830.0N/A0.384.12-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/1169.592023/1148.152022/1141.332021/1124.862020/1108.06
2024/2152.482023/2137.352022/2122.82021/2110.962020/2105.45
2024/3160.72023/3144.652022/3133.752021/3117.312020/3105.03
2024/4150.432023/4136.862022/4129.522021/4112.372020/499.1
2024/5160.322023/5147.772022/5140.562021/5135.052020/5108.19
2024/6166.692023/6150.842022/6143.412021/6136.792020/6106.12
2024/7154.712023/7142.752022/7133.372021/7125.812020/7103.86
2024/8158.182023/8145.622022/8135.472021/8125.912020/8106.63
2024/9159.132023/9143.512022/9135.852021/9122.182020/9101.95
2024/10159.32023/10148.182022/10143.432021/10128.792020/10104.34
N/AN/A2023/11217.012022/11206.632021/11183.032020/11152.69
N/AN/A2023/12170.812022/12155.952021/12138.042020/12127.21
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 7.17%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)26.68-1.443.75
24Q2 (19)27.060.4137.29
24Q1 (18)26.95-0.341.47
23Q4 (17)27.0345.6420.45
23Q3 (16)18.56-5.83-0.05
23Q2 (15)19.713.46-2.14
23Q1 (14)19.05-15.11-0.1
22Q4 (13)22.4420.8418.42
22Q3 (12)18.57-7.87.03
22Q2 (11)20.145.6115.61
22Q1 (10)19.070.639.22
21Q4 (9)18.959.22-4.92
21Q3 (8)17.35-0.4-8.68
21Q2 (7)17.42-0.23-5.22
21Q1 (6)17.46-12.39-8.2
20Q4 (5)19.934.895.17
20Q3 (4)19.03.370.0
20Q2 (3)18.38-3.360.0
20Q1 (2)19.020.370.0
19Q4 (1)18.950.00.0

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