玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/101.04-19.5-3.1810.4424.383.42N/A-
2024/91.2918.2715.89.428.413.322.09-
2024/81.0915.2222.848.1130.672.942.37-
2024/70.954.988.457.0331.983.272.13-
2024/60.9-36.9-2.386.0836.593.492.14-
2024/51.4323.24130.65.1846.783.512.12訂單增加
2024/41.1625.3467.993.7528.942.622.84訂單增加
2024/30.9270.8112.212.5916.82.593.23-
2024/20.54-51.96-13.151.6719.522.743.06-
2024/11.134.8645.871.1345.873.232.59-
2023/121.073.930.410.5-17.023.182.7-
2023/111.03-3.52100.579.43-20.323.222.67訂單增加
2023/101.07-3.71-10.878.39-25.833.072.8-
2023/91.1125.451.497.32-27.62.873.07-
2023/80.891.72-35.516.21-31.142.683.29-
2023/70.87-5.5-13.525.32-30.362.413.65-
2023/60.9249.05-16.314.45-32.912.234.53-
2023/50.62-10.21-45.913.53-36.222.134.75-
2023/40.69-16.27-47.52.91-33.72.144.74-
2023/30.8232.2-43.312.22-27.82.224.83-
2023/20.62-19.32-12.671.4-13.892.224.83-
2023/10.77-6.26-14.850.77-14.852.115.08-
2022/120.8259.82-15.412.66-27.412.544.08-
2022/110.52-57.13-52.1711.83-28.122.813.68本月出貨排程較少及因客戶藥證更新延宕調整訂單
2022/101.29.64-7.5111.32-26.433.672.82-
2022/91.1-20.29-18.5710.12-28.183.483.11-
2022/81.3836.4212.549.02-29.23.493.11-
2022/71.01-8.55-17.417.64-33.633.263.33-
2022/61.1-3.66-45.26.63-35.553.563.47-
2022/51.14-12.86-34.635.53-33.213.913.16-
2022/41.31-9.58-10.744.39-32.823.483.55-
2022/31.45103.65-4.743.07-39.253.074.44-
2022/20.71-21.33-53.371.62-54.142.595.26訂單調整影響
2022/10.91-6.87-54.740.91-54.742.964.61訂單調整影響
2021/120.97-9.65-51.717.44-4.563.353.9訂單調整影響
2021/111.08-17.09-55.3116.461.283.723.51訂單調整影響
2021/101.3-3.464.7215.3911.143.873.38-
2021/91.3510.17-15.2314.0911.773.793.66-
2021/81.220.1-18.4112.7415.664.463.11-
2021/71.22-39.321.2711.5221.034.992.78-
2021/62.0114.982.8810.323.95.242.06訂單增加及產能增加
2021/51.7518.9911.938.2814.94.752.27-
2021/41.47-3.58.76.5315.724.532.38-
2021/31.53-0.33.515.0617.935.062.18-
2021/21.53-23.642.443.5325.485.551.98-
2021/12.0-0.6351.492.051.496.431.71訂單增加
2020/122.02-16.3845.5618.2738.565.671.9-
2020/112.4194.27133.5916.2637.745.242.06訂單增加及產能增加
2020/101.24-21.86-7.2313.8428.554.332.49-
2020/91.596.0353.9312.633.634.292.47訂單增加
2020/81.524.2619.3211.0131.133.82.78-
2020/71.219.577.029.5133.213.872.74-
2020/61.1-29.665.438.3138.114.022.51-
2020/51.5615.5661.427.2144.974.392.29訂單增加
2020/41.35-8.1131.555.6440.994.322.33-
2020/31.47-1.3415.44.2944.254.292.13-
2020/21.4912.9193.222.8265.964.22.18訂單增加
2020/11.32-4.5243.151.3243.153.742.44-
2019/121.3934.1881.213.1919.370.0N/A訂單增加
2019/111.03-22.8425.6511.814.770.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/11.132023/10.772022/10.912021/12.02020/11.32
2024/20.542023/20.622022/20.712021/21.532020/21.49
2024/30.922023/30.822022/31.452021/31.532020/31.47
2024/41.162023/40.692022/41.312021/41.472020/41.35
2024/51.432023/50.622022/51.142021/51.752020/51.56
2024/60.92023/60.922022/61.12021/62.012020/61.1
2024/70.952023/70.872022/71.012021/71.222020/71.21
2024/81.092023/80.892022/81.382021/81.222020/81.5
2024/91.292023/91.112022/91.12021/91.352020/91.59
2024/101.042023/101.072022/101.22021/101.32020/101.24
N/AN/A2023/111.032022/110.522021/111.082020/112.41
N/AN/A2023/121.072022/120.822021/120.972020/122.02
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 0.25%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.08-33.33-72.41
24Q2 (19)0.12100.0-67.57
24Q1 (18)0.06-70.0-88.46
23Q4 (17)0.2-31.03-68.75
23Q3 (16)0.29-21.62-62.82
23Q2 (15)0.37-28.85-57.47
23Q1 (14)0.52-18.75-41.57
22Q4 (13)0.64-17.95-38.46
22Q3 (12)0.78-10.34-39.06
22Q2 (11)0.87-2.25-35.07
22Q1 (10)0.89-14.42-57.82
21Q4 (9)1.04-18.75-53.78
21Q3 (8)1.28-4.48-45.3
21Q2 (7)1.34-36.49-44.4
21Q1 (6)2.11-6.220.96
20Q4 (5)2.25-3.8553.06
20Q3 (4)2.34-2.90.0
20Q2 (3)2.4115.310.0
20Q1 (2)2.0942.180.0
19Q4 (1)1.470.00.0

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