玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1040.18-1.05-16.06408.98-2.19120.95N/A-
2024/940.611.1-16.32368.8-0.4121.671.03-
2024/840.16-1.79-11.77328.21.99121.541.03-
2024/740.91.03-8.43288.034.26122.01.03-
2024/640.48-0.35-4.14247.146.71121.671.07-
2024/540.620.13-1.03206.669.13121.561.07-
2024/440.570.496.45166.0411.94121.11.07-
2024/340.370.496.95125.4713.84125.471.24-
2024/240.17-10.5914.085.117.43131.241.19-
2024/144.93-2.6220.6644.9320.66138.331.13-
2023/1246.14-2.369.84511.588.45141.270.88-
2023/1147.26-1.275.8465.448.32143.660.86-
2023/1047.87-1.345.7418.188.61141.920.87-
2023/948.536.597.3370.319.0138.721.04-
2023/845.521.9211.63321.789.26132.421.09-
2023/744.675.766.76276.268.88127.941.12-
2023/642.232.886.21231.599.3121.381.11-
2023/541.047.7-3.36189.3610.01116.91.16-
2023/438.110.9643.0148.3214.4111.081.22-
2023/337.747.124.13110.217.0110.211.42-
2023/235.23-5.377.2872.478.56114.481.37-
2023/137.24-11.369.7937.249.79123.911.26-
2022/1242.01-5.9536.39471.6823.34131.961.1-
2022/1144.67-1.3640.73429.6722.2135.181.08-
2022/1045.290.1435.92385.020.36131.291.11-
2022/945.2210.8934.61339.7218.55127.841.13-
2022/840.78-2.5231.48294.4916.42122.371.18-
2022/741.845.2138.5253.7114.31124.071.16-
2022/639.76-6.3824.82211.8810.5108.881.11-
2022/542.4759.3837.71172.127.65105.361.14-
2022/426.65-26.47-18.72129.640.4795.731.26-
2022/336.2410.366.54103.07.01103.01.32-
2022/232.84-3.1610.4166.757.2697.551.4-
2022/133.9110.114.3733.914.3796.451.41-
2021/1230.8-2.9613.07382.413.2595.861.3-
2021/1131.74-4.733.05351.613.2698.651.27-
2021/1033.32-0.820.39319.8614.3997.921.28-
2021/933.598.322.4286.5416.2794.811.37-
2021/831.012.670.78252.9518.493.071.4-
2021/730.21-5.17-5.43221.9421.3792.91.4-
2021/631.853.2821.58191.7327.0495.481.1-
2021/530.84-5.9325.89159.8828.1997.651.08-
2021/432.79-3.613.89129.0428.7596.551.09-
2021/334.0214.3736.3196.2534.7496.251.02-
2021/229.74-8.4649.3562.2333.989.471.09-
2021/132.4919.2822.3132.4922.3190.531.08-
2020/1227.24-11.559.86337.652.6391.220.88-
2020/1130.8-7.1915.16310.422.0496.790.83-
2020/1033.191.1528.91279.620.7896.760.83-
2020/932.816.6145.62246.43-2.0995.520.81-
2020/830.77-3.6626.07213.63-6.7888.910.87-
2020/731.9421.915.97182.86-10.782.640.93-
2020/626.26.94-9.82150.91-13.5879.480.96-
2020/524.5-14.9-8.84124.72-14.3378.240.98-
2020/428.7915.360.65100.22-15.5773.661.04-
2020/324.9525.31-10.2571.43-20.7271.431.15-
2020/219.91-25.03-25.2346.48-25.3971.271.15-
2020/126.567.14-25.5126.56-25.5178.11.05-
2019/1224.79-7.29-4.92328.9823.570.0N/A-
2019/1126.743.887.27304.1926.670.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/144.932023/137.242022/133.912021/132.492020/126.56
2024/240.172023/235.232022/232.842021/229.742020/219.91
2024/340.372023/337.742022/336.242021/334.022020/324.95
2024/440.572023/438.112022/426.652021/432.792020/428.79
2024/540.622023/541.042022/542.472021/530.842020/524.5
2024/640.482023/642.232022/639.762021/631.852020/626.2
2024/740.92023/744.672022/741.842021/730.212020/731.94
2024/840.162023/845.522022/840.782021/831.012020/830.77
2024/940.612023/948.532022/945.222021/933.592020/932.81
2024/1040.182023/1047.872022/1045.292021/1033.322020/1033.19
N/AN/A2023/1147.262022/1144.672021/1131.742020/1130.8
N/AN/A2023/1246.142022/1242.012021/1230.82020/1227.24
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 152.07%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)33.5122.34723.34
24Q2 (19)27.39929.7604.11
24Q1 (18)2.66-24.22-14.74
23Q4 (17)3.51-13.7649.36
23Q3 (16)4.074.63869.05
23Q2 (15)3.8924.68897.44
23Q1 (14)3.1232.770
22Q4 (13)2.35459.520
22Q3 (12)0.427.690
22Q2 (11)0.3900

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