玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/103.31-7.8518.8928.4714.7610.57N/A-
2024/93.6-1.8616.2825.1514.2410.410.51-
2024/83.6616.4111.7921.5613.919.50.56-
2024/73.1517.0622.4517.8914.358.470.63-
2024/62.691.9811.0514.7512.767.920.64-
2024/52.641.42-3.2812.0613.157.760.65-
2024/42.63.0927.889.4218.796.950.73-
2024/32.5237.5611.376.8215.666.820.73-
2024/21.83-25.782.964.318.346.760.74-
2024/12.470.533.092.4733.097.70.65-
2023/122.46-11.4823.9330.0415.158.020.61-
2023/112.78-0.3735.5427.5814.438.650.57-
2023/102.79-9.8727.5524.812.469.160.54-
2023/93.09-5.6540.322.0210.818.940.49-
2023/83.2827.5164.318.927.138.270.53進入傳統旺季以及訂單需求增加,故本月營收成長。
2023/72.576.1735.715.65-0.147.720.57-
2023/62.42-11.185.9513.08-5.077.180.56-
2023/52.7334.113.1210.66-7.267.020.57-
2023/42.03-10.2118.387.93-12.676.080.66-
2023/32.2627.17-18.05.9-19.915.90.71-
2023/21.78-4.07-22.863.64-21.055.620.75-
2023/11.86-6.4-19.241.86-19.245.890.71-
2022/121.98-3.19-22.7626.08-13.526.220.7-
2022/112.05-6.24-29.8224.1-12.666.440.68-
2022/102.18-0.86-11.3122.05-10.646.380.68-
2022/92.210.48-24.9719.87-10.566.090.82-
2022/81.995.32-27.3517.66-8.376.170.81-
2022/71.89-17.1-31.5715.67-5.216.590.76-
2022/62.28-5.17-5.713.780.086.410.9-
2022/52.4140.3412.611.491.316.890.84-
2022/41.72-37.81-29.359.08-1.36.780.85-
2022/32.7619.638.937.378.757.370.75-
2022/22.310.4250.154.618.647.170.77因本年度訂單需求提高故營收較去年同期增加
2022/12.3-10.49-14.952.3-14.957.780.71-
2021/122.57-12.0412.6530.1616.087.950.63-
2021/112.9218.4720.0227.616.418.320.6-
2021/102.46-16.121.624.6816.08.150.62-
2021/92.946.9618.022.2217.868.450.58-
2021/82.75-0.7917.7719.2817.837.940.62-
2021/72.7714.2321.3316.5317.847.330.67-
2021/62.4213.2311.1713.7717.176.990.7-
2021/52.14-11.94-4.6711.3418.537.10.69-
2021/42.43-4.1-6.169.225.646.50.75-
2021/32.5364.92.176.7743.046.770.7-
2021/21.54-43.1268.184.2488.026.520.72本期訂單需求增加以及去年受疫情因素影響,故二期比較有較大之變動。
2021/12.718.57101.542.7101.547.410.64本年訂單需求增加以及去年受春節連假因素,故二期比較有較大之變動。
2020/122.28-6.2915.2125.9818.57.130.6-
2020/112.430.2932.1723.7118.837.350.58-
2020/102.42-2.584.2321.2717.487.240.59-
2020/92.496.754.3718.8519.437.10.54-
2020/82.332.20.5416.3622.116.790.56-
2020/72.284.6724.4214.0326.626.70.57-
2020/62.18-2.9120.5811.7527.067.010.45-
2020/52.24-13.3222.039.5728.637.310.43-
2020/42.594.4179.547.3230.85.980.52因銷售產品組合變動及市場需求強勁,故本月較去年同期增加79%
2020/32.48171.4470.74.7313.894.730.6因2月受疫情影響延後拉貨,累計營收與去年同期比較成長幅度並無較大變動
2020/20.91-31.83-18.552.25-16.634.220.67-
2020/11.34-31.89-15.261.34-15.265.150.55-
2019/121.976.9832.5521.9223.270.0N/A-
2019/111.84-20.912.7219.9522.430.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/12.472023/11.862022/12.32021/12.72020/11.34
2024/21.832023/21.782022/22.312021/21.542020/20.91
2024/32.522023/32.262022/32.762021/32.532020/32.48
2024/42.62023/42.032022/41.722021/42.432020/42.59
2024/52.642023/52.732022/52.412021/52.142020/52.24
2024/62.692023/62.422022/62.282021/62.422020/62.18
2024/73.152023/72.572022/71.892021/72.772020/72.28
2024/83.662023/83.282022/81.992021/82.752020/82.33
2024/93.62023/93.092022/92.22021/92.942020/92.49
2024/103.312023/102.792022/102.182021/102.462020/102.42
N/AN/A2023/112.782022/112.052021/112.922020/112.43
N/AN/A2023/122.462022/121.982021/122.572020/122.28
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季
合約負債 QoQ YoY

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