玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.63-11.16-1.766.3821.022.05N/A-
2024/90.71-0.1164.525.7524.182.10.23提升客戶服務需求增加
2024/80.714.4839.675.0420.042.060.23-
2024/70.681.9235.714.3317.331.980.24-
2024/60.674.9417.73.6514.451.90.29-
2024/50.636.2415.932.9813.751.950.28-
2024/40.6-16.2515.872.3513.171.80.31-
2024/30.7147.4938.791.7512.281.750.31-
2024/20.48-12.73-9.181.04-0.741.630.33-
2024/10.55-6.158.010.558.011.640.33-
2023/120.5920.290.796.35-11.41.720.33-
2023/110.49-23.38-19.765.76-12.491.560.36-
2023/100.6448.7815.435.27-11.751.580.35-
2023/90.43-15.19-29.554.63-14.531.440.49-
2023/80.511.52-20.344.2-12.621.570.45-
2023/70.5-11.6-20.243.69-11.441.610.44-
2023/60.573.36-10.683.19-9.881.630.34-
2023/50.556.19-14.832.62-9.71.580.35-
2023/40.520.3-18.762.08-8.251.560.35-
2023/30.51-3.49-20.731.56-4.151.560.35-
2023/20.533.7823.841.056.831.630.33-
2023/10.51-12.42-6.490.51-6.491.710.32-
2022/120.59-4.24-22.447.170.711.750.37-
2022/110.6110.22-8.786.583.471.780.37-
2022/100.56-9.190.635.974.911.80.36-
2022/90.61-4.11-13.615.425.371.880.37-
2022/80.641.650.784.88.41.90.36-
2022/70.63-1.0-4.834.179.671.90.36-
2022/60.63-1.436.323.5412.721.910.3-
2022/50.641.2916.332.9114.221.930.3-
2022/40.63-2.1213.022.2613.631.710.34-
2022/30.6550.7722.761.6313.881.630.42-
2022/20.43-21.6314.740.988.671.740.4-
2022/10.55-27.364.340.554.341.980.35-
2021/120.7612.6147.427.1220.081.980.27-
2021/110.6721.6148.596.3617.491.930.28-
2021/100.55-22.05-6.125.6914.661.890.29-
2021/90.7111.8710.585.1417.462.00.23-
2021/80.63-4.0120.24.4318.631.890.25-
2021/70.6610.5952.743.818.381.810.26客戶標案及產業需求增加
2021/60.67.8411.493.1413.041.710.32-
2021/50.55-1.587.862.5413.41.640.33-
2021/40.566.318.681.9915.051.470.37-
2021/30.5340.933.611.4313.681.430.31-
2021/20.37-28.7321.090.920.551.410.31-
2021/10.532.6120.170.5320.171.490.3-
2020/120.5113.5140.645.93-2.71.550.28-
2020/110.45-23.16-7.635.42-5.461.680.26-
2020/100.59-8.1844.234.96-5.261.750.25-
2020/90.6421.612.494.38-9.431.60.23-
2020/80.5321.96-9.383.74-12.361.490.25-
2020/70.43-19.26-27.363.21-12.831.480.25-
2020/60.534.330.372.78-10.041.520.14-
2020/50.518.281.822.24-12.211.50.14-
2020/40.47-7.18-12.541.73-15.651.290.16-
2020/30.5164.7-2.511.26-16.771.260.21-
2020/20.31-29.28-19.060.75-24.321.110.23-
2020/10.4420.1-27.650.44-27.651.290.2-
2019/120.36-25.45-32.596.09-26.760.0N/A-
2019/110.4919.99-20.835.73-26.350.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.552023/10.512022/10.552021/10.532020/10.44
2024/20.482023/20.532022/20.432021/20.372020/20.31
2024/30.712023/30.512022/30.652021/30.532020/30.51
2024/40.62023/40.522022/40.632021/40.562020/40.47
2024/50.632023/50.552022/50.642021/50.552020/50.51
2024/60.672023/60.572022/60.632021/60.62020/60.53
2024/70.682023/70.52022/70.632021/70.662020/70.43
2024/80.712023/80.512022/80.642021/80.632020/80.53
2024/90.712023/90.432022/90.612021/90.712020/90.64
2024/100.632023/100.642022/100.562021/100.552020/100.59
N/AN/A2023/110.492022/110.612021/110.672020/110.45
N/AN/A2023/120.592022/120.592021/120.762020/120.51
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 1.14%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.03-62.5-85.0
24Q2 (19)0.0833.33-60.0
24Q1 (18)0.06-25.0-53.85
23Q4 (17)0.08-60.0-20.0
23Q3 (16)0.20.0185.71
23Q2 (15)0.253.85122.22
23Q1 (14)0.1330.0550.0
22Q4 (13)0.142.86150.0
22Q3 (12)0.07-22.22250.0
22Q2 (11)0.09350.0350.0
22Q1 (10)0.02-50.0-33.33
21Q4 (9)0.04100.0-33.33
21Q3 (8)0.020.0-33.33
21Q2 (7)0.02-33.33-33.33
21Q1 (6)0.03-50.00.0
20Q4 (5)0.06100.0200.0
20Q3 (4)0.030.00.0
20Q2 (3)0.030.00.0
20Q1 (2)0.0350.00.0
19Q4 (1)0.020.00.0

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