玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/110.04151.4127.881.57-41.870.16N/A本月較上月增長,主要係科技事業的國外客戶恢復下單
2024/100.02-84.76-80.631.53-42.70.17N/A銷售減少
2024/90.11119.37-44.111.52-41.470.221.03外銷營收增加
2024/80.057.9-83.731.41-41.260.1823.59營建收入減少
2024/70.04-46.94-80.41.36-35.240.3312.77營建收入減少
2024/60.08-57.55-63.341.32-29.710.3412.45營建收入減少
2024/50.2247.88-71.361.23-24.980.755.67本月營收增加,係因有房屋銷售1,715萬元所致。
2024/40.06-88.37-81.051.039.220.894.79本月營收減少係因無房屋銷售。
2024/30.4946.22144.20.9751.770.974.65本月營收增加,係因有房屋銷售4,425萬元所致。
2024/20.34134.2898.750.489.360.548.43本月營收增加,係因有房屋銷售2,791萬元所致。
2024/10.14156.79-46.750.14-46.750.2319.54本月營收增加,係因有房屋銷售
2023/120.0676.01-59.12.762.220.1730.37本月營收減少,係因本月銷售減少;本年累計營收數持平。
2023/110.03-61.92-90.122.715.50.3117.04銷售減少
2023/100.08-56.02-58.742.6719.260.579.11銷售減少
2023/90.19-36.15-29.222.5927.020.727.37-
2023/80.329.99-9.612.435.570.766.98-
2023/70.23-0.7482.382.145.911.164.57銷售成長
2023/60.23-66.84-16.381.8742.431.234.63-
2023/50.7130.17194.161.6458.071.24.75銷售成長
2023/40.349.8567.890.9417.860.678.45銷售成長
2023/30.219.0123.410.643.350.649.72-
2023/20.17-37.23-24.420.44-3.820.5810.81-
2023/10.2797.216.030.2716.030.738.55-
2022/120.14-57.49-77.212.7-25.770.669.62銷售減少
2022/110.3259.05-11.452.56-15.580.798.02-
2022/100.2-24.545.712.24-16.150.87.95銷售成長
2022/90.27-18.4719.362.04-17.840.728.7-
2022/80.33162.3132.21.77-21.550.738.61-
2022/70.13-54.5-45.381.44-28.230.649.86-
2022/60.2816.64175.441.31-26.010.699.07銷售成長
2022/50.2431.37-34.211.04-38.060.5810.83-
2022/40.1810.16-22.850.8-39.110.5711.07-
2022/30.16-27.12-28.370.62-42.620.6210.24-
2022/20.22-3.63-57.240.46-46.441.066.0銷售減少
2022/10.23-61.27-29.190.23-29.191.25.3-
2021/120.665.17211.093.6414.741.165.98銷售成長
2021/110.3689.948.633.041.980.788.86-
2021/100.19-14.81-58.322.67-2.190.6710.38銷售減少
2021/90.23-9.7-34.122.489.170.79.99-
2021/80.258.3735.112.2616.830.5812.14-
2021/70.23129.4511.622.0114.90.6910.2-
2021/60.1-72.14-75.081.7815.340.6910.35銷售減少
2021/50.3654.06176.021.6847.320.828.73銷售成長
2021/40.232.2859.961.3230.660.997.27銷售成長
2021/30.23-56.5-34.861.0825.691.084.65-
2021/20.5359.59169.020.8567.281.054.8營建收入增加
2021/10.3370.134.310.334.310.776.55-
2020/120.19-21.07-73.233.17-77.840.95.81營建收入減少
2020/110.25-46.7550.22.98-78.091.054.98營建收入減少
2020/100.4634.65-58.462.73-79.650.995.29營建收入減少
2020/90.3485.2-67.812.27-81.550.737.59營建收入減少
2020/80.18-10.46-81.991.93-82.850.797.01營建收入減少
2020/70.21-48.78-89.91.75-82.930.747.52營建收入減少
2020/60.4208.59-89.951.54-81.20.687.81營建收入減少
2020/50.13-10.71-94.591.14-72.820.638.45本月銷售減少
2020/40.15-58.34-68.911.01-43.20.697.66本月銷售減少
2020/30.3579.64-24.660.86-33.940.866.06-
2020/20.2-38.11-43.560.51-39.091.234.23-
2020/10.32-56.35-35.950.32-35.950.0N/A-
2019/120.72342.9912.9714.32163.530.0N/A銷售成長
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.142023/10.272022/10.232021/10.332020/10.32
2024/20.342023/20.172022/20.222021/20.532020/20.2
2024/30.492023/30.22022/30.162021/30.232020/30.35
2024/40.062023/40.32022/40.182021/40.232020/40.15
2024/50.22023/50.72022/50.242021/50.362020/50.13
2024/60.082023/60.232022/60.282021/60.12020/60.4
2024/70.042023/70.232022/70.132021/70.232020/70.21
2024/80.052023/80.32022/80.332021/80.252020/80.18
2024/90.112023/90.192022/90.272021/90.232020/90.34
2024/100.022023/100.082022/100.22021/100.192020/100.46
2024/110.042023/110.032022/110.322021/110.362020/110.25
N/AN/A2023/120.062022/120.142021/120.62020/120.19
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 6.9%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.545300.00
24Q2 (19)0.010.0-50.0
24Q1 (18)0.01-90.0-85.71
23Q4 (17)0.10150.0

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