玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/105.270.7516.5949.8520.1315.6N/A-
2024/95.232.447.5444.5820.5615.910.67-
2024/85.1-8.5112.4539.3522.5315.490.69-
2024/75.5816.0130.5834.2524.1915.370.69-
2024/64.81-3.6216.5828.6723.0215.10.71-
2024/54.99-5.8926.123.8724.415.280.7-
2024/45.36.1535.3618.8823.9614.080.76-
2024/34.9932.025.9813.5820.0113.580.83-
2024/23.78-21.2516.288.5930.0312.550.9-
2024/14.821.0143.374.843.3713.660.82-
2023/123.97-18.7827.8650.4120.6113.370.77-
2023/114.898.1849.0946.4420.0314.250.72-
2023/104.52-6.7725.1841.5517.3413.90.74-
2023/94.846.7734.5137.0416.4513.650.66-
2023/84.546.2264.6332.1914.1413.010.69因中國地區2022年疫情嚴峻導致工廠停工,客戶出貨延期,則2023年恢復正常供應,另因今年美元匯率升值,故因此導致營收與去年有所差異
2023/74.271.6946.5927.668.6712.430.72-
2023/64.26.1719.4223.383.7712.070.77-
2023/53.961.01-8.9519.190.8812.580.74-
2023/43.92-16.8815.7615.233.7911.880.78-
2023/34.7144.857.2611.310.211.310.91-
2023/23.25-2.9129.096.6-4.289.711.06-
2023/13.357.93-23.493.35-23.499.731.06-
2022/123.1-5.29-16.3641.79-9.299.990.97-
2022/113.28-9.16-17.4538.69-8.6810.490.93-
2022/103.610.17-2.2735.41-7.779.970.97-
2022/93.630.68-17.5331.8-8.359.271.12-
2022/82.76-5.41-23.7128.2-7.039.191.13-
2022/72.91-17.14-18.3225.45-4.7810.770.96-
2022/63.52-19.05-10.2522.53-2.6911.240.91-
2022/54.3428.4325.8319.02-1.1512.120.85-
2022/43.38-22.98-24.5414.67-7.0610.291.0-
2022/34.3974.3317.5411.29-0.1211.290.87-
2022/22.52-42.46-25.526.9-8.8510.610.92-
2022/14.3817.994.614.384.6112.060.81-
2021/123.71-6.520.9846.088.0811.370.8-
2021/113.977.535.3142.378.7512.030.76-
2021/103.69-15.46-2.0338.49.1211.670.78-
2021/94.3720.8917.8534.7110.4511.550.79-
2021/83.611.26-4.1330.349.4711.10.82-
2021/73.57-8.960.9526.7311.6110.940.84-
2021/63.9213.492.1123.1613.4511.850.85-
2021/53.45-22.98-14.8619.2416.0811.670.87-
2021/44.4819.97-7.0515.7926.111.60.87-
2021/33.7410.46-2.1611.346.8811.30.87-
2021/23.38-19.18144.267.5795.211.240.88COVID-19影響增加筆電銷售量
2021/14.1913.8967.944.1967.9411.630.85COVID-19影響增加筆電銷售量
2020/123.67-2.5235.3442.6324.8811.210.77-
2020/113.770.0331.038.9623.9811.240.77-
2020/103.771.6919.3435.1923.2711.240.77-
2020/93.71-1.6521.3731.4223.7611.010.69-
2020/83.776.6312.8827.7124.0911.140.69-
2020/73.53-7.918.3823.9526.0611.430.67-
2020/63.84-5.3727.9920.4129.7212.720.5-
2020/54.06-15.9131.6116.5730.1312.70.5-
2020/44.8226.2887.0412.5229.6510.030.63因應疫情而實施遠距管理或教學,使筆電需求增加,另新事業產品營收增加
2020/33.82175.7939.747.78.757.70.92因武漢肺炎延至本月出貨
2020/21.38-44.43-21.613.88-10.756.591.08-
2020/12.49-8.2-3.32.49-3.38.090.88-
2019/122.72-5.6426.0734.1411.040.0N/A-
2019/112.88-8.86-5.0531.429.910.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/14.82023/13.352022/14.382021/14.192020/12.49
2024/23.782023/23.252022/22.522021/23.382020/21.38
2024/34.992023/34.712022/34.392021/33.742020/33.82
2024/45.32023/43.922022/43.382021/44.482020/44.82
2024/54.992023/53.962022/54.342021/53.452020/54.06
2024/64.812023/64.22022/63.522021/63.922020/63.84
2024/75.582023/74.272022/72.912021/73.572020/73.53
2024/85.12023/84.542022/82.762021/83.612020/83.77
2024/95.232023/94.842022/93.62021/94.372020/93.71
2024/105.272023/104.522022/103.612021/103.692020/103.77
N/AN/A2023/114.892022/113.282021/113.972020/113.77
N/AN/A2023/123.972022/123.12021/123.712020/123.67
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 0.08%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.01-83.33-97.14
24Q2 (19)0.06100.0-88.0
24Q1 (18)0.03-92.86-94.64
23Q4 (17)0.4220.0133.33
23Q3 (16)0.35-30.0-18.6
23Q2 (15)0.5-10.71-23.08
23Q1 (14)0.56211.11833.33
22Q4 (13)0.18-58.14200.0
22Q3 (12)0.43-33.85616.67
22Q2 (11)0.65983.332066.67
22Q1 (10)0.060.050.0
21Q4 (9)0.060.050.0
21Q3 (8)0.06100.0500.0
21Q2 (7)0.03-25.0200.0
21Q1 (6)0.040.00
20Q4 (5)0.04300.0-78.95
20Q3 (4)0.010.00.0
20Q2 (3)0.0100.0

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