玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1126.614.41-1.94282.441.1377.76N/A-
2024/1025.48-0.71-3.79255.831.4776.65N/A-
2024/925.670.64-17.17230.352.0981.93.82-
2024/825.5-17.01-1.67204.685.1586.843.6-
2024/730.730.446.24179.186.289.923.48-
2024/630.617.088.33148.450.5186.843.48-
2024/528.583.368.45117.84-1.3379.63.8-
2024/427.6518.324.7689.26-4.1168.184.43-
2024/323.3736.13-4.2761.61-7.6261.615.04-
2024/217.16-18.56-19.6538.24-9.5565.124.77-
2024/121.08-21.580.7521.080.7575.094.13-
2023/1226.88-0.944.95306.14-4.780.513.13-
2023/1127.142.4432.49279.26-5.5484.622.98-
2023/1026.49-14.52-12.84252.12-8.3783.423.02-
2023/930.9919.4746.25225.63-7.8177.943.21-
2023/825.9423.4324.43194.64-12.9475.23.32-
2023/721.01-25.624.54168.71-16.7875.623.31-
2023/628.257.22.85147.69-19.1381.03.04-
2023/526.35-0.14-12.79119.44-23.0277.163.19-
2023/426.398.126.7793.09-25.572.173.41-
2023/324.4114.26-39.9566.69-33.4666.693.58-
2023/221.362.11-33.8342.28-29.0367.893.52-
2023/120.92-18.31-23.3420.92-23.3467.013.57-
2022/1225.6125.04-16.78321.2619.6776.493.25-
2022/1120.48-32.6-42.47295.6524.3972.063.45-
2022/1030.3943.434.47275.1736.1872.433.43-
2022/921.191.65-1.24244.7741.5162.134.58-
2022/820.843.729.68223.5847.5768.414.16-
2022/720.1-26.8225.69202.7449.6977.793.66-
2022/627.47-9.1169.18182.6452.982.413.3本月及本年累計較去年同期增加50%以上,主係交屋增加所致。
2022/530.2222.2653.85155.1750.3495.592.84本月及本年累計較去年同期增加50%以上,主係交屋增加所致。
2022/424.72-39.1923.35124.9549.5297.662.78-
2022/340.6525.973.28100.2357.77100.232.7本月及本年累計較去年同期皆增加50%以上,主係交屋增加所致。
2022/232.2918.3192.7659.5848.6990.363.0本月較去年同月增加,主係本月交屋增加所致。
2022/127.29-11.3317.0327.2917.0393.672.89-
2021/1230.78-13.55-8.45268.4423.7695.472.99-
2021/1135.622.3990.55237.6629.6886.153.31本月較去年同月增加,主係本月交屋增加所致。
2021/1029.0935.5860.6202.0622.7766.624.28本月較去年同月增加,主係本月交屋增加所致。
2021/921.4633.4912.42172.9718.0953.525.4-
2021/816.070.51-11.28151.5118.9448.35.98-
2021/715.99-1.51-19.58135.4423.9551.875.57-
2021/616.24-17.341.42119.4533.6355.925.09-
2021/519.64-1.9725.17103.2140.6663.144.51-
2021/420.04-14.5740.2883.5744.8860.254.73-
2021/323.4640.0559.7563.5346.3963.534.42本月較去年同月增加,主係本月交屋增加所致。
2021/216.75-28.1657.6240.0739.5673.693.81本月較去年同月增加,主係本月交屋增加所致。
2021/123.32-30.6428.9523.3228.9575.623.72-
2020/1233.6279.9354.03216.89-4.370.424.03本月較去年同月增加,主係本月交屋增加所致。
2020/1118.693.151.65183.27-10.5255.885.08-
2020/1018.11-5.0915.23164.58-11.7255.325.13-
2020/919.095.3414.48146.47-14.257.095.11-
2020/818.12-8.8831.53127.38-17.3154.015.4-
2020/719.8824.2-3.02109.26-22.151.595.65-
2020/616.012.01-17.2189.38-25.3745.996.34-
2020/515.699.85-40.2973.37-26.9444.666.53-
2020/414.28-2.72-41.6557.68-22.2139.67.37-
2020/314.6838.18-11.9843.39-12.6343.396.68-
2020/210.63-41.22-16.7628.71-12.9650.545.73-
2020/118.08-17.15-10.5518.08-10.550.0N/A-
2019/1221.8318.74-5.38226.65-9.470.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/121.082023/120.922022/127.292021/123.322020/118.08
2024/217.162023/221.362022/232.292021/216.752020/210.63
2024/323.372023/324.412022/340.652021/323.462020/314.68
2024/427.652023/426.392022/424.722021/420.042020/414.28
2024/528.582023/526.352022/530.222021/519.642020/515.69
2024/630.612023/628.252022/627.472021/616.242020/616.01
2024/730.732023/721.012022/720.12021/715.992020/719.88
2024/825.52023/825.942022/820.842021/816.072020/818.12
2024/925.672023/930.992022/921.192021/921.462020/919.09
2024/1025.482023/1026.492022/1030.392021/1029.092020/1018.11
2024/1126.612023/1127.142022/1120.482021/1135.62020/1118.69
N/AN/A2023/1226.882022/1225.612021/1230.782020/1233.62
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 122.02%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)100.4511.2440.98
24Q2 (19)90.34.5431.52
24Q1 (18)86.3812.0225.03
23Q4 (17)77.118.222.58
23Q3 (16)71.253.77-8.91
23Q2 (15)68.66-0.62-11.2
23Q1 (14)69.09-8.09-14.24
22Q4 (13)75.17-3.9-14.73
22Q3 (12)78.221.16-8.57
22Q2 (11)77.32-4.02-6.56
22Q1 (10)80.56-8.62-3.08
21Q4 (9)88.163.058.26
21Q3 (8)85.553.386.31
21Q2 (7)82.75-0.459.81
21Q1 (6)83.122.0824.3
20Q4 (5)81.431.1923.58
20Q3 (4)80.476.780.0
20Q2 (3)75.3612.70.0
20Q1 (2)66.871.490.0
19Q4 (1)65.890.00.0

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