玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 理想的成長型公司, 本業EPS的成長幅度會大於營收的成長幅度
  • 營收到某個數字後, 本業EPS呈現不成比例的增加, 有可能是規模經濟的效應
  • 如果是有淡旺季的公司, 是否有淡季不淡, 旺季更旺的情況
  • 漲很多的股票要留意 EPS 較上季是否有大幅衰退的情況
  • 如果EPS衰退,要觀察同業是不是有一樣的狀況
  • 要留意增資減資和公司債對股本及EPS的影響
成長能力-近20季
加權平均股數 QoQ YoYEPS QoQ YoY本業EPS QoQ YoY累計EPS QoQ YoY營收 QoQ YoY毛利率(%) QoQ YoY營業利益率 QoQ YoY稅後淨利率 QoQ YoY營業利益 QoQ YoY稅後淨利 QoQ YoY稅前淨利率(%) QoQ YoY稅後淨利率(%) QoQ YoY兩季平均(YOY)營收成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)EPS成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)本業EPS成長率(%)
24Q3 (20)640.00.00.64-65.78-68.930.94-36.49-31.884.3117.4430.214.62-27.47-21.4324.01-9.09-12.8815.15-25.37-26.18.90-52.89-60.510.7-45.74-42.150.41-65.83-69.1711.13-53.91-60.58.90-52.89-60.51-7.56-30.955.75
24Q2 (19)640.00.01.873.89-31.51.4848.0-4.523.67103.89193.66.3712.357.4226.41-0.716.5820.3016.07-7.0918.89-7.76-36.291.2930.3-0.771.23.45-31.8224.15-9.62-30.6818.89-7.76-36.296.3575.239.46
24Q1 (18)640.00.01.80146.58221.621.00-29.08-13.791.80-55.45221.625.670.3537.2926.604.5626.0717.49-2.18-21.1520.48147.04188.810.99-1.987.611.16146.81222.1126.72157.92242.7420.48147.04188.81-1.7841.01-13.45
23Q4 (17)640.00.00.73-64.56217.391.412.17131.154.0422.05-18.385.65-3.9152.725.44-7.6949.6517.88-12.7857.538.29-63.22108.821.01-16.53140.480.47-64.66213.3310.36-63.24109.728.29-63.22108.82-2.38-44.55-4.40
23Q3 (16)640.00.02.06-24.5468.851.38-10.97762.53.31164.8-29.875.88-0.8428.127.5611.224.7920.50-6.18220.8122.54-23.9831.351.21-6.92317.241.33-24.4368.3528.18-19.1231.3822.54-23.9831.3521.37129.9611.32
23Q2 (15)640.00.02.73284.4640.721.5533.629.151.25184.46-64.295.9343.58-19.4324.7817.44-11.2121.85-1.4929.7529.65228.5875.131.341.34.841.76285.2640.834.84286.1162.4229.65228.5875.1327.60-229.5161.89
23Q1 (14)640.00.0-1.48-743.48-194.871.1690.1619.59-1.48-129.9-194.874.1311.62-39.0921.1024.1217.8822.1895.4278.15-23.06-680.86-255.50.92119.059.52-0.95-733.33-194.06-18.72-478.95-203.25-23.06-680.86-255.5-3.89-412.31185.70
22Q4 (13)640.00.00.23-81.15-80.990.61281.25-50.414.954.8738.273.7-19.39-47.6717.00-35.36-21.0811.3577.62-18.73.97-76.86-63.910.4244.83-57.580.15-81.01-80.774.94-76.97-64.363.97-76.86-63.91-28.52-59.1396.26
22Q3 (12)640.00.01.22-37.11250.620.16-88.73-90.064.7234.8699.164.59-37.64-39.3726.30-5.7715.766.39-62.05-62.8517.161.36349.780.29-76.61-77.690.79-36.8251.9221.450.0742.2217.161.36349.78-14.54-6.38-21.17
22Q2 (11)640.00.01.9424.368.381.4246.39-33.643.50124.3610.067.368.55-8.1127.9155.928.1416.8435.26-18.0916.9314.1617.811.2447.62-24.851.2523.768.721.4518.3120.116.9314.1617.812.2326.6412.62
22Q1 (10)640.00.01.5628.9312.230.97-21.14-35.331.56-56.4212.236.78-4.13.8317.90-16.9-26.9412.45-10.82-30.8714.8334.828.170.84-15.15-28.811.0129.4912.2218.1330.815.7814.8334.828.17-5.36139.16-22.37
21Q4 (9)640.00.01.21249.38-23.421.23-23.6-39.113.5851.05-28.697.07-6.61-7.8221.54-5.19-18.1313.96-18.84-30.7911.00260.12-16.920.99-23.85-36.130.78250.0-22.7713.86514.97-16.2511.00260.12-16.92-6.0552.06-24.19
21Q3 (8)640.00.0-0.81-145.25-158.71.61-24.77-3.592.37-25.47-31.37.57-5.493.8422.72-11.97-1.1317.20-16.34-3.26-6.87-147.81-156.271.3-21.210.0-0.52-145.22-158.43-3.34-118.7-121.89-6.87-147.81-156.278.59-58.238.95
21Q2 (7)640.0-1.541.7928.78163.242.1442.67135.163.18128.7853.628.0122.6673.7525.815.3515.2220.5614.1640.6314.374.8150.311.6539.83146.271.1527.78161.3617.864.254.914.374.8150.313.908.388.47
21Q1 (6)640.00.01.39-12.030.721.50-25.7429.311.39-72.310.726.53-14.8621.3824.50-6.881.7418.01-10.710.3313.713.55-17.161.18-23.8721.650.9-10.891.1217.143.56-17.1613.713.55-17.16-4.821.23-2.39
20Q4 (5)640.00.01.5814.49125.712.0220.9674.145.0245.5119.817.675.2153.7126.3114.4916.9320.1713.4420.5613.248.4445.811.5519.2386.751.0113.48124.4416.558.4551.1413.248.4445.81--0.00
20Q3 (4)64-1.540.01.38102.940.01.6783.520.03.4566.670.07.2958.130.022.982.590.017.7821.610.012.2127.720.01.394.030.00.89102.270.015.2632.350.012.2127.720.0--0.00
20Q2 (3)651.560.00.68-50.720.00.91-21.550.02.0750.00.04.61-14.310.022.40-6.980.014.62-18.550.09.56-42.240.00.67-30.930.00.44-50.560.011.53-44.270.09.56-42.240.0--0.00
20Q1 (2)640.00.01.3897.140.01.160.00.01.38-67.060.05.387.820.024.087.020.017.957.290.016.5582.270.00.9716.870.00.8997.780.020.6988.950.016.5582.270.0--0.00
19Q4 (1)640.00.00.700.00.01.160.00.04.190.00.04.990.00.022.500.00.016.730.00.09.080.00.00.830.00.00.450.00.010.950.00.09.080.00.0--0.00
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/111.42-14.21-20.9519.730.544.52N/A-
2024/101.6513.66-12.2918.312.74.81N/A-
2024/91.45-15.08-33.6916.664.474.620.36-
2024/81.7117.52-9.6915.2110.555.420.31-
2024/71.46-35.47-19.1913.513.786.020.28-
2024/62.26-2.3429.4612.0419.686.370.27-
2024/52.3127.635.579.7917.646.110.28-
2024/41.81-9.13-9.747.4821.945.420.32-
2024/31.9922.619.935.6737.325.670.33-
2024/21.62-20.9622.23.6849.025.660.33-
2024/12.053.9180.282.0580.285.820.32去年同期受景氣及客戶倉儲空間影響,需求減緩,造成基期較低;而今年1月份出貨金額略為回升,一增一減造成營收差異達50%以上。
2023/121.9810.3978.0921.6-3.745.650.32去年同期受景氣及客戶倉儲空間影響,需求減緩,造成基期較低;而今年12月份出貨金額略為回升,一增一減造成營收差異達50%以上。
2023/111.79-4.8234.619.62-8.015.860.31-
2023/101.88-14.0649.3417.83-10.845.970.3-
2023/92.1915.6477.5815.95-14.895.880.32去年同期受景氣及客戶倉儲空間影響,銷售不如預期,造成基期較低;而今年九月出貨略為回升,一增一減,造成營收差異達50%以上。
2023/81.895.1630.7913.76-21.45.440.35-
2023/71.83.38-5.7911.86-26.115.730.33-
2023/61.74-20.36-22.3210.06-28.865.930.33-
2023/52.199.11-12.728.32-30.095.850.34-
2023/42.020.73-23.346.13-34.724.990.4-
2023/31.6624.93-33.74.13-39.114.130.49-
2023/21.3316.59-30.12.47-42.283.580.56-
2023/11.142.65-52.031.14-52.033.580.56因市場需求變化及遇農曆春節假期間工作日減少,導致本期營業收入淨額較去年同期大幅減少。
2022/121.11-16.56-48.4422.44-23.13.70.5-
2022/111.335.59-47.2721.33-21.083.820.48-
2022/101.262.18-47.3820.0-18.383.940.47-
2022/91.23-14.82-50.8418.74-15.244.590.39較去年同期減少,主係終端市場需求減緩致使營收下滑。
2022/81.45-24.25-41.8717.51-10.685.60.32-
2022/71.91-14.75-25.5616.06-6.146.660.27-
2022/62.24-10.52-16.1714.15-2.717.360.27-
2022/52.51-4.16-7.011.90.317.630.26-
2022/42.624.42-0.859.42.467.020.28-
2022/32.531.71-2.666.783.796.780.31-
2022/21.9-19.980.964.287.996.430.33-
2022/12.3810.3314.362.3814.367.050.3-
2021/122.15-14.67-25.5329.1816.967.070.26-
2021/112.525.391.1427.0322.537.430.25-
2021/102.39-4.535.0724.525.267.390.25-
2021/92.510.7-12.7922.1127.927.570.3-
2021/82.49-2.9910.9519.636.057.730.29-
2021/72.57-3.9918.6317.1140.697.940.28-
2021/62.68-0.7461.5514.5445.468.010.28因疫情影響,客戶在網路通路的需求持續增加。
2021/52.692.1781.9111.8742.277.910.28因疫情影響,客戶在網路通路的需求持續增加。
2021/42.642.5178.529.1733.717.090.32因疫情影響,客戶在網路通路的需求持續增加。
2021/32.5736.6242.316.5321.416.530.32-
2021/21.88-9.36-0.643.9610.836.850.3-
2021/12.08-28.1623.792.0823.797.470.28-
2020/122.8915.973.1624.9529.097.670.21因逢傳統旺季且為防範海運櫃位日漸難搶且海運費持續上漲,客戶將部分需求提前於年底前拉貨以減少櫃位競爭及運費成本上漲的影響
2020/112.59.4848.022.0624.927.650.21-
2020/102.28-20.7739.8119.5622.487.40.22-
2020/92.8828.1384.1717.2820.517.290.22受疫情影響,國外消費模式改變,網路通路銷售為主之客戶需求目前處於高檔,及實體銷售通路客戶也因應傳統旺季來臨,需求也增加
2020/82.253.7146.4614.4112.736.070.27-
2020/72.1630.7349.0812.168.145.30.31-
2020/61.6611.779.410.02.074.610.34-
2020/51.480.26-16.238.340.734.770.33-
2020/41.48-18.27-0.216.865.345.180.3-
2020/31.81-4.614.155.386.975.380.29-
2020/21.912.9256.873.578.465.240.31.工作天數較多 2.客戶需求增加
2020/11.680.48-19.571.68-19.570.0N/A-
2019/121.67-0.93-0.2419.339.730.0N/A-
成長能力-近10年
加權平均股數 YoYEPS YoY本業EPS YoY營收 YoY毛利率(%) YoY營業利益率 YoY稅後淨利率 YoY營業利益 YoY稅前淨利 YoY稅後淨利 YoY
2023 (10)640.04.04-18.225.4573.5721.6-3.7425.019.8920.5164.4712.05-15.24.4358.213.54-11.062.6-18.5
2022 (9)640.04.9437.993.14-51.4722.44-23.122.76-3.8912.47-28.8214.2179.872.8-45.213.9821.343.1938.1
2021 (8)640.03.58-28.696.4711.9429.1816.9523.68-1.8617.52-2.57.90-39.095.1114.063.28-18.612.31-28.7
2020 (7)640.05.0220.15.7836.024.9529.0724.132.3317.971.7612.97-7.034.4831.384.0318.883.2420.0
2019 (6)640.04.18-6.494.2510.6819.339.7723.58-5.7617.66-2.013.95-14.843.417.573.39-6.092.7-6.57
2018 (5)640.04.47105.053.8423.4717.6126.8725.024.0318.027.7816.3861.383.1736.643.61107.472.89104.96
2017 (4)640.02.18-15.833.1111.0713.889.0324.05-7.2116.72-3.0710.15-22.582.325.451.74-15.941.41-15.57
2016 (3)640.02.59-16.992.804.0912.7315.4125.922.1717.252.7413.11-28.052.218.922.07-3.271.67-16.92
2015 (2)640.03.1253.692.6956.411.0326.7825.3714.3316.7932.8318.2221.141.8568.182.1463.362.0153.44
2014 (1)640.02.03420.511.72537.048.732.8222.19012.64015.0401.1633.331.31469.571.31424.0

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