玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/102.65-18.750.7428.4232.538.99N/A-
2024/93.265.7325.325.7736.979.210.88-
2024/83.087.3523.822.5138.859.140.89-
2024/72.87-9.9519.0819.4341.588.740.93-
2024/63.1918.9148.0616.5646.378.770.88-
2024/52.68-7.443.9813.3745.988.590.89-
2024/42.9-3.8148.7710.6946.498.30.93-
2024/33.0126.170.437.7945.667.791.02主係部分高階硬碟機種已進入量產出貨致營收與去年同期相比增加。
2024/22.39-0.132.644.7833.437.281.09-
2024/12.39-4.5534.242.3934.247.51.06-
2023/122.5-4.0433.8126.56-17.67.741.04-
2023/112.61-0.7146.3524.05-20.777.841.03-
2023/102.631.056.6121.44-24.967.721.04-
2023/92.64.4624.118.81-27.957.51.13-
2023/82.493.27-0.0416.21-32.497.051.2-
2023/72.4111.946.113.72-36.246.431.32-
2023/62.1515.64-31.7511.31-41.245.961.7-
2023/51.86-4.32-41.589.16-43.115.581.82-
2023/41.9510.18-39.727.29-43.485.511.84-
2023/31.77-1.85-53.15.35-44.745.352.12主係全球消費性電子市場終端需求趨緩,客戶去化內部庫存影響,致使營收較去年同期衰退。
2023/21.81.1-36.13.58-39.415.452.08-
2023/11.78-4.86-42.431.78-42.435.442.09-
2022/121.874.94-54.8432.23-22.496.122.12疫情影響下市場需求疲弱,客戶去化內部庫存影響營收較去年同期衰退。
2022/111.78-27.67-56.5730.36-18.916.342.04疫情影響下市場需求疲弱,客戶去化內部庫存影響營收較去年同期衰退。
2022/102.4717.63-42.8428.58-14.287.051.84-
2022/92.1-15.86-44.6726.11-10.036.862.15-
2022/82.499.62-31.3724.01-4.837.921.87-
2022/72.27-27.99-28.8721.52-0.378.621.72-
2022/63.16-1.01-16.5319.254.579.571.51-
2022/53.19-1.28-0.2216.110.0210.191.42-
2022/43.23-14.2618.4112.9112.899.811.47-
2022/33.7733.7118.959.6811.169.681.39-
2022/22.82-8.9125.235.916.7110.051.34-
2022/13.09-25.37-5.953.09-5.9511.341.19-
2021/124.140.9232.841.596.9212.570.89-
2021/114.11-4.8123.3437.444.6612.210.92-
2021/104.3113.8736.233.342.7411.730.96-
2021/93.794.3716.429.02-0.8610.611.03-
2021/83.6313.6224.7525.23-3.0210.611.03-
2021/73.19-15.518.921.6-6.5210.171.08-
2021/63.7818.32-2.9518.41-9.879.70.97-
2021/53.217.166.2214.63-11.59.091.04-
2021/42.73-13.8724.911.43-15.448.141.16-
2021/33.1740.76-22.858.71-23.218.710.83-
2021/22.25-31.59-35.335.54-23.428.660.83-
2021/13.295.38-12.383.29-12.389.740.74-
2020/123.12-6.26-28.9438.9-28.039.620.7-
2020/113.335.1-34.3935.77-27.959.750.69-
2020/103.17-2.68-30.432.44-27.229.330.72-
2020/93.2511.85-25.1229.28-26.858.850.94-
2020/82.918.3-37.826.02-27.079.490.88-
2020/72.69-31.04-41.7923.11-25.459.590.87-
2020/63.929.5317.4720.43-22.599.091.05-
2020/53.0137.75-23.0616.53-28.359.31.02-
2020/42.18-46.8-54.7313.52-29.439.770.97由於馬來西亞受到COVID-19影響宣布封城,該期間馬來西亞廠無法正常進行生產和出貨,導致營收較去年同期衰退。
2020/34.117.98-10.4811.34-20.9111.340.83-
2020/23.48-7.31-19.697.23-25.8211.630.81-
2020/13.75-14.53-30.713.75-30.7113.220.71-
2019/124.39-13.45-15.9454.05-20.350.0N/A-
2019/115.0711.5-11.2449.65-20.720.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/12.392023/11.782022/13.092021/13.292020/13.75
2024/22.392023/21.82022/22.822021/22.252020/23.48
2024/33.012023/31.772022/33.772021/33.172020/34.1
2024/42.92023/41.952022/43.232021/42.732020/42.18
2024/52.682023/51.862022/53.192021/53.22020/53.01
2024/63.192023/62.152022/63.162021/63.782020/63.9
2024/72.872023/72.412022/72.272021/73.192020/72.69
2024/83.082023/82.492022/82.492021/83.632020/82.91
2024/93.262023/92.62022/92.12021/93.792020/93.25
2024/102.652023/102.632022/102.472021/104.312020/103.17
N/AN/A2023/112.612022/111.782021/114.112020/113.33
N/AN/A2023/122.52022/121.872021/124.142020/123.12
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季
合約負債 QoQ YoY

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