玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.05-54.39-30.340.61-22.310.22N/A-
2024/90.161.5214.370.56-21.590.225.32-
2024/80.0632.09-12.450.46-26.840.196.25-
2024/70.05-31.9-45.030.39-28.860.196.1-
2024/60.073.5721.950.34-25.860.25.81-
2024/50.0718.87-25.220.27-33.380.195.95-
2024/40.06-12.94-33.090.2-35.910.157.55-
2024/30.07138.56-39.010.14-37.130.148.29-
2024/20.03-40.4-69.340.08-35.460.148.64春節假期營業天數較少
2024/10.05-23.088.370.0588.370.244.86去年同期為農曆期間
2023/120.06-54.37-45.570.98-15.510.264.4-
2023/110.1396.3779.540.92-12.380.293.9510月延後出貨
2023/100.07-25.11-19.40.79-19.110.234.97-
2023/90.0923.62-2.020.72-19.090.254.52-
2023/80.07-17.06-48.160.63-21.10.225.18-
2023/70.0951.1-11.580.55-15.190.244.78-
2023/60.06-36.49-39.840.47-15.810.244.77-
2023/50.096.36-34.580.41-10.560.293.93-
2023/40.09-20.64-4.220.310.310.293.95-
2023/30.1119.891.310.232.460.234.9-
2023/20.09266.2577.690.123.970.234.84由1月出貨遞延至2月
2023/10.03-77.75-58.620.03-58.620.215.23春節假期遞延出貨
2022/120.1150.48-14.521.164.530.274.15-
2022/110.07-11.846.191.057.240.254.47-
2022/100.08-8.9625.680.977.250.323.53-
2022/90.09-34.593.490.895.780.343.48-
2022/80.1441.4692.950.85.950.343.43遞延至本月交貨
2022/70.12.8-16.230.65-3.590.343.44-
2022/60.1-30.9422.730.55-0.90.333.5-
2022/50.1455.7225.80.45-4.890.343.4-
2022/40.09-16.0515.430.31-14.380.254.62-
2022/30.11110.28-35.420.22-23.060.225.3-
2022/20.05-14.72-30.50.11-6.070.244.8-
2022/10.06-54.0433.740.0633.740.264.45-
2021/120.1386.9653.91.1110.490.274.19延遲至12月交貨
2021/110.074.34-26.590.986.490.234.96-
2021/100.07-25.04-1.540.9110.410.234.88-
2021/90.0921.93-7.380.8411.520.285.17-
2021/80.07-38.58-35.70.7514.430.275.37-
2021/70.1250.6316.940.6825.130.314.7-
2021/60.08-29.212.280.5627.020.275.52-
2021/50.1142.8861.040.4833.130.364.17接單較去年同期增加
2021/40.08-53.0337.650.3726.280.324.67-
2021/30.17126.3253.60.2923.760.295.22一、二月出貨遞延至三月
2021/20.0764.1119.790.12-2.780.217.31-
2021/10.05-47.11-26.060.05-26.060.236.61-
2020/120.09-10.82-10.371.01-16.380.256.12-
2020/110.139.952.850.92-17.050.265.85-
2020/100.07-29.48-17.310.82-19.050.285.45-
2020/90.1-15.34-8.370.75-19.370.315.02-
2020/80.1111.6913.970.66-20.930.35.34-
2020/70.131.74-10.430.54-25.840.256.3-
2020/60.0811.45-22.820.44-28.710.217.59-
2020/50.0722.13-53.00.36-30.250.246.59受新冠肺炎疫情影響
2020/40.06-47.59-30.480.29-20.910.236.82-
2020/30.1176.515.810.23-17.990.236.75-
2020/20.061.2916.980.12-30.530.227.18-
2020/10.06-35.88-51.630.06-51.630.256.28今年農曆期間於一月營業時間少
2019/120.12.32-28.621.2-28.740.0N/A-
2019/110.0912.5-0.411.11-28.70.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.052023/10.032022/10.062021/10.052020/10.06
2024/20.032023/20.092022/20.052021/20.072020/20.06
2024/30.072023/30.112022/30.112021/30.172020/30.11
2024/40.062023/40.092022/40.092021/40.082020/40.06
2024/50.072023/50.092022/50.142021/50.112020/50.07
2024/60.072023/60.062022/60.12021/60.082020/60.08
2024/70.052023/70.092022/70.12021/70.122020/70.1
2024/80.062023/80.072022/80.142021/80.072020/80.11
2024/90.12023/90.092022/90.092021/90.092020/90.1
2024/100.052023/100.072022/100.082021/100.072020/100.07
N/AN/A2023/110.132022/110.072021/110.072020/110.1
N/AN/A2023/120.062022/120.112021/120.132020/120.09
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季
合約負債 QoQ YoY

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