玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/114.1479.9858.1331.25-10.419.26N/A客戶需求增加所致
2024/102.3-18.12-45.0327.11-15.988.58N/A-
2024/92.81-18.78-40.6724.8-11.6410.410.91-
2024/83.46-16.29-15.8621.99-5.7410.420.91-
2024/74.1446.6615.1318.53-3.589.720.97-
2024/62.821.9620.5114.39-7.887.761.1-
2024/52.7727.4647.7211.57-12.897.291.17-
2024/42.17-7.99-21.798.81-22.836.951.23-
2024/32.36-2.59-16.626.64-23.176.641.34-
2024/22.4230.48-26.394.28-26.367.451.2-
2024/11.86-41.5-26.321.86-26.327.651.17-
2023/123.1721.07-41.5838.06-33.879.980.88-
2023/112.62-37.43-63.1234.88-33.0711.550.76客戶需求不如預期,調整訂單。
2023/104.19-11.63-34.9132.26-28.3213.040.68-
2023/94.7415.17-27.9728.07-27.2212.451.06-
2023/84.1214.55-35.5523.33-27.0710.051.31-
2023/73.5953.5-40.7219.22-24.967.811.69-
2023/62.3424.98-62.4415.63-20.076.991.85市場需求不如預期,客戶調整訂單。
2023/51.87-32.51-46.9113.28-0.247.481.73-
2023/42.77-1.9137.9411.4116.568.891.46-
2023/32.83-14.0116.048.6411.048.641.65-
2023/23.2930.6149.365.818.7511.241.27-
2023/12.52-53.62-19.732.52-19.7315.060.95-
2022/125.43-23.5676.0357.5545.818.970.61因疫情趨緩及市場缺料情況也逐漸趨緩,故本月營收金額較去年同期增加。
2022/117.1110.41102.7152.1243.2420.120.57因疫情趨緩及市場缺料情況也逐漸趨緩,故本月營收金額較去年同期增加。
2022/106.44-2.2173.3345.0136.919.40.59因疫情趨緩及市場缺料情況也逐漸趨緩,故本月營收金額較去年同期增加。
2022/96.583.0586.3638.5832.2619.030.89因疫情趨緩及市場缺料情況也逐漸趨緩,故本月營收金額較去年同期增加。
2022/86.395.35112.2132.024.8118.680.9因疫情趨緩及市場缺料情況也逐漸趨緩,故本月營收金額較去年同期增加。
2022/76.06-2.73134.6325.6113.1915.821.07因疫情趨緩及市場缺料情況也逐漸趨緩,故本月營收金額較去年同期增加。
2022/66.2376.6692.9919.55-2.4611.771.0因疫情趨緩及市場缺料情況也逐漸趨緩,故本月營收金額較去年同期增加。
2022/53.5375.3512.2713.32-20.797.981.48-
2022/42.01-17.48-35.19.79-28.396.651.77-
2022/32.4410.67-29.887.78-26.427.781.15-
2022/22.2-29.81-16.625.34-24.728.431.06-
2022/13.141.7-29.533.14-29.539.730.92-
2021/123.09-11.97-33.2539.47-18.2310.30.53-
2021/113.51-5.58-27.5336.38-16.6410.750.51-
2021/103.715.13-14.6332.88-15.2810.250.53-
2021/93.5317.35-15.129.17-15.369.120.78-
2021/83.0116.48-32.1625.63-15.398.820.81-
2021/72.58-19.99-36.8722.63-12.528.950.8-
2021/63.232.77-21.9420.04-7.949.470.62-
2021/53.141.35-15.2416.81-4.669.720.6-
2021/43.1-10.83-33.2113.67-1.849.220.63-
2021/33.4831.59-8.5810.5713.8310.570.52-
2021/22.64-40.6731.397.129.3711.720.47-
2021/14.45-3.6628.214.4528.2113.910.4-
2020/124.62-4.445.6248.27-15.413.810.38-
2020/114.8411.2220.4443.65-17.1413.350.39-
2020/104.354.54-16.3938.81-20.2512.950.4-
2020/94.16-6.23-18.4534.46-20.7112.690.5-
2020/84.448.39-12.1630.3-21.0112.670.5-
2020/74.09-1.07-13.325.86-22.3511.940.53-
2020/64.1411.6-16.9821.77-23.8412.490.46-
2020/53.71-20.13-13.0317.64-25.2912.150.47-
2020/44.6422.059.2113.93-27.9910.460.55-
2020/33.889.14-8.479.29-38.479.290.73-
2020/22.01-42.11-51.05.48-49.879.860.69因武漢肺炎影響,本公司大陸廠區延至2/19日才陸續復工,故造成今年2月營收較去年同期減少。
2020/13.47-20.63-49.193.47-49.190.0N/A-
2019/124.388.96-38.8157.06-33.60.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/11.862023/12.522022/13.142021/14.452020/13.47
2024/22.422023/23.292022/22.22021/22.642020/22.01
2024/32.362023/32.832022/32.442021/33.482020/33.8
2024/42.172023/42.772022/42.012021/43.12020/44.64
2024/52.772023/51.872022/53.532021/53.142020/53.71
2024/62.822023/62.342022/66.232021/63.232020/64.14
2024/74.142023/73.592022/76.062021/72.582020/74.09
2024/83.462023/84.122022/86.392021/83.012020/84.44
2024/92.812023/94.742022/96.582021/93.532020/94.16
2024/102.32023/104.192022/106.442021/103.712020/104.35
2024/114.142023/112.622022/117.112021/113.512020/114.84
N/AN/A2023/123.172022/125.432021/123.092020/124.62
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 1.57%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.52-22.3923.81
24Q2 (19)0.6739.58-42.24
24Q1 (18)0.48-2.04-48.94
23Q4 (17)0.4916.67-15.52
23Q3 (16)0.42-63.790.0
23Q2 (15)1.1623.4222.22
23Q1 (14)0.9462.07108.89
22Q4 (13)0.5838.170.59
22Q3 (12)0.4216.6727.27
22Q2 (11)0.36-20.0-2.7
22Q1 (10)0.4532.3540.62
21Q4 (9)0.343.03-35.85
21Q3 (8)0.33-10.81-19.51
21Q2 (7)0.3715.622.78
21Q1 (6)0.32-39.62-28.89
20Q4 (5)0.5329.2739.47
20Q3 (4)0.4113.890.0
20Q2 (3)0.36-20.00.0
20Q1 (2)0.4518.420.0
19Q4 (1)0.380.00.0

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