玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 理想的成長型公司, 本業EPS的成長幅度會大於營收的成長幅度
  • 營收到某個數字後, 本業EPS呈現不成比例的增加, 有可能是規模經濟的效應
  • 如果是有淡旺季的公司, 是否有淡季不淡, 旺季更旺的情況
  • 漲很多的股票要留意 EPS 較上季是否有大幅衰退的情況
  • 如果EPS衰退,要觀察同業是不是有一樣的狀況
  • 要留意增資減資和公司債對股本及EPS的影響
成長能力-近20季
加權平均股數 QoQ YoYEPS QoQ YoY本業EPS QoQ YoY累計EPS QoQ YoY營收 QoQ YoY毛利率(%) QoQ YoY營業利益率 QoQ YoY稅後淨利率 QoQ YoY營業利益 QoQ YoY稅後淨利 QoQ YoY稅前淨利率(%) QoQ YoY稅後淨利率(%) QoQ YoY兩季平均(YOY)營收成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)EPS成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)本業EPS成長率(%)
24Q3 (20)600.0-15.490.54980.0-29.870.30178.95-37.50.72300.0-89.460.01-97.06-99.31-134.54-547.72-521.762182.57727423.339097.513384.4438579.318806.420.210-38.240.331000.0-40.03690.984660.718671.343384.4438579.318806.42-43.69459.23117.88
24Q2 (19)600.0-15.490.05-61.54-94.19-0.3856.82-171.70.1838.46-97.020.349.68-81.1130.0519.25-7.510.30100.22-98.858.75-65.28-74.130100.0-100.00.03-62.5-95.0877.5330.8182.388.75-65.28-74.13-16.4626.1435.69
24Q1 (18)60-14.29-15.490.13113.83-97.5-0.8814.56-66.040.13-97.81-97.50.31-42.59-80.7525.20-23.24-22.1-137.99-71.76-7034.1725.20120.76-88.97-0.432.27-1533.330.08112.12-97.8259.27167.74-76.3325.20120.76-88.97-52.55-54.13-150.01
23Q4 (17)70-1.41-1.41-0.94-222.08-318.6-1.03-314.58-280.75.94-13.032021.430.54-62.5-75.7832.832.92-8.73-80.34-438.56-370.6-121.41-419.5-996.01-0.44-229.41-166.67-0.66-220.0-320.0-87.49-307.91-415.85-121.41-419.5-996.01-41.25-116.28-162.00
23Q3 (16)710.00.00.77-10.47196.150.48-9.43700.06.8312.894653.331.44-20.0128.5731.90-1.82299.7523.73-9.08383.1738.0012.3631.40.34-27.66780.00.55-9.84205.5642.08-1.0146.3138.0012.3631.4-4.10-46.9595.28
23Q2 (15)710.00.00.86-83.43816.670.53200.0296.36.0516.571575.611.811.8205.0832.490.43312.3126.101211.56284.7133.82-85.2338.340.471466.67687.50.61-83.38862.542.51-83.0212402.9433.82-85.2338.34-8.00511.773.51
23Q1 (14)710.00.05.191106.981889.66-0.53-192.98-89.295.191753.571889.661.61-27.8155.5632.35-10.06281.941.99-93.3115.87228.571586.86808.520.03-95.45137.53.671123.331935.0250.38803.91558.24228.571586.86808.52113.08586.18309.76
22Q4 (13)710.01.430.4365.38760.00.57812.500.28286.67175.682.23253.97106.4835.97350.75153.1329.69454.34888.7113.55-53.15305.690.661420.06700.00.366.67650.027.70-3.69808.213.55-53.15305.69130.38191.03441.44
22Q3 (12)710.0-28.280.26316.67750.0-0.0870.3733.33-0.1563.4150.00.636.78-43.757.981.27-22.37-8.3840.69-34.7328.92303.81931.03-0.0537.528.570.18325.0550.028.768358.82961.0828.92303.81931.030.22187.6536.97
22Q2 (11)710.0-28.28-0.1258.6260.0-0.273.5740.0-0.41-41.38-51.850.59-6.35-37.897.88-6.97229.18-14.13-12.6850.04-14.1956.0154.71-0.080.070.37-0.0860.073.330.34101.98101.08-14.1956.0154.71-24.01-310.691.78
22Q1 (10)711.43-28.28-0.29-680.0-825.0-0.280-55.56-0.2921.62-825.00.63-41.67-1.568.47-40.39165.05-12.54-1922.5871.71-32.26-1065.87-686.55-0.08-700.071.43-0.2-600.0-600.0-17.17-662.9518.86-32.26-1065.87-686.55-22.62-227.5050.00
21Q4 (9)70-29.29-29.290.05225.0112.820.00100.0100.0-0.37-23.3358.431.08-3.5752.1114.2138.23546.86-0.6290.0397.793.34195.98106.17-0.0185.7195.00.04200.0110.533.05191.32105.833.34195.98106.177.16155.8486.66
21Q3 (8)990.00.0-0.0486.6784.0-0.1273.3347.83-0.30-11.1140.01.1217.898.7410.28268.52126.43-6.2278.0154.43-3.4888.8985.43-0.0774.0750.0-0.0486.6784.0-3.3489.3886.14-3.4888.8985.4333.16-381.67-38.34
21Q2 (7)990.00.0-0.30-850.00-0.45-150.0-275.0-0.27-775.0-8.00.9548.441.06-6.1053.15-139.25-28.2836.21-272.6-31.33-669.64-10703.45-0.273.57-285.71-0.3-850.00-31.46-48.68-18405.88-31.33-669.64-10703.4519.29-369.87-50.72
21Q1 (6)990.00.00.04110.26116.67-0.1848.5748.570.04104.49116.670.64-9.863.23-13.02-309.43-602.7-44.33-58.32-40.65.50110.17114.12-0.28-40.0-40.00.04110.53116.67-21.1659.5743.065.50110.17114.12-20.4627.13-1.80
20Q4 (5)990.00.0-0.39-56.0-25.81-0.35-52.17-59.09-0.89-78.06.320.71-31.07-50.0-3.18-170.04-139.16-28.00-105.13-256.69-54.10-126.45-154.47-0.2-42.86-81.82-0.38-52.0-26.67-52.34-117.27-162.49-54.10-126.45-154.47--0.00
20Q3 (4)990.00.0-0.2500.0-0.23-91.670.0-0.50-100.00.01.039.570.04.54-70.790.0-13.65-79.840.0-23.89-8137.930.0-0.14-100.00.0-0.2500.0-24.09-14070.590.0-23.89-8137.930.0--0.00
20Q2 (3)990.00.00.00100.00.0-0.1265.710.0-0.25-4.170.00.9451.610.015.54500.00.0-7.5975.930.0-0.2999.260.0-0.0765.00.00100.00.0-0.1799.540.0-0.2999.260.0--0.00
20Q1 (2)990.00.0-0.2422.580.0-0.35-59.090.0-0.2474.740.00.62-56.340.02.59-68.10.0-31.53-301.660.0-38.94-83.160.0-0.2-81.820.0-0.2420.00.0-37.16-86.360.0-38.94-83.160.0--0.00
19Q4 (1)990.00.0-0.310.00.0-0.220.00.0-0.950.00.01.420.00.08.120.00.0-7.850.00.0-21.260.00.0-0.110.00.0-0.30.00.0-19.940.00.0-21.260.00.0--0.00
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/110.01-1.63-97.670.67-86.850.02N/A客戶暫停拉貨
2024/100.013.97-87.030.67-86.330.02N/A客戶暫停拉貨
2024/90.019.77-97.470.66-86.330.01215.06客戶暫停拉貨
2024/80.00.0-99.140.66-85.820.0451.14客戶暫緩拉貨。8月起合併營收,新增本公司直接投資100%子公司聯德株式會社之營業收入。
2024/70.00.0-100.00.65-83.980.210.83客戶暫緩拉貨
2024/60.0-100.0-100.00.65-80.840.346.38客戶暫緩拉貨
2024/50.243.28-66.510.65-76.770.415.27營收下降,係客戶下修訂單所致
2024/40.1495.15-76.750.45-79.550.346.34營收下降,係客戶下修訂單所致
2024/30.07-45.08-91.290.31-80.60.317.42本月份營收減少,係客戶下修訂單所致
2024/20.1319.4-75.070.24-69.350.514.53因春節年假工作日減少,故產能及出貨均減少
2024/10.11-59.54-57.770.11-57.770.613.78營收下降,係客戶下修訂單所致
2023/120.2716.54-62.535.3931.980.544.32本月營收年減,係客戶下修訂單所致
2023/110.23447.59-68.445.1252.270.484.86本月營收回升,係生產廠區十月長假,遞延出貨所致
2023/100.04-79.73-94.54.8886.070.812.89本月份營收減少,係客戶下修訂單所致
2023/90.21-62.91.384.84161.071.441.69本年營收增加,主要係出貨量增加所致
2023/80.56-15.5142.564.63181.041.831.33本月營收增加,主要係出貨量增加所致
2023/70.6711.62253.474.07187.341.861.3本月營收增加,主要係出貨量增加所致
2023/60.6-0.21229.883.4177.191.81.38本月營收增加,主要係出貨量增加所致
2023/50.6-0.53224.852.81168.082.021.23本月營收增加,主要係出貨量增加所致
2023/40.6-26.95171.032.21155.951.951.27本月營收增加,主要係出貨量增加所致
2023/30.8257.26219.991.61150.731.611.57本月及本年營收增加,主要係出貨量增加所致。
2023/20.52102.33200.120.78104.211.51.68本月營收增加,主要係出貨量增加所致
2023/10.26-64.1124.010.2624.011.711.47-
2022/120.72-1.8336.284.0818.772.231.12-
2022/110.73-4.61112.213.363.281.711.46本月營收較去年同期增加,主要係出貨量增加所致
2022/100.77273.82285.732.63-9.691.212.07本月營收較去年同期增加,主要係出貨量增加所致
2022/90.21-11.24-54.931.85-31.480.633.59原物料短缺延後出貨
2022/80.2323.12-31.731.65-26.720.63.74-
2022/70.194.17-40.611.42-25.820.554.06-
2022/60.18-1.74-44.631.23-22.870.593.7-
2022/50.18-17.01-45.991.05-17.250.663.27-
2022/40.22-13.76-21.540.86-6.640.653.32-
2022/30.2647.49-10.160.64-0.060.643.39-
2022/20.17-16.39170.470.388.10.912.38本月營收較去年同期增加,主要係出貨量增加所致。
2022/10.21-60.56-28.020.21-28.021.082.0-
2021/120.5352.86128.583.444.311.082.57本月營收較去年同期增加,主要係出貨量增加所致。
2021/110.3573.3737.693.256.221.02.75-
2021/100.2-56.32-11.392.913.41.02.77-
2021/90.4634.4421.412.714.691.112.36-
2021/80.347.1-1.842.251.840.982.67-
2021/70.32-2.873.891.912.530.992.67-
2021/60.33-4.1516.421.592.260.952.72-
2021/50.3420.5524.141.27-0.850.912.84-
2021/40.28-1.25-25.830.92-7.710.634.09-
2021/30.29344.11-14.040.643.440.643.93-
2021/20.06-77.75-4.150.3523.790.594.3-
2021/10.2925.2332.390.2932.390.773.26-
2020/120.23-7.92-30.273.29-45.40.713.59-
2020/110.2511.56-63.493.06-46.280.852.98因全球疫情反反覆覆,全球經濟處在不確定性情況下且消費支出減緩,致出貨量與去年度同期相比減少。
2020/100.23-40.15-43.752.81-43.920.952.68-
2020/90.388.68-35.762.59-43.931.032.29-
2020/80.3513.36-40.532.21-45.120.932.53-
2020/70.318.84-47.581.86-45.90.862.74-
2020/60.282.2-44.741.56-45.560.942.52本年營收較去年同期減少,主要係因出貨量減少所致。
2020/50.27-27.97-54.211.28-45.740.992.38因受武漢肺炎疫情影響致全球經濟趨緩,營收較去年同期減少50%以上
2020/40.3814.44-40.291.0-42.830.783.02-
2020/30.33395.18-24.330.62-44.30.623.89-
2020/20.07-69.26-64.20.29-57.390.623.9因武漢肺炎開工延緩致營收較去年同期減少50%以上
2020/10.22-34.04-54.740.22-54.740.0N/A過年期間客戶拉貨減緩所致
2019/120.33-51.79-50.516.03-19.690.0N/A年底客戶拉貨減緩所致
成長能力-近10年
加權平均股數 YoYEPS YoY本業EPS YoY營收 YoY毛利率(%) YoY營業利益率 YoY稅後淨利率 YoY營業利益 YoY稅前淨利 YoY稅後淨利 YoY
2023 (10)70-1.415.792044.44-0.5705.3932.4332.3338.587.52-31.3277.321514.20.41-8.894.91611.594.171985.0
2022 (9)711.430.270-0.0704.077.6723.33600.610.9504.7900.4500.6900.20
2021 (8)70-29.29-0.370-0.7503.7814.553.33-40.96-16.630-7.020-0.630-0.440-0.260
2020 (7)990.0-0.890-1.0303.3-45.365.6482.52-18.380-26.510-0.610-0.850-0.870
2019 (6)990.0-0.950-1.6206.04-19.683.09432.76-16.220-15.560-0.980-0.940-0.930
2018 (5)990.0-1.570-2.8807.52-20.510.58-95.23-22.350-20.790-1.680-1.50-1.550
2017 (4)990.0-0.570-0.8309.46-16.3612.15-16.44-4.600-5.930-0.440-0.50-0.560
2016 (3)99-1.0-0.200-1.47011.31-23.1114.545.44-4.040-1.760-0.4600.23475.0-0.20
2015 (2)1000.00.000-0.15014.71-22.7813.7953.73-0.3500.010-0.0500.04000
2014 (1)1000.0-0.330-1.08019.05-3.08.970-2.560-1.750-0.490-0.170-0.330

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