玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 收帳和銷貨天數如果一直上升, 就要當心了!
  • 存貨在不同時期有不同的意義, 像是滯銷, 或是因為報價回升而屯貨, 或是積極備料, 這都需要去看存貨細項和判斷當時的情況來分辨
  • 當存貨增加時, 還需要注意增加的是不是商品或製成品. 如果是在製品或原物料, 反而有可能是供給不順沒法變製成品又或者是需求旺盛(短期營收趨勢向上)
  • 處在景氣下行的公司當存貨細項-原料和在製品的回升可能代表訂單開始回溫了
  • 當記憶體模組廠, 像是威剛、十銓存貨增加時, 有可能是在增加低價庫存, 代表著景氣循環來到相對低點, 也許就是建立部位的好時機
  • 當存貨提列減損損失,虧損認列在該年度,但是存貨價格回升後,之後年度也會直接回沖增加EPS,這種情況很容易在記憶體模組廠見到
  • 存貨一直增加,但是存貨銷售比沒什麼改變,可以推測是公司因為銷售良好而準備的存貨
  • 當淨營業週期(日)接近於0, 代表公司好像在做無本生意
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近20季
存貨銷售比
應收帳款周轉率 QoQ YoY存貨周轉率 QoQ YoY平均收帳天數 QoQ YoY平圴銷貨天數 QoQ YoY應付帳款付現天數 QoQ YoY淨營業週期(日) QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)1.23-27.22-85.440.42-2.33-14.2974.1437.93589.03215.022.7414.82160.700.65176.12128.4624.28-8.12
24Q2 (19)1.69-25.22-70.140.43-29.5148.2853.7533.21234.47209.2840.63-33.94159.67-18.92190.47103.361431.96-62.81
24Q1 (18)2.26-79.0575.190.61-54.81306.6740.35378.08-42.66148.82120.93-75.8196.93288.19144.72-7.76-130.97-101.28
23Q4 (17)10.7927.69162.531.35175.51145.458.44-21.56-61.8867.36-64.03-59.2550.73-12.8459.6325.06-82.08-83.9
23Q3 (16)8.4549.29137.360.4968.9775.010.76-33.04-57.95187.26-40.89-41.8758.205.88-27.2139.82-49.69-47.79
23Q2 (15)5.66338.76-29.60.2993.33-19.4416.07-77.1641.96316.80-48.4824.4954.97-31.69-14.3277.91-54.0537.82
23Q1 (14)1.29-68.61-73.620.15-72.73-48.2870.37217.84278.13614.89272.0198.7480.47153.2115.58604.79288.56134.07
22Q4 (13)4.1115.4537.00.5596.431.8522.14-13.48-27.03165.29-48.69-1.2331.78-60.25-38.42155.65-41.876.55
22Q3 (12)3.56-55.72415.940.28-22.2264.7125.59126.06-80.48322.1426.59-39.0579.9524.65-55.71267.7832.79-44.11
22Q2 (11)8.0464.42458.330.3624.14-34.5511.32-39.17-82.07254.47-17.7553.6964.14-7.87-0.74201.65-21.9622.89
22Q1 (10)4.8963.018.690.29-46.3-69.4718.61-38.66-15.68309.3984.88221.4869.6234.994.04258.3876.88213.45
21Q4 (9)3.00334.7810.290.54217.6550.030.34-76.86-9.16167.35-68.34-33.4451.61-71.41-30.32146.08-69.51-30.69
21Q3 (8)0.69-52.08-20.690.17-69.09-39.29131.12107.6725.73528.52219.2161.75180.50179.33111.73479.13191.9938.56
21Q2 (7)1.44-65.05128.570.55-42.11-5.1763.14186.09-56.27165.5772.046.1564.6280.1874.66164.0999.07-44.14
21Q1 (6)4.1251.471044.440.95163.89111.1122.07-33.92-91.1796.24-61.72-52.9335.88-51.56268.082.43-60.89-81.47
20Q4 (5)2.72212.6400.3628.57033.40-67.970251.43-23.05074.07-13.110210.76-39.050
20Q3 (4)0.8738.10.00.28-51.720.0104.29-27.780.0326.75109.480.085.251185.820.0345.7917.720.0
20Q2 (3)0.6375.00.00.5828.890.0144.40-42.250.0155.98-23.720.06.63-32.00.0293.75-33.950.0
20Q1 (2)0.3600.00.4500.0250.0500.0204.4800.09.7500.0444.7700.0
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近10年
應收帳款周轉率 YoY存貨周轉率 YoY平均收帳天數 YoY平圴銷貨天數 YoY應付帳款付現天數 YoY淨營業週期(日) YoY
2023 (10)7.50-40.661.55-22.8948.6468.48235.6129.8696.41180.91187.846.73
2022 (9)12.64-26.682.0111.6728.8736.37181.43-10.7634.32-33.95175.992.02
2021 (8)17.24480.471.8091.4921.17-82.75203.31-47.6551.96-42.23172.51-59.04
2020 (7)2.9700.940122.740388.39089.940421.190

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