玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/103.262.76109.4420.24-21.479.03N/A本月營收增加,主係客戶需求增加所致。
2024/93.1822.3979.4816.98-29.897.931.16本月營收增加,主係客戶需求增加所致。
2024/82.5920.2760.7113.81-38.516.671.37本月營收增加,主係客戶需求增加所致。
2024/72.1612.4124.7411.21-46.25.671.62-
2024/61.9220.21-2.09.06-52.614.891.47本年累計營收減少,主係客戶需求減少所致。
2024/51.616.44-40.857.14-58.394.31.67本年累計營收減少,主係客戶需求減少所致。
2024/41.373.08-53.675.54-61.664.081.75本月及本年累計營收減少,主係客戶需求減少所致。
2024/31.33-3.94-60.724.17-63.724.171.87本月及本年累計營收減少,主係客戶需求減少所致。
2024/21.38-4.97-61.392.84-64.974.291.81本月及本年累計營收減少,主係客戶需求減少所致。
2024/11.460.38-67.811.46-67.814.361.78本月及本年累計營收減少,主係客戶需求減少所致。
2023/121.45-0.22-68.1128.69-52.234.461.81本月及本年累計營收減少,主係客戶需求減少所致。
2023/111.45-6.64-74.7627.24-50.934.781.69本月及本年累計營收減少,主係客戶需求減少所致。
2023/101.56-11.93-75.2125.78-48.174.941.64本月營收減少,主係客戶需求減少所致。
2023/91.779.59-69.2424.22-44.265.111.84本月營收減少,主係客戶需求減少所致。
2023/81.61-6.64-74.3622.45-40.455.31.78本月營收減少,主係客戶需求減少所致。
2023/71.73-11.68-71.1120.84-33.656.391.48本月營收減少,主係客戶需求減少所致。
2023/61.96-27.44-66.8319.11-25.217.621.38本月營收減少,主係客戶需求減少所致。
2023/52.7-8.8-61.8717.15-12.719.041.16本月營收減少,主係客戶需求減少所致。
2023/42.96-12.588.8114.4614.959.931.06-
2023/33.38-5.59-1.0111.516.6411.51.11-
2023/23.59-20.7829.798.1126.0312.661.01-
2023/14.53-0.5323.24.5323.214.840.86-
2022/124.55-21.0349.5360.0670.3816.60.95本年累計營收增加,主係客戶需求增加所致。
2022/115.76-8.338.6555.5172.3517.80.88本年累計營收增加,主係客戶需求增加所致。
2022/106.289.26110.5649.7577.3418.330.86本月及本年累計營收增加,主係客戶需求增加所致。
2022/95.75-8.66121.5243.4673.3918.030.89本月及本年累計營收增加,主係客戶需求增加所致。
2022/86.35.21109.7437.7167.8318.180.88本月及本年累計營收增加,主係客戶需求增加所致。
2022/75.981.39116.2231.4161.3718.970.85本月及本年累計營收增加,主係客戶需求增加所致。
2022/65.9-16.6147.8425.5653.0315.71.08本月及本年累計營收增加,主係客戶需求增加所致。
2022/57.08160.29146.5719.6537.2613.221.28本月營收增加,主係客戶需求增加所致。
2022/42.72-20.481.2712.579.858.91.91-
2022/33.4223.7913.419.8612.479.861.9-
2022/22.76-24.790.586.4411.9810.381.8-
2022/13.67-6.9222.423.6722.4211.781.59-
2021/123.95-5.0324.5936.1528.0411.091.33-
2021/114.1639.2545.6532.2128.489.741.52-
2021/102.9814.9553.128.0526.278.581.72本月營收增加,主係客戶需求增加所致。
2021/92.6-13.5223.1725.0723.698.371.35-
2021/83.08.4641.9122.4723.758.151.39-
2021/72.7716.2121.119.4721.358.021.41-
2021/62.38-17.03-9.4616.721.47.940.89-
2021/52.876.91-1.4814.3228.78.570.83-
2021/42.69-10.951.2611.4539.418.450.84-
2021/33.029.7949.618.7657.68.760.0-
2021/22.75-8.4652.945.7562.148.910.0-
2021/13.0-5.2771.583.071.589.020.0-
2020/123.1711.0179.5128.2322.047.970.6-
2020/112.8546.37-1.125.0717.296.910.69-
2020/101.95-7.523.5722.2120.176.170.77-
2020/92.11-0.36-8.7120.2622.056.510.0-
2020/82.12-7.43-2.9918.1627.027.030.0-
2020/72.29-13.1147.8216.0432.427.830.0-
2020/62.63-9.71115.6713.7630.178.20.4-
2020/52.919.8815.6411.1219.017.580.43-
2020/42.6531.5698.178.2120.266.460.5-
2020/32.0212.23-23.05.561.275.560.0-
2020/21.82.6813.723.5423.45.310.0-
2020/11.75-0.8935.221.7535.226.40.0-
2019/121.76-38.84-20.6623.13-27.290.0N/A-
2019/112.8953.29-16.5521.37-27.790.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/11.462023/14.532022/13.672021/13.02020/11.75
2024/21.382023/23.592022/22.762021/22.752020/21.8
2024/31.332023/33.382022/33.422021/33.022020/32.02
2024/41.372023/42.962022/42.722021/42.692020/42.65
2024/51.62023/52.72022/57.082021/52.872020/52.91
2024/61.922023/61.962022/65.92021/62.382020/62.63
2024/72.162023/71.732022/75.982021/72.772020/72.29
2024/82.592023/81.612022/86.32021/83.02020/82.12
2024/93.182023/91.772022/95.752021/92.62020/92.11
2024/103.262023/101.562022/106.282021/102.982020/101.95
N/AN/A2023/111.452022/115.762021/114.162020/112.85
N/AN/A2023/121.452022/124.552021/123.952020/123.17
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 46.18%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)3.56-6.32196.67
24Q2 (19)3.861.02224.79
24Q1 (18)2.3677.4448.43
23Q4 (17)1.3310.83-47.43
23Q3 (16)1.22.56-25.47
23Q2 (15)1.17-26.42290.0
23Q1 (14)1.59-37.15354.29
22Q4 (13)2.5357.14602.78
22Q3 (12)1.61436.67570.83
22Q2 (11)0.3-14.2976.47
22Q1 (10)0.35-2.780
21Q4 (9)0.3650.0620.0
21Q3 (8)0.2441.180
21Q2 (7)0.17041.67

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