玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/106.87-6.52-25.4568.9-12.4620.7N/A-
2024/97.3513.44-27.1862.03-10.7420.620.61-
2024/86.48-4.67-26.1554.68-7.9519.680.64-
2024/76.86.13-12.7348.2-4.819.840.64-
2024/66.4-3.5-21.4641.41-3.3520.60.63-
2024/56.64-12.25-11.3435.00.8920.650.63-
2024/47.5617.21-3.5328.374.2620.010.65-
2024/36.457.53-18.820.817.4220.810.68-
2024/26.0-28.19-11.9214.3525.6724.10.59-
2024/18.35-14.2681.218.3581.2128.830.49係因去年農曆春節假期,工作天數減少所致
2023/129.74-9.1830.0899.194.3729.690.47-
2023/1110.7316.4316.9589.452.1730.040.47-
2023/109.22-8.699.3778.720.4428.080.5-
2023/910.0915.0515.1869.5-0.6226.650.61-
2023/88.7712.64-3.6659.41-2.8924.710.66-
2023/77.79-4.48-1.6250.63-2.7523.430.69-
2023/68.158.922.6842.85-2.9623.480.59-
2023/57.49-4.5114.6134.69-4.223.270.6-
2023/47.84-1.3324.1127.21-8.3422.60.61-
2023/37.9516.660.5319.37-17.1119.370.77-
2023/26.8147.7314.0311.42-26.1318.910.79-
2023/14.61-38.45-51.414.61-51.4121.280.71月份衰退係農曆春節假期導致工作天數減少。
2022/127.49-18.35-16.0895.0313.3325.090.7-
2022/119.178.8815.8787.5416.8426.360.67-
2022/108.43-3.847.9678.3716.9526.290.67-
2022/98.76-3.7732.4269.9418.1425.790.8-
2022/89.1115.0260.8561.1816.3424.960.83係客戶需求增加所致。
2022/77.92-0.324.8152.0710.9722.390.92-
2022/67.9421.5828.7944.158.820.791.05-
2022/56.533.392.9136.215.2220.751.05-
2022/46.32-20.08-3.4729.685.7520.191.08-
2022/37.932.3215.2423.378.5523.371.13-
2022/25.97-37.06-2.5515.465.4224.391.09-
2022/19.496.3111.159.4911.1526.341.01-
2021/128.9312.75-3.8983.8518.2424.651.07-
2021/117.921.45-13.7774.9221.5722.341.18-
2021/107.817.94-7.2467.0127.7720.081.31-
2021/96.6216.88-19.1159.234.4618.621.36-
2021/85.66-10.74-2.4652.5846.6918.171.39-
2021/76.342.8716.1246.9256.1818.851.34係客戶需求增加外,以及去年同期受疫情的影響,致使營收基期較低。
2021/66.17-2.8420.9540.5865.0819.051.15係客戶需求增加外,以及去年同期受疫情的影響,致使營收基期較低。
2021/56.35-3.0247.7634.4276.6319.751.11依客戶需求增加之外,以及去年同期受疫情的影響,致使營收基期較低。
2021/46.54-4.5836.8328.0784.7919.531.12係客戶需求增加之外,以及去年同期受疫情的影響,致使營收基期較低。
2021/36.8611.8879.2921.53106.8321.530.94係客戶之需求增加外,以及去年同期受到疫情的影響,致使營收基期較低。
2021/26.13-28.21212.7514.67122.8323.960.84主要係客戶之需求增加外,以及去年同期受到疫情的嚴重影響,致使營收基期較低。
2021/18.54-8.0884.718.5484.7127.010.75主要係客戶之需求增加外,以及去年同期1月受農曆年假影響工作天數較少,導致營收基期較低。
2020/129.291.1526.8270.91-2.3926.890.62-
2020/119.189.1223.5161.62-5.6725.780.64-
2020/108.412.859.7852.44-9.4222.40.74-
2020/98.1840.9425.1144.03-12.3519.450.79-
2020/85.86.2612.5235.85-17.9616.360.94-
2020/75.467.1516.0430.04-22.0414.851.03-
2020/65.118.687.4424.58-27.3414.170.82-
2020/54.29-10.19-10.9819.48-33.0112.90.9-
2020/44.7825.02-29.615.19-37.3910.571.1-
2020/33.8395.17-43.0410.41-40.4210.411.33-
2020/21.96-57.6-48.496.58-38.7913.911.0-
2020/14.62-36.88-33.484.62-33.4819.380.71-
2019/127.32-1.4737.4772.66-2.310.0N/A-
2019/117.43-3.0-9.4965.33-5.380.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/18.352023/14.612022/19.492021/18.542020/14.62
2024/26.02023/26.812022/25.972021/26.132020/21.96
2024/36.452023/37.952022/37.92021/36.862020/33.83
2024/47.562023/47.842022/46.322021/46.542020/44.78
2024/56.642023/57.492022/56.532021/56.352020/54.29
2024/66.42023/68.152022/67.942021/66.172020/65.1
2024/76.82023/77.792022/77.922021/76.342020/75.46
2024/86.482023/88.772022/89.112021/85.662020/85.8
2024/97.352023/910.092022/98.762021/96.622020/98.18
2024/106.872023/109.222022/108.432021/107.82020/108.41
N/AN/A2023/1110.732022/119.172021/117.922020/119.18
N/AN/A2023/129.742022/127.492021/128.932020/129.29
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 0.11%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.010.00.0
24Q2 (19)0.010.0-50.0
24Q1 (18)0.010.0-80.0
23Q4 (17)0.010.00.0
23Q3 (16)0.01-50.0-99.65
23Q2 (15)0.02-60.0-99.35
23Q1 (14)0.05400.0-98.43
22Q4 (13)0.01-99.65-99.59
22Q3 (12)2.84-8.099366.67
22Q2 (11)3.09-2.832475.0
22Q1 (10)3.1831.950
21Q4 (9)2.417933.3311950.0
21Q3 (8)0.03-75.00
21Q2 (7)0.120140.0

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