玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.613.432.626.67-5.481.78N/A-
2024/90.53-20.58-2.686.07-6.211.821.56-
2024/80.664.9914.85.55-6.531.861.52-
2024/70.6310.4-1.274.88-8.832.081.36-
2024/60.57-35.11-28.414.25-9.852.321.19-
2024/50.881.23-4.843.68-6.072.591.06-
2024/40.873.394.192.8-6.462.131.29-
2024/30.8497.83-17.951.93-10.561.931.43-
2024/20.42-36.57-37.321.09-3.921.721.61-
2024/10.677.3445.10.6745.11.981.4-
2023/120.62-8.929.08.36-13.241.891.38-
2023/110.6917.94-1.627.74-14.641.811.44-
2023/100.587.56-0.277.05-15.721.71.53-
2023/90.54-6.31-38.346.47-16.881.751.36-
2023/80.58-9.7-44.535.93-14.162.011.19-
2023/70.64-19.95-38.775.36-8.792.361.01-
2023/60.8-13.74-18.274.72-2.322.560.93-
2023/50.9210.855.23.921.712.780.86-
2023/40.83-18.589.613.00.672.540.94-
2023/31.0251.1310.292.16-2.382.161.29-
2023/20.6846.8317.491.14-11.531.711.64-
2023/10.46-19.35-35.080.46-35.081.731.62-
2022/120.57-17.81-14.559.643.971.851.48-
2022/110.719.56-2.239.075.412.151.27-
2022/100.58-33.49-11.028.376.12.51.1-
2022/90.88-15.721.857.797.652.960.94-
2022/81.04-0.3221.036.918.433.060.91-
2022/71.046.8411.15.876.472.90.96-
2022/60.9811.048.04.835.532.621.12-
2022/50.8815.498.493.864.922.571.14-
2022/40.76-18.08-7.792.983.912.271.29-
2022/30.9360.992.442.228.652.221.29-
2022/20.58-18.8728.91.2913.611.961.47-
2022/10.716.133.630.713.632.091.37-
2021/120.67-5.9517.659.2714.322.041.44-
2021/110.718.8235.378.614.062.231.32-
2021/100.65-23.8610.127.8912.472.371.23-
2021/90.860.1422.077.2312.682.660.98-
2021/80.86-8.51.186.3811.532.70.97-
2021/70.943.860.155.5213.332.650.98-
2021/60.911.5518.714.5816.472.541.08-
2021/50.81-1.8484.473.6715.932.541.08去年同期因全球新冠肺炎疫情影響,以致比較基期較低
2021/40.83-8.9815.742.874.922.181.26-
2021/30.91102.589.432.041.092.041.27-
2021/20.45-34.77-26.441.13-4.711.71.53-
2021/10.6920.4918.030.6918.031.781.46-
2020/120.578.19-27.778.11-11.661.691.5-
2020/110.53-11.46-3.167.54-10.151.821.39-
2020/100.59-15.6-7.047.01-10.632.151.18-
2020/90.7-16.9911.356.42-10.952.490.97-
2020/80.85-9.4313.515.72-13.092.550.95-
2020/70.9423.113.844.87-16.52.141.13-
2020/60.7673.34-3.223.93-20.231.911.52-
2020/50.44-38.41-47.723.17-23.461.981.46-
2020/40.71-13.94-21.812.73-17.292.151.35-
2020/30.8336.17-6.352.02-15.572.021.46-
2020/20.614.66-5.981.19-20.991.981.49-
2020/10.58-26.27-32.30.58-32.31.911.54-
2019/120.7945.0630.189.18-13.30.0N/A-
2019/110.54-15.011.198.39-15.940.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.672023/10.462022/10.712021/10.692020/10.58
2024/20.422023/20.682022/20.582021/20.452020/20.61
2024/30.842023/31.022022/30.932021/30.912020/30.83
2024/40.872023/40.832022/40.762021/40.832020/40.71
2024/50.882023/50.922022/50.882021/50.812020/50.44
2024/60.572023/60.82022/60.982021/60.92020/60.76
2024/70.632023/70.642022/71.042021/70.942020/70.94
2024/80.662023/80.582022/81.042021/80.862020/80.85
2024/90.532023/90.542022/90.882021/90.862020/90.7
2024/100.62023/100.582022/100.582021/100.652020/100.59
N/AN/A2023/110.692022/110.72021/110.712020/110.53
N/AN/A2023/120.622022/120.572021/120.672020/120.57
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 2.01%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.12100.0100.0
24Q2 (19)0.06-33.33-25.0
24Q1 (18)0.090.050.0
23Q4 (17)0.0950.050.0
23Q3 (16)0.06-25.00.0
23Q2 (15)0.0833.3333.33
23Q1 (14)0.060.0-45.45
22Q4 (13)0.060.0-40.0
22Q3 (12)0.060.0-25.0
22Q2 (11)0.06-45.45-33.33
22Q1 (10)0.1110.057.14
21Q4 (9)0.125.042.86
21Q3 (8)0.08-11.1133.33
21Q2 (7)0.0928.57125.0
21Q1 (6)0.070.0133.33
20Q4 (5)0.0716.67250.0
20Q3 (4)0.0650.00.0
20Q2 (3)0.0433.330.0
20Q1 (2)0.0350.00.0
19Q4 (1)0.020.00.0

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