玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/101.5111.48-11.6517.032.534.82N/A-
2024/91.35-31.15-29.4615.534.155.090.41-
2024/81.9610.15-5.1714.179.115.260.4-
2024/71.7817.721.7812.2111.825.220.4-
2024/61.51-21.362.7310.4313.735.340.37-
2024/51.921.335.658.9215.845.590.35-
2024/41.97.6621.866.9918.995.040.39-
2024/31.7628.19-0.835.0917.965.090.34-
2024/21.38-29.6422.193.3331.124.720.37-
2024/11.9640.3338.231.9638.235.070.34-
2023/121.39-19.0223.3719.73-18.184.820.37-
2023/111.720.933.1118.33-20.235.340.34-
2023/101.7-10.9842.1316.61-22.055.690.31-
2023/91.92-7.4434.5114.91-25.885.730.41-
2023/82.0718.2436.3212.99-30.485.290.44-
2023/71.7518.8125.4810.92-36.395.040.46-
2023/61.47-19.12-19.989.17-41.864.850.41-
2023/51.8216.88-28.617.7-44.755.160.39客戶需求變動
2023/41.56-12.38-32.255.88-48.374.460.45-
2023/31.7857.97-41.34.32-52.454.320.45客戶需求變動
2023/21.13-20.4-58.172.54-58.033.670.53客戶需求變動
2023/11.4125.24-57.921.41-57.924.210.46客戶需求變動
2022/121.13-32.31-63.0924.11-44.964.00.41客戶需求變動
2022/111.6739.11-50.0322.98-43.64.290.38客戶需求變動
2022/101.2-15.76-61.0321.31-43.034.140.4客戶需求變動
2022/91.42-6.19-54.8720.11-41.414.340.37客戶需求變動
2022/81.528.84-49.4418.69-40.054.750.34-
2022/71.39-24.23-53.8117.17-39.055.790.28客戶需求變動
2022/61.84-27.85-42.0515.78-37.286.690.38-
2022/52.5510.93-22.2413.94-36.597.880.32-
2022/42.3-24.09-30.5111.38-39.118.020.32-
2022/33.0312.58-45.519.08-40.969.080.36-
2022/22.69-19.93-40.666.05-38.389.110.36-
2022/13.369.85-36.423.36-36.429.760.33-
2021/123.06-8.38-39.6443.81-20.19.480.34-
2021/113.348.48-31.140.75-18.119.570.33-
2021/103.08-2.42-40.6337.41-16.719.240.34-
2021/93.165.07-35.2634.33-13.599.180.33-
2021/83.0-0.55-39.3631.18-10.569.20.33-
2021/73.02-4.93-39.4828.17-5.799.480.32-
2021/63.18-3.2-37.9225.160.959.770.46-
2021/53.28-0.86-27.8521.9810.9912.150.37-
2021/43.31-40.48-28.1118.722.5813.410.33-
2021/35.5622.5931.315.3944.515.390.27-
2021/24.54-14.2144.259.8253.2214.90.27客戶需求
2021/15.294.2961.865.2961.8615.210.27客戶需求
2020/125.074.5922.254.8435.4315.10.24-
2020/114.85-6.5123.5549.7736.9314.910.24-
2020/105.196.3921.2344.9238.5515.010.24-
2020/94.87-1.5743.0239.7341.1914.820.34-
2020/84.95-0.7549.6934.8640.9415.060.33-
2020/74.99-2.4828.7929.9139.5814.660.34-
2020/65.1212.4964.0824.9241.9714.270.23客戶需求變化
2020/54.55-1.2226.2719.837.1913.390.25-
2020/44.618.7272.7615.2540.8211.990.28客戶需求變化
2020/34.2434.6984.5310.6530.3910.650.49客戶需求變化
2020/23.14-3.7452.166.419.2310.560.5客戶需求變化
2020/13.27-21.25-14.093.27-14.0911.340.46-
2019/124.155.7451.8840.49-12.690.0N/A客戶需求變化
2019/113.92-8.2618.1936.34-16.730.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/11.962023/11.412022/13.362021/15.292020/13.27
2024/21.382023/21.132022/22.692021/24.542020/23.14
2024/31.762023/31.782022/33.032021/35.562020/34.24
2024/41.92023/41.562022/42.32021/43.312020/44.61
2024/51.922023/51.822022/52.552021/53.282020/54.55
2024/61.512023/61.472022/61.842021/63.182020/65.12
2024/71.782023/71.752022/71.392021/73.022020/74.99
2024/81.962023/82.072022/81.522021/83.02020/84.95
2024/91.352023/91.922022/91.422021/93.162020/94.87
2024/101.512023/101.72022/101.22021/103.082020/105.19
N/AN/A2023/111.722022/111.672021/113.342020/114.85
N/AN/A2023/121.392022/121.132021/123.062020/125.07
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季
合約負債 QoQ YoY

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