玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/110.23-13.91-37.873.36-5.030.9N/A-
2024/100.27-31.31-19.223.12-1.111.0N/A-
2024/90.418.4423.122.851.050.990.28-
2024/80.3327.7713.952.45-1.780.930.3-
2024/70.26-20.93-7.162.12-3.880.940.3-
2024/60.33-3.43-19.961.86-3.40.960.33-
2024/50.3421.1611.81.531.140.960.33-
2024/40.28-14.569.171.18-1.580.880.36-
2024/30.3325.7-23.380.9-4.540.90.37-
2024/20.26-13.158.290.5711.470.960.34-
2024/10.3-23.4714.380.314.381.080.31-
2023/120.45.13-31.543.933.551.110.29-
2023/110.3811.93-3.733.549.871.040.31-
2023/100.344.722.33.1611.760.950.34-
2023/90.329.61-11.072.8210.620.90.4-
2023/80.294.09-21.542.514.220.990.36-
2023/70.28-31.84-8.672.2121.611.00.36-
2023/60.4134.917.821.9227.830.980.32-
2023/50.3118.3127.191.5130.881.00.31-
2023/40.26-40.04-5.741.231.860.940.33-
2023/30.4377.6988.310.9448.140.940.38主要係人臉辨識大型專案驗收所致
2023/20.24-8.2712.150.5125.41.090.33-
2023/10.27-54.240.640.2740.641.240.29-
2022/120.5847.8525.83.88.231.250.28-
2022/110.3942.28.643.225.571.030.34-
2022/100.28-23.8613.582.835.161.010.35-
2022/90.36-3.2940.212.554.321.050.38-
2022/80.3721.18158.52.190.081.040.39主要係臺灣及香港疫情趨緩致業績上升
2022/70.31-12.0632.941.81-11.160.90.44-
2022/60.3545.6389.971.5-16.810.870.46主要係大型人臉辨識專案完成驗收轉列收入
2022/50.24-12.3222.381.15-29.00.750.54-
2022/40.2819.77-18.80.91-36.110.720.55-
2022/30.235.82-39.890.64-41.510.640.53-
2022/20.2215.03-23.480.41-42.380.870.39-
2022/10.19-59.03-55.130.19-55.131.010.34主要係大陸市場受疫情影響
2021/120.4627.68-22.373.51-14.891.060.26-
2021/110.3648.67-35.213.05-13.630.860.32-
2021/100.24-6.02-44.852.69-9.590.650.43-
2021/90.2678.28-22.642.44-3.460.641.07-
2021/80.14-37.67-61.822.19-0.540.561.21主要係大陸市場客戶受疫情影響,造成營收減少
2021/70.2325.65-34.021.989.120.611.11-
2021/60.19-6.18-39.261.8123.360.721.07主要大陸市場客戶受疫情影響需求,造成營收減少
2021/50.2-41.83-22.511.6239.780.920.84-
2021/40.34-11.3371.721.4357.271.010.77去年減少主要係大陸市場受疫情影響
2021/30.3834.7233.141.0953.251.090.48主要係人臉辨識專案完成驗收轉列收入
2021/20.28-32.5453.480.766.931.30.4去年減少主要係大陸市場受疫情影響
2021/10.42-29.1277.420.4277.421.570.33主要係Face8人臉辨識系統相關系列產品成長
2020/120.596.57110.874.12-34.211.590.31主要係大型指標人臉辨識專案完成驗收轉列收入
2020/110.5626.5523.73.53-41.041.330.38-
2020/100.4431.81-36.952.97-46.31.150.43-
2020/90.33-12.0-47.712.53-47.651.070.56-
2020/80.387.7-41.212.2-47.651.040.58-
2020/70.3515.66-25.261.82-48.820.910.66-
2020/60.319.68-17.411.47-52.420.760.79主要受新冠肺炎疫情影響
2020/50.2528.9-37.851.16-57.180.740.81主要受到新冠肺炎疫情影響
2020/40.2-31.25-64.050.91-60.620.670.9主要受到新冠肺炎疫情影響
2020/30.2955.3-51.620.71-59.550.710.8主要受到全球肺炎疫情影響
2020/20.19-22.02-41.570.42-63.60.70.81主要受到肺炎疫情影響,中國暫緩開工、封城隔離,以及全球為防疫減少外出
2020/10.24-15.76-71.870.24-71.870.0N/A主要係因大陸市場淡季影響
2019/120.28-37.47-51.866.27-16.960.0N/A主要係大陸市場銷售下滑
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.32023/10.272022/10.192021/10.422020/10.24
2024/20.262023/20.242022/20.222021/20.282020/20.19
2024/30.332023/30.432022/30.232021/30.382020/30.29
2024/40.282023/40.262022/40.282021/40.342020/40.2
2024/50.342023/50.312022/50.242021/50.22020/50.25
2024/60.332023/60.412022/60.352021/60.192020/60.3
2024/70.262023/70.282022/70.312021/70.232020/70.35
2024/80.332023/80.292022/80.372021/80.142020/80.38
2024/90.42023/90.322022/90.362021/90.262020/90.33
2024/100.272023/100.342022/100.282021/100.242020/100.44
2024/110.232023/110.382022/110.392021/110.362020/110.56
N/AN/A2023/120.42022/120.582021/120.462020/120.59
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 3.42%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.14-33.33-6.67
24Q2 (19)0.2116.6761.54
24Q1 (18)0.185.88-5.26
23Q4 (17)0.1713.336.25
23Q3 (16)0.1515.38-16.67
23Q2 (15)0.13-31.58-27.78
23Q1 (14)0.1918.75-17.39
22Q4 (13)0.16-11.110.0
22Q3 (12)0.180.00.0
22Q2 (11)0.18-21.7438.46
22Q1 (10)0.2343.7564.29
21Q4 (9)0.16-11.11-11.11
21Q3 (8)0.1838.4612.5
21Q2 (7)0.13-7.14-13.33
21Q1 (6)0.14-22.2216.67
20Q4 (5)0.1812.538.46
20Q3 (4)0.166.670.0
20Q2 (3)0.1525.00.0
20Q1 (2)0.12-7.690.0
19Q4 (1)0.130.00.0

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