玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/101.9312.74-16.5618.95-24.45.65N/A-
2024/91.71-14.48-29.4517.01-25.25.640.64-
2024/82.04.23-4.6415.3-24.695.750.63-
2024/71.925.35-14.6113.3-27.05.740.63-
2024/61.82-8.54-34.9311.38-28.755.760.65-
2024/51.992.65-23.419.55-27.445.950.63-
2024/41.94-3.73-29.157.56-28.435.550.68-
2024/32.0226.92-31.015.62-28.175.620.68-
2024/21.59-20.87-36.863.6-26.486.210.62-
2024/12.01-23.0-15.482.01-15.486.710.57-
2023/122.6124.7712.8129.766.597.020.55-
2023/112.09-9.63-27.6627.156.026.830.57-
2023/102.31-4.43-25.4725.0610.316.840.56-
2023/92.4215.29-3.4822.7515.986.770.59-
2023/82.1-6.66-2.7720.3218.847.220.55-
2023/72.25-21.5912.4818.2221.967.720.52-
2023/62.8710.2313.0915.9723.438.220.45-
2023/52.6-5.0335.4213.125.958.210.45-
2023/42.74-4.1430.1310.523.818.120.45-
2023/32.8613.5831.17.7621.727.760.46-
2023/22.525.9138.354.916.837.210.49-
2023/12.382.780.32.380.37.580.47-
2022/122.31-19.99-14.427.920.788.310.4-
2022/112.89-6.8822.9925.612.428.510.39-
2022/103.1123.7634.3222.720.297.770.43-
2022/92.5116.14-8.2419.61-3.576.670.55-
2022/82.167.987.9917.1-2.856.70.55-
2022/72.0-21.1729.714.94-4.246.460.57-
2022/62.5432.017.4512.94-7.966.570.56-
2022/51.92-8.74-12.4510.4-12.586.210.59-
2022/42.11-3.42-12.578.48-12.616.110.6-
2022/32.1819.86-21.686.37-12.626.370.55-
2022/21.82-23.2-1.854.19-7.026.890.51-
2022/12.37-12.29-10.642.37-10.647.420.47-
2021/122.714.96-5.827.71.47.370.44-
2021/112.351.69-21.6625.02.257.40.44-
2021/102.31-15.45-7.8122.655.597.050.46-
2021/92.7336.71.6320.347.376.280.53-
2021/82.029.69-11.9817.68.325.70.59-
2021/71.54-28.62-31.8215.611.625.90.57-
2021/62.16-1.6-4.0714.0620.026.770.51-
2021/52.2-8.871.2411.925.757.390.46-
2021/42.41-13.4828.879.733.047.050.49-
2021/32.7950.2164.667.2934.487.290.46去年受疫情影響嚴峻,今年疫情趨緩已恢復正常營運
2021/21.85-30.0918.064.5120.87.380.46-
2021/12.65-7.5422.792.6522.798.520.4-
2020/122.87-4.39-19.9127.32-15.538.380.41-
2020/113.019.6610.4224.45-14.998.20.41-
2020/102.51-6.79-7.3321.45-17.647.470.46-
2020/92.6918.38-0.4118.94-18.837.230.47-
2020/82.270.45-9.3816.25-21.256.790.5-
2020/72.260.44-13.1213.98-22.896.680.51-
2020/62.253.84-16.9611.71-24.536.290.55-
2020/52.1715.99-27.599.46-26.135.730.6-
2020/41.8710.53-40.697.29-25.685.130.67-
2020/31.697.7-35.815.42-18.585.420.61-
2020/21.57-27.28-2.443.73-7.297.310.45-
2020/12.16-39.69-10.532.16-10.538.460.39-
2019/123.5831.8123.0632.344.010.0N/A-
2019/112.720.42-1.5828.762.040.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/12.012023/12.382022/12.372021/12.652020/12.16
2024/21.592023/22.522022/21.822021/21.852020/21.57
2024/32.022023/32.862022/32.182021/32.792020/31.69
2024/41.942023/42.742022/42.112021/42.412020/41.87
2024/51.992023/52.62022/51.922021/52.22020/52.17
2024/61.822023/62.872022/62.542021/62.162020/62.25
2024/71.922023/72.252022/72.02021/71.542020/72.26
2024/82.02023/82.12022/82.162021/82.02020/82.27
2024/91.712023/92.422022/92.512021/92.732020/92.69
2024/101.932023/102.312022/103.112021/102.312020/102.51
N/AN/A2023/112.092022/112.892021/112.352020/113.0
N/AN/A2023/122.612022/122.312021/122.72020/122.87
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 294.74%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)18.26-3.39-2.46
24Q2 (19)18.90.91-0.11
24Q1 (18)18.730.86-0.11
23Q4 (17)18.57-0.8-1.17
23Q3 (16)18.72-1.060.81
23Q2 (15)18.920.910.85
23Q1 (14)18.75-0.21-1.42
22Q4 (13)18.791.180.16
22Q3 (12)18.57-1.01-4.38
22Q2 (11)18.76-1.37-3.3
22Q1 (10)19.021.39-3.21
21Q4 (9)18.76-3.4-3.35
21Q3 (8)19.420.12.75
21Q2 (7)19.4-1.273.74
21Q1 (6)19.651.245.7
20Q4 (5)19.412.72.05
20Q3 (4)18.91.070.0
20Q2 (3)18.70.590.0
20Q1 (2)18.59-2.260.0
19Q4 (1)19.020.00.0

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