玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/102.913.2745.9526.4724.088.7N/A-
2024/92.82-5.2-16.5823.5621.838.491.54-
2024/82.9710.1733.1520.7529.968.841.47-
2024/72.7-14.9277.2917.7729.448.51.53依客戶訂單交期安排,本月出貨量較去年同期多所致。
2024/63.1720.25-3.1615.0823.478.161.46-
2024/52.6412.0533.5511.9133.247.611.56-
2024/42.35-10.0774.249.2733.156.681.78係航太產業市場回溫所致。
2024/32.6252.6620.796.9223.266.921.67-
2024/21.71-33.72-13.954.324.817.491.54-
2024/12.59-19.0377.952.5977.958.951.29依客戶訂單交期安排,本月出貨量較去年同期多所致。
2023/123.190.725.5327.77.038.361.27-
2023/113.1759.07117.5824.517.228.541.24係航太產業市場回溫所致。
2023/101.99-40.97-1.8621.33-0.287.61.39-
2023/93.3851.3132.1719.34-0.127.131.71-
2023/82.2346.699.4515.96-5.037.031.73-
2023/71.52-53.53-28.9113.73-7.036.771.8-
2023/63.2765.8527.1212.21-3.326.61.89-
2023/51.9746.19-12.018.94-11.125.492.28-
2023/41.35-37.66-18.046.96-10.865.512.27-
2023/32.178.74-18.745.61-8.945.612.27-
2023/21.9937.078.643.45-1.486.471.96-
2023/11.45-51.98-12.641.45-12.645.942.14-
2022/123.03107.67-0.1425.8827.896.521.78-
2022/111.46-28.25-10.5222.8532.826.041.91-
2022/102.03-20.4911.1921.437.366.631.75-
2022/92.5625.315.2919.3640.846.731.73-
2022/82.04-4.7329.9716.8145.756.761.72-
2022/72.14-16.8944.1214.7748.236.961.67-
2022/62.5814.7928.0812.6348.956.471.71-
2022/52.2436.1661.4610.0555.446.561.69係市場回溫所致。
2022/41.65-38.1822.147.8153.796.151.8係市場回溫所致。
2022/32.6745.3972.196.1665.236.161.69係市場回溫所致。
2022/21.8310.2160.963.560.296.531.59係市場回溫所致。
2022/11.66-45.1159.571.6659.576.321.64係市場回溫所致。
2021/123.0386.078.4720.24-3.736.491.51-
2021/111.63-10.8327.417.2-5.615.671.73-
2021/101.83-17.564.5415.58-8.15.611.74-
2021/92.2241.2630.0213.75-9.555.271.94-
2021/81.575.641.9311.53-14.555.062.02-
2021/71.49-26.1523.079.96-16.674.892.09-
2021/62.0144.7-31.388.48-21.134.751.94-
2021/51.393.0113.856.47-17.294.292.15-
2021/41.35-12.86-20.75.08-23.054.042.29-
2021/31.5535.9-25.563.73-23.873.732.19-
2021/21.149.25-7.142.18-22.624.981.64-
2021/11.04-62.68-34.541.04-34.545.121.59-
2020/122.79118.54-29.3821.0210.075.821.29108年11月起新增子公司
2020/111.28-26.83-50.3818.2320.384.731.59108年11月起新增子公司
2020/101.752.523.0516.9534.894.991.5108年11月起新增子公司
2020/91.710.7410.9715.239.864.451.96108年11月起新增子公司
2020/81.5427.5558.0813.544.615.681.53108年11月起新增子公司
2020/71.21-58.828.6711.9643.055.361.62-
2020/62.93140.1143.3910.7548.315.851.65108年11月起新增子公司
2020/51.22-28.25-13.417.8229.375.01.93-
2020/41.7-18.262.976.642.385.011.93108年11月起新增子公司
2020/32.0869.5425.964.936.44.92.39-
2020/21.23-22.9824.592.8245.286.781.73-
2020/11.59-59.7466.591.5966.598.131.44108年度11月起新增子公司
2019/123.9653.53103.8919.1-5.390.0N/A108年度11月起新增子公司
2019/112.5851.9977.3115.14-17.020.0N/A本期新增子公司
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/12.592023/11.452022/11.662021/11.042020/11.59
2024/21.712023/21.992022/21.832021/21.142020/21.23
2024/32.622023/32.172022/32.672021/31.552020/32.08
2024/42.352023/41.352022/41.652021/41.352020/41.7
2024/52.642023/51.972022/52.242021/51.392020/51.22
2024/63.172023/63.272022/62.582021/62.012020/62.93
2024/72.72023/71.522022/72.142021/71.492020/71.21
2024/82.972023/82.232022/82.042021/81.572020/81.54
2024/92.822023/93.382022/92.562021/92.222020/91.7
2024/102.912023/101.992022/102.032021/101.832020/101.75
N/AN/A2023/113.172022/111.462021/111.632020/111.28
N/AN/A2023/123.192022/123.032021/123.032020/122.79
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 40.04%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)2.23.29-13.04
24Q2 (19)2.13-9.36-27.05
24Q1 (18)2.3531.28-38.96
23Q4 (17)1.79-29.25-48.27
23Q3 (16)2.53-13.36-38.89
23Q2 (15)2.92-24.16-10.98
23Q1 (14)3.8511.2736.52
22Q4 (13)3.46-16.4320.14
22Q3 (12)4.1426.2232.27
22Q2 (11)3.2816.31106.29
22Q1 (10)2.82-2.0868.86
21Q4 (9)2.88-7.99116.54
21Q3 (8)3.1396.8689.7
21Q2 (7)1.59-4.79-23.92
21Q1 (6)1.6725.56-35.77
20Q4 (5)1.33-19.39-15.82
20Q3 (4)1.65-21.050.0
20Q2 (3)2.09-19.620.0
20Q1 (2)2.664.560.0
19Q4 (1)1.580.00.0

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