- 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
- 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
- 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
- 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
- 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
| 年/月 | 營收 | 月增率(%) | 去年同期年增率(%) | 累計營收 | 累計營收年增率(%) | 近三月累計營收 | 存貨銷售比 | 自結稅前EPS | 自結稅前累計EPS | 備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024/10 | 25.48 | -0.71 | -3.79 | 255.83 | 1.47 | 76.65 | N/A | - | ||
| 2024/9 | 25.67 | 0.64 | -17.17 | 230.35 | 2.09 | 81.9 | 3.82 | - | ||
| 2024/8 | 25.5 | -17.01 | -1.67 | 204.68 | 5.15 | 86.84 | 3.6 | - | ||
| 2024/7 | 30.73 | 0.4 | 46.24 | 179.18 | 6.2 | 89.92 | 3.48 | - | ||
| 2024/6 | 30.61 | 7.08 | 8.33 | 148.45 | 0.51 | 86.84 | 3.48 | - | ||
| 2024/5 | 28.58 | 3.36 | 8.45 | 117.84 | -1.33 | 79.6 | 3.8 | - | ||
| 2024/4 | 27.65 | 18.32 | 4.76 | 89.26 | -4.11 | 68.18 | 4.43 | - | ||
| 2024/3 | 23.37 | 36.13 | -4.27 | 61.61 | -7.62 | 61.61 | 5.04 | - | ||
| 2024/2 | 17.16 | -18.56 | -19.65 | 38.24 | -9.55 | 65.12 | 4.77 | - | ||
| 2024/1 | 21.08 | -21.58 | 0.75 | 21.08 | 0.75 | 75.09 | 4.13 | - | ||
| 2023/12 | 26.88 | -0.94 | 4.95 | 306.14 | -4.7 | 80.51 | 3.13 | - | ||
| 2023/11 | 27.14 | 2.44 | 32.49 | 279.26 | -5.54 | 84.62 | 2.98 | - | ||
| 2023/10 | 26.49 | -14.52 | -12.84 | 252.12 | -8.37 | 83.42 | 3.02 | - | ||
| 2023/9 | 30.99 | 19.47 | 46.25 | 225.63 | -7.81 | 77.94 | 3.21 | - | ||
| 2023/8 | 25.94 | 23.43 | 24.43 | 194.64 | -12.94 | 75.2 | 3.32 | - | ||
| 2023/7 | 21.01 | -25.62 | 4.54 | 168.71 | -16.78 | 75.62 | 3.31 | - | ||
| 2023/6 | 28.25 | 7.2 | 2.85 | 147.69 | -19.13 | 81.0 | 3.04 | - | ||
| 2023/5 | 26.35 | -0.14 | -12.79 | 119.44 | -23.02 | 77.16 | 3.19 | - | ||
| 2023/4 | 26.39 | 8.12 | 6.77 | 93.09 | -25.5 | 72.17 | 3.41 | - | ||
| 2023/3 | 24.41 | 14.26 | -39.95 | 66.69 | -33.46 | 66.69 | 3.58 | - | ||
| 2023/2 | 21.36 | 2.11 | -33.83 | 42.28 | -29.03 | 67.89 | 3.52 | - | ||
| 2023/1 | 20.92 | -18.31 | -23.34 | 20.92 | -23.34 | 67.01 | 3.57 | - | ||
| 2022/12 | 25.61 | 25.04 | -16.78 | 321.26 | 19.67 | 76.49 | 3.25 | - | ||
| 2022/11 | 20.48 | -32.6 | -42.47 | 295.65 | 24.39 | 72.06 | 3.45 | - | ||
| 2022/10 | 30.39 | 43.43 | 4.47 | 275.17 | 36.18 | 72.43 | 3.43 | - | ||
| 2022/9 | 21.19 | 1.65 | -1.24 | 244.77 | 41.51 | 62.13 | 4.58 | - | ||
| 2022/8 | 20.84 | 3.7 | 29.68 | 223.58 | 47.57 | 68.41 | 4.16 | - | ||
| 2022/7 | 20.1 | -26.82 | 25.69 | 202.74 | 49.69 | 77.79 | 3.66 | - | ||
| 2022/6 | 27.47 | -9.11 | 69.18 | 182.64 | 52.9 | 82.41 | 3.3 | 本月及本年累計較去年同期增加50％以上，主係交屋增加所致。 | ||
| 2022/5 | 30.22 | 22.26 | 53.85 | 155.17 | 50.34 | 95.59 | 2.84 | 本月及本年累計較去年同期增加50％以上，主係交屋增加所致。 | ||
| 2022/4 | 24.72 | -39.19 | 23.35 | 124.95 | 49.52 | 97.66 | 2.78 | - | ||
| 2022/3 | 40.65 | 25.9 | 73.28 | 100.23 | 57.77 | 100.23 | 2.7 | 本月及本年累計較去年同期皆增加50%以上，主係交屋增加所致。 | ||
| 2022/2 | 32.29 | 18.31 | 92.76 | 59.58 | 48.69 | 90.36 | 3.0 | 本月較去年同月增加，主係本月交屋增加所致。 | ||
| 2022/1 | 27.29 | -11.33 | 17.03 | 27.29 | 17.03 | 93.67 | 2.89 | - | ||
| 2021/12 | 30.78 | -13.55 | -8.45 | 268.44 | 23.76 | 95.47 | 2.99 | - | ||
| 2021/11 | 35.6 | 22.39 | 90.55 | 237.66 | 29.68 | 86.15 | 3.31 | 本月較去年同月增加，主係本月交屋增加所致。 | ||
| 2021/10 | 29.09 | 35.58 | 60.6 | 202.06 | 22.77 | 66.62 | 4.28 | 本月較去年同月增加，主係本月交屋增加所致。 | ||
| 2021/9 | 21.46 | 33.49 | 12.42 | 172.97 | 18.09 | 53.52 | 5.4 | - | ||
| 2021/8 | 16.07 | 0.51 | -11.28 | 151.51 | 18.94 | 48.3 | 5.98 | - | ||
| 2021/7 | 15.99 | -1.51 | -19.58 | 135.44 | 23.95 | 51.87 | 5.57 | - | ||
| 2021/6 | 16.24 | -17.34 | 1.42 | 119.45 | 33.63 | 55.92 | 5.09 | - | ||
| 2021/5 | 19.64 | -1.97 | 25.17 | 103.21 | 40.66 | 63.14 | 4.51 | - | ||
| 2021/4 | 20.04 | -14.57 | 40.28 | 83.57 | 44.88 | 60.25 | 4.73 | - | ||
| 2021/3 | 23.46 | 40.05 | 59.75 | 63.53 | 46.39 | 63.53 | 4.42 | 本月較去年同月增加，主係本月交屋增加所致。 | ||
| 2021/2 | 16.75 | -28.16 | 57.62 | 40.07 | 39.56 | 73.69 | 3.81 | 本月較去年同月增加，主係本月交屋增加所致。 | ||
| 2021/1 | 23.32 | -30.64 | 28.95 | 23.32 | 28.95 | 75.62 | 3.72 | - | ||
| 2020/12 | 33.62 | 79.93 | 54.03 | 216.89 | -4.3 | 70.42 | 4.03 | 本月較去年同月增加，主係本月交屋增加所致。 | ||
| 2020/11 | 18.69 | 3.15 | 1.65 | 183.27 | -10.52 | 55.88 | 5.08 | - | ||
| 2020/10 | 18.11 | -5.09 | 15.23 | 164.58 | -11.72 | 55.32 | 5.13 | - | ||
| 2020/9 | 19.09 | 5.34 | 14.48 | 146.47 | -14.2 | 57.09 | 5.11 | - | ||
| 2020/8 | 18.12 | -8.88 | 31.53 | 127.38 | -17.31 | 54.01 | 5.4 | - | ||
| 2020/7 | 19.88 | 24.2 | -3.02 | 109.26 | -22.1 | 51.59 | 5.65 | - | ||
| 2020/6 | 16.01 | 2.01 | -17.21 | 89.38 | -25.37 | 45.99 | 6.34 | - | ||
| 2020/5 | 15.69 | 9.85 | -40.29 | 73.37 | -26.94 | 44.66 | 6.53 | - | ||
| 2020/4 | 14.28 | -2.72 | -41.65 | 57.68 | -22.21 | 39.6 | 7.37 | - | ||
| 2020/3 | 14.68 | 38.18 | -11.98 | 43.39 | -12.63 | 43.39 | 6.68 | - | ||
| 2020/2 | 10.63 | -41.22 | -16.76 | 28.71 | -12.96 | 50.54 | 5.73 | - | ||
| 2020/1 | 18.08 | -17.15 | -10.55 | 18.08 | -10.55 | 58.29 | 4.97 | - | ||
| 2019/12 | 21.83 | 18.74 | -5.38 | 226.65 | -9.47 | 0.0 | N/A | - | ||
| 2019/11 | 18.38 | 16.93 | -15.7 | 204.82 | -9.88 | 0.0 | N/A | - |
| 年/月 | 營收 | 年/月 | 營收 | 年/月 | 營收 | 年/月 | 營收 | 年/月 | 營收 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024/1 | 21.08 | 2023/1 | 20.92 | 2022/1 | 27.29 | 2021/1 | 23.32 | 2020/1 | 18.08 |
| 2024/2 | 17.16 | 2023/2 | 21.36 | 2022/2 | 32.29 | 2021/2 | 16.75 | 2020/2 | 10.63 |
| 2024/3 | 23.37 | 2023/3 | 24.41 | 2022/3 | 40.65 | 2021/3 | 23.46 | 2020/3 | 14.68 |
| 2024/4 | 27.65 | 2023/4 | 26.39 | 2022/4 | 24.72 | 2021/4 | 20.04 | 2020/4 | 14.28 |
| 2024/5 | 28.58 | 2023/5 | 26.35 | 2022/5 | 30.22 | 2021/5 | 19.64 | 2020/5 | 15.69 |
| 2024/6 | 30.61 | 2023/6 | 28.25 | 2022/6 | 27.47 | 2021/6 | 16.24 | 2020/6 | 16.01 |
| 2024/7 | 30.73 | 2023/7 | 21.01 | 2022/7 | 20.1 | 2021/7 | 15.99 | 2020/7 | 19.88 |
| 2024/8 | 25.5 | 2023/8 | 25.94 | 2022/8 | 20.84 | 2021/8 | 16.07 | 2020/8 | 18.12 |
| 2024/9 | 25.67 | 2023/9 | 30.99 | 2022/9 | 21.19 | 2021/9 | 21.46 | 2020/9 | 19.09 |
| 2024/10 | 25.48 | 2023/10 | 26.49 | 2022/10 | 30.39 | 2021/10 | 29.09 | 2020/10 | 18.11 |
| N/A | N/A | 2023/11 | 27.14 | 2022/11 | 20.48 | 2021/11 | 35.6 | 2020/11 | 18.69 |
| N/A | N/A | 2023/12 | 26.88 | 2022/12 | 25.61 | 2021/12 | 30.78 | 2020/12 | 33.62 |
- 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
| 合約負債 QoQ YoY | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 24Q3 (20) | 100.45 | 11.24 | 40.98 |
| 24Q2 (19) | 90.3 | 4.54 | 31.52 |
| 24Q1 (18) | 86.38 | 12.02 | 25.03 |
| 23Q4 (17) | 77.11 | 8.22 | 2.58 |
| 23Q3 (16) | 71.25 | 3.77 | -8.91 |
| 23Q2 (15) | 68.66 | -0.62 | -11.2 |
| 23Q1 (14) | 69.09 | -8.09 | -14.24 |
| 22Q4 (13) | 75.17 | -3.9 | -14.73 |
| 22Q3 (12) | 78.22 | 1.16 | -8.57 |
| 22Q2 (11) | 77.32 | -4.02 | -6.56 |
| 22Q1 (10) | 80.56 | -8.62 | -3.08 |
| 21Q4 (9) | 88.16 | 3.05 | 8.26 |
| 21Q3 (8) | 85.55 | 3.38 | 6.31 |
| 21Q2 (7) | 82.75 | -0.45 | 9.81 |
| 21Q1 (6) | 83.12 | 2.08 | 24.3 |
| 20Q4 (5) | 81.43 | 1.19 | 23.58 |
| 20Q3 (4) | 80.47 | 6.78 | 0.0 |
| 20Q2 (3) | 75.36 | 12.7 | 0.0 |
| 20Q1 (2) | 66.87 | 1.49 | 0.0 |
| 19Q4 (1) | 65.89 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
