玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/110.745.7514.447.6119.462.13N/A-
2024/100.70.2319.246.8720.032.02N/A-
2024/90.711.1211.576.1720.122.121.09-
2024/80.63-21.026.275.4721.312.051.12-
2024/70.7927.1963.14.8523.572.151.07因子公司新增加客戶及產品
2024/60.62-14.7738.654.0517.972.130.99-
2024/50.73-5.0114.93.4314.842.140.99-
2024/40.7720.8821.172.6914.831.81.17-
2024/30.6462.32-17.01.9212.471.920.97-
2024/20.39-55.96-26.581.2936.541.880.99-
2024/10.8949.73119.740.89119.742.130.87今年1月營收增加主要為112年1月份為農曆春節工作天數少,113年營收增加主要為客戶提前備貨及客戶訂單有回籠所致
2023/120.6-7.65-19.496.96-20.21.831.01-
2023/110.6510.18-7.486.37-20.271.860.99-
2023/100.59-6.2123.595.72-21.51.81.02-
2023/90.625.84-3.275.14-24.631.71.16-
2023/80.5921.21-23.34.51-26.871.531.3-
2023/70.498.12-37.633.92-27.381.571.26-
2023/60.45-29.37-40.113.43-25.641.721.26-
2023/50.640.17-13.062.98-22.832.041.07-
2023/40.64-17.2-21.182.35-25.121.941.12-
2023/30.7743.59-21.581.71-26.481.711.52-
2023/20.5431.79-2.710.94-30.051.681.55-
2023/10.41-45.14-48.960.41-48.961.841.41-
2022/120.746.12-2.378.73-27.991.911.62-
2022/110.747.18-20.417.99-29.71.821.71-
2022/100.47-26.59-38.067.29-30.481.891.64-
2022/90.65-16.07-32.666.81-29.882.21.62-
2022/80.77-1.43-18.776.17-29.582.31.54-
2022/70.783.82-36.55.4-30.892.271.57-
2022/60.752.53-32.364.62-29.842.291.64-
2022/50.73-9.18-40.133.87-29.332.521.49-
2022/40.81-17.62-25.563.13-26.222.341.61-
2022/30.9878.13-13.422.33-26.442.331.6-
2022/20.55-30.85-2.611.35-33.72.11.77-
2022/10.84.93-45.690.8-45.692.431.53-
2021/120.76-13.48-39.2712.1210.792.41.62-
2021/110.8814.53-10.7611.3617.242.61.5-
2021/100.77-20.19-21.1810.4820.42.671.46-
2021/90.961.23-8.439.7225.623.141.22-
2021/80.95-22.951.298.7630.953.291.16-
2021/71.2310.635.167.8135.783.571.07-
2021/61.11-9.2438.46.5835.893.420.95-
2021/51.2212.9156.595.4735.393.440.94主要系因汽車產業銷售增加及歐美工具機景氣回溫
2021/41.08-4.1850.344.2530.312.781.17主要系因汽車產業銷售增加及歐美工具機景氣回溫
2021/31.13100.37-8.073.1624.613.160.82-
2021/20.56-61.447.72.0355.433.280.79主要系因汽車產業銷售增加及歐美工具機景氣回溫
2021/11.4717.3387.461.4787.463.70.7主要系因汽車產業銷售增加及歐美工具機景氣回溫
2020/121.2527.123.4710.94-16.133.20.71-
2020/110.981.16-20.139.69-18.133.00.75-
2020/100.97-7.2712.378.71-17.92.950.77-
2020/91.0511.9814.757.74-20.592.890.78-
2020/80.942.81-2.176.69-24.242.650.85-
2020/70.9113.24-10.25.75-26.922.490.91-
2020/60.82.68-20.224.84-29.392.311.18-
2020/50.788.41-40.314.04-30.962.741.0-
2020/40.72-41.41-41.033.26-28.272.481.1-
2020/31.23134.753.142.54-23.562.541.12-
2020/20.52-32.88-39.821.31-38.562.511.13-
2020/10.78-35.23-37.690.78-37.690.0N/A-
2019/121.21-1.88-29.4413.04-16.910.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.892023/10.412022/10.82021/11.472020/10.78
2024/20.392023/20.542022/20.552021/20.562020/20.52
2024/30.642023/30.772022/30.982021/31.132020/31.23
2024/40.772023/40.642022/40.812021/41.082020/40.72
2024/50.732023/50.642022/50.732021/51.222020/50.78
2024/60.622023/60.452022/60.752021/61.112020/60.8
2024/70.792023/70.492022/70.782021/71.232020/70.91
2024/80.632023/80.592022/80.772021/80.952020/80.94
2024/90.72023/90.622022/90.652021/90.962020/91.05
2024/100.72023/100.592022/100.472021/100.772020/100.97
2024/110.742023/110.652022/110.72021/110.882020/110.98
N/AN/A2023/120.62022/120.742021/120.762020/121.25
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 1.27%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.1183.3337.5
24Q2 (19)0.060.0-25.0
24Q1 (18)0.06-25.0-25.0
23Q4 (17)0.080.00.0
23Q3 (16)0.080.0-11.11
23Q2 (15)0.080.014.29
23Q1 (14)0.080.033.33
22Q4 (13)0.08-11.1133.33
22Q3 (12)0.0928.5780.0
22Q2 (11)0.0716.6740.0
22Q1 (10)0.060.00.0
21Q4 (9)0.0620.00.0
21Q3 (8)0.050.0-37.5
21Q2 (7)0.05-16.67-28.57
21Q1 (6)0.060.00.0
20Q4 (5)0.06-25.020.0
20Q3 (4)0.0814.290.0
20Q2 (3)0.0716.670.0
20Q1 (2)0.0620.00.0
19Q4 (1)0.050.00.0

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