玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/102.97-45.7122.6458.16167.5513.9N/A係因太陽能導電漿產品銷量增加所致
2024/95.470.04178.8855.19185.717.240.74係因太陽能導電漿產品銷量增加所致
2024/85.47-13.3209.8349.72186.4719.210.66係因太陽能導電漿產品銷量增加所致
2024/76.3-15.2181.6144.25183.8321.030.6係因太陽能導電漿產品銷量增加所致
2024/67.432.04311.337.95184.222.720.72係因太陽能導電漿產品銷量增加所致
2024/57.29-8.88356.1830.51164.320.920.78係因太陽能導電漿產品銷量增加所致
2024/48.041.91258.223.23133.518.230.89主要係因太陽能導電漿產品銷量增加所致
2024/35.6322.37132.3815.2397.4215.231.08主要係因太陽能導電漿產品銷量增加所致
2024/24.6-7.8101.499.681.414.741.11主要係因太陽能導電漿產品銷量增加所致
2024/14.99-2.8366.134.9966.1312.881.27主要係因太陽能導電漿產品銷量增加所致
2023/125.1487.46271.1829.62-47.6210.31.23主要係因太陽能導電漿產品銷量增加所致
2023/112.7413.28-38.9824.48-55.627.121.78主要係電池材料新產品尚在測試中及中美關係政策不穩定所致
2023/102.4223.43-45.0921.74-57.16.152.06主要係電池材料新產品尚在測試中及中美關係政策不穩定所致
2023/91.9611.14-58.8919.32-58.245.961.48主要係產業競爭激烈、新產品尚在測試中及中美關係使政策不穩定所致
2023/81.76-21.2-56.0717.36-58.175.811.51主要係產業競爭激烈、新產品尚在測試中及中美關係使政策不穩定所致
2023/72.2423.84-57.3615.59-58.395.641.56主要係產業競爭激烈、新產品尚在測試中及中美關係使政策不穩定所致
2023/61.8113.18-72.2513.35-58.565.641.45主要係產業競爭激烈、中美關係使政策不穩定及原物料供應鏈報價變動較大使下游廠商觀望態度濃所致
2023/51.6-28.45-68.6411.55-55.096.251.3主要係產業競爭激烈、中美關係使政策不穩定及原物料供應鏈報價變動較大使下游廠商觀望態度濃所致
2023/42.23-7.93-56.779.95-51.746.941.18係產業競爭激烈、中美關係使政策不穩定及原物料供應鏈報價變動較大使下游廠商觀望態度濃所致
2023/32.426.11-51.627.72-50.067.721.29主要係因原物料供應鏈報價變動較大且產業競爭激烈所致
2023/22.28-23.98-53.795.29-49.316.681.49主要係因太陽能供應鏈報價變動較大所致
2023/13.01117.08-45.283.01-45.288.881.12-
2022/121.38-69.18-80.4156.55-25.9110.291.0主要係因景氣較差及原物料供應鏈報價變動較大所致
2022/114.491.93-26.6855.16-20.3513.670.76-
2022/104.41-7.58-35.350.67-19.7313.190.78-
2022/94.7718.795.0846.26-17.8514.040.69-
2022/84.02-23.52-27.541.49-19.8615.780.61-
2022/75.25-19.39-18.7637.48-18.9516.860.57-
2022/66.5127.884.8532.22-18.9816.770.69-
2022/55.09-1.35-14.9225.71-23.3915.270.76-
2022/45.163.03-22.0120.62-25.2315.120.77-
2022/35.011.35-24.1115.45-26.2515.450.84-
2022/24.95-9.98-17.3710.44-27.2417.510.74-
2022/15.49-22.31-34.35.49-34.318.70.69-
2021/127.0715.38-16.3676.33-13.5620.020.65-
2021/116.13-10.04-22.3569.26-13.2617.480.74-
2021/106.8150.08-16.3563.13-12.2716.890.77-
2021/94.54-18.04-62.7256.32-11.7416.540.76因子公司華旭受到船期不穩定影響,營業收入減少。
2021/85.54-14.3-24.7651.780.2618.220.69-
2021/76.464.03-15.7846.244.4318.670.68-
2021/66.213.76-13.6439.788.6718.820.82-
2021/55.99-9.5710.4633.5614.1319.210.81-
2021/46.620.2526.7727.5714.9619.210.81-
2021/36.610.3510.6820.9511.6720.950.68-
2021/25.99-28.430.1914.3512.1422.80.63-
2021/18.36-1.1122.68.3622.624.710.58-
2020/128.467.1327.0588.3112.224.50.76-
2020/117.89-3.0925.3179.8610.8328.220.66-
2020/108.15-33.135.2671.969.4427.690.67-
2020/912.1865.37102.5563.826.8427.220.61客戶需求增加
2020/87.36-4.0735.4351.64-3.8622.230.75-
2020/77.686.6825.8344.28-8.2920.290.82-
2020/67.1932.739.3536.6-13.2217.840.79-
2020/55.423.77-29.1629.41-17.416.610.85-
2020/45.22-12.46-22.8723.99-14.1817.160.83-
2020/35.97-0.09-26.3918.76-11.418.760.89-
2020/25.97-12.4233.4312.79-2.119.450.86-
2020/16.822.47-20.626.82-20.6219.780.85-
2019/126.665.669.1878.71-5.090.0N/A-
2019/116.34.5921.5272.05-6.230.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/14.992023/13.012022/15.492021/18.362020/16.82
2024/24.62023/22.282022/24.952021/25.992020/25.97
2024/35.632023/32.422022/35.012021/36.62020/35.97
2024/48.02023/42.232022/45.162021/46.622020/45.22
2024/57.292023/51.62022/55.092021/55.992020/55.42
2024/67.432023/61.812022/66.512021/66.212020/67.19
2024/76.32023/72.242022/75.252021/76.462020/77.68
2024/85.472023/81.762022/84.022021/85.542020/87.36
2024/95.472023/91.962022/94.772021/94.542020/912.18
2024/102.972023/102.422022/104.412021/106.812020/108.15
N/AN/A2023/112.742022/114.492021/116.132020/117.89
N/AN/A2023/125.142022/121.382021/127.072020/128.46
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 1.31%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.12-25.0-53.85
24Q2 (19)0.16-57.890.0
24Q1 (18)0.38111.111166.67
23Q4 (17)0.18-30.77500.0
23Q3 (16)0.2662.5-82.31
23Q2 (15)0.16433.33-85.84
23Q1 (14)0.030.0-98.91
22Q4 (13)0.03-97.96-98.92
22Q3 (12)1.4730.09-63.52
22Q2 (11)1.13-58.76-52.92
22Q1 (10)2.74-1.793.01
21Q4 (9)2.79-30.77128.69
21Q3 (8)4.0367.923563.64
21Q2 (7)2.4-9.770
21Q1 (6)2.66118.030
20Q4 (5)1.221009.09144.0
20Q3 (4)0.1100.0

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