玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/110.1-11.34-68.734.712.161.35N/A印度.美國銷售減少
2024/100.11-90.57-43.954.618.541.46N/A-
2024/91.15445.7374.324.4921.811.50.9本月營收較去年同期增加主係美國和印度地區的營收增加所致。
2024/80.2149.86-23.973.3510.421.760.76-
2024/70.14-90.05-41.993.1413.871.830.73-
2024/61.41405.6825.033.019.241.850.68-
2024/50.2865.6526.711.5914.541.121.14-
2024/40.17-74.94-15.991.3112.251.131.12-
2024/30.67130.6129.21.1418.091.140.89-
2024/20.2960.0433.130.475.242.530.4-
2024/10.18-91.15-21.170.18-21.172.540.4-
2023/122.05570.6888.016.2434.232.550.34本月營收較去年同期增加主係美國和印度地區的營收增加所致。
2023/110.3158.93-35.884.1917.711.160.75-
2023/100.19-70.67-12.573.8826.021.130.77-
2023/90.66138.042.463.6929.01.170.73-
2023/80.2814.3347.53.0326.411.640.52-
2023/70.24-78.5510.782.7624.631.590.54-
2023/61.13412.4826.652.5126.141.550.56-
2023/50.229.8219.641.3925.730.940.93-
2023/40.2-61.46-20.11.1726.940.940.93-
2023/30.52137.6383.790.9744.530.970.97本月營收較去年同期增加主要係印度 地區的營收增加所致。
2023/20.22-5.2415.740.4515.91.540.61-
2023/10.23-78.916.060.2316.061.80.52-
2022/121.09128.750.054.657.291.790.35本月營收較去年同期增加主要係印度地區的營收增加所致。
2022/110.48116.7236.993.56-1.331.160.53-
2022/100.22-52.2-6.923.08-5.430.870.71-
2022/90.46146.43-5.192.86-5.320.871.18-
2022/80.19-14.12-52.552.4-5.341.290.79本月營收較去年同期減少主要係日本區的營收較去年同期減少USD685K。
2022/70.22-75.4811.332.213.361.290.79-
2022/60.89384.1215.041.992.551.320.35本月營收較去年同期增加主要是印度取得大型標案, 營收較去年同期增加。
2022/50.18-26.65-23.381.1-33.540.720.64-
2022/40.25-11.35-3.820.92-35.250.720.64-
2022/30.2849.65-56.160.67-42.30.670.61本月營收較去年同期減少主要是印度區部分標案延後, 營收較去年同期減少
2022/20.19-4.98-27.240.39-24.991.120.37-
2022/10.2-72.72-22.720.2-22.721.280.32-
2021/120.73108.79-20.124.33-14.421.310.26-
2021/110.3547.24-37.353.61-13.171.070.32-
2021/100.24-51.31-8.583.26-9.431.120.3-
2021/90.4923.32-8.243.02-9.491.080.33-
2021/80.39101.5153.842.53-9.730.870.4本月較去年同期增加, 主要是來自日本市場的需求增加.
2021/70.2-30.62-57.232.14-16.120.720.49本月營收較去年同期減少主要是中國區的訂單下降所致。
2021/60.2817.72-43.591.94-7.130.780.49-
2021/50.24-7.92-8.761.664.321.140.33-
2021/40.26-59.6-12.281.426.911.160.33-
2021/30.64148.4126.031.1612.431.160.34-
2021/20.260.91-0.50.52-0.911.430.28-
2021/10.26-71.8-1.320.26-1.321.730.23-
2020/120.9163.76-27.355.06-5.521.730.26-
2020/110.56114.8441.384.151.151.350.33-
2020/100.26-51.13-6.863.6-3.111.050.43-
2020/90.53106.77-11.763.34-2.811.240.37-
2020/80.26-43.98-37.592.81-0.911.210.38-
2020/70.46-8.595.872.555.311.220.38本月營收較去年同期增加, 主要是部分客戶集中在本月份下單,若排除此一因素, 本年之營收較去年同期差距不大。
2020/60.590.411.632.09-4.361.060.46-
2020/50.26-11.47-2.981.59-6.11.070.46-
2020/40.3-41.95-19.821.33-6.691.070.46-
2020/30.5196.093.361.03-2.081.030.52-
2020/20.260.09-3.710.52-6.91.780.3-
2020/10.26-79.24-9.890.26-9.890.0N/A-
2019/121.26218.71-6.225.362.220.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.182023/10.232022/10.22021/10.262020/10.26
2024/20.292023/20.222022/20.192021/20.262020/20.26
2024/30.672023/30.522022/30.282021/30.642020/30.51
2024/40.172023/40.22022/40.252021/40.262020/40.3
2024/50.282023/50.222022/50.182021/50.242020/50.26
2024/61.412023/61.132022/60.892021/60.282020/60.5
2024/70.142023/70.242022/70.222021/70.22020/70.46
2024/80.212023/80.282022/80.192021/80.392020/80.26
2024/91.152023/90.662022/90.462021/90.492020/90.53
2024/100.112023/100.192022/100.222021/100.242020/100.26
2024/110.12023/110.312022/110.482021/110.352020/110.56
N/AN/A2023/122.052022/121.092021/120.732020/120.91
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 24.67%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)1.4-0.713.7
24Q2 (19)1.412.174.44
24Q1 (18)1.389.520.73
23Q4 (17)1.26-6.67-8.03
23Q3 (16)1.350.01.5
23Q2 (15)1.35-1.4610.66
23Q1 (14)1.370.015.13
22Q4 (13)1.373.0119.13
22Q3 (12)1.339.0224.3
22Q2 (11)1.222.5212.96
22Q1 (10)1.193.48-7.75
21Q4 (9)1.157.48-14.18
21Q3 (8)1.07-0.93-29.14
21Q2 (7)1.08-16.28-35.33
21Q1 (6)1.29-3.73-26.7
20Q4 (5)1.34-11.26-21.64
20Q3 (4)1.51-9.580.0
20Q2 (3)1.67-5.110.0
20Q1 (2)1.762.920.0
19Q4 (1)1.710.00.0

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