玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 收帳和銷貨天數如果一直上升, 就要當心了!
  • 存貨在不同時期有不同的意義, 像是滯銷, 或是因為報價回升而屯貨, 或是積極備料, 這都需要去看存貨細項和判斷當時的情況來分辨
  • 當存貨增加時, 還需要注意增加的是不是商品或製成品. 如果是在製品或原物料, 反而有可能是供給不順沒法變製成品又或者是需求旺盛(短期營收趨勢向上)
  • 處在景氣下行的公司當存貨細項-原料和在製品的回升可能代表訂單開始回溫了
  • 當記憶體模組廠, 像是威剛、十銓存貨增加時, 有可能是在增加低價庫存, 代表著景氣循環來到相對低點, 也許就是建立部位的好時機
  • 當存貨提列減損損失,虧損認列在該年度,但是存貨價格回升後,之後年度也會直接回沖增加EPS,這種情況很容易在記憶體模組廠見到
  • 存貨一直增加,但是存貨銷售比沒什麼改變,可以推測是公司因為銷售良好而準備的存貨
  • 當淨營業週期(日)接近於0, 代表公司好像在做無本生意
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近20季
存貨銷售比
應收帳款周轉率 QoQ YoY存貨周轉率 QoQ YoY平均收帳天數 QoQ YoY平圴銷貨天數 QoQ YoY應付帳款付現天數 QoQ YoY淨營業週期(日) QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.89-18.353.492.1445.5867.19102.5922.45-2.6642.48-31.43-40.378.630.1344.7866.44-1.13-45.65
24Q2 (19)1.09136.9626.741.47101.3747.083.78-57.71-20.9761.95-50.16-32.0278.53-41.33-0.4467.20-64.36-43.18
24Q1 (18)0.46-62.6-48.310.73-47.1-42.06198.11166.7893.88124.3088.1172.42133.8482.7953.77188.57180.94116.2
23Q4 (17)1.2343.0220.591.387.8138.074.26-29.54-16.766.08-7.13-27.6673.2234.82-42.2967.12-45.0925.18
23Q3 (16)0.860.0-21.11.2828.00.0105.39-0.5826.3471.15-21.920.154.31-31.15-34.19122.243.3769.82
23Q2 (15)0.86-3.3740.981.00-20.6311.11106.013.75-29.3491.1326.41-9.8478.88-9.38-0.57118.2635.59-31.16
23Q1 (14)0.89-12.75493.331.2626.0106.56102.1814.62-83.1272.09-21.08-51.5387.04-31.4-69.0587.2262.66-81.56
22Q4 (13)1.02-6.42-5.561.00-21.88-42.289.156.875.991.3528.5273.77126.8853.7650.6753.62-25.512.06
22Q3 (12)1.0978.69-11.381.2842.2240.6683.42-44.412.9171.08-29.68-29.0582.524.02-30.5471.98-58.130.26
22Q2 (11)0.61306.67-53.440.9047.54-7.22150.03-75.22116.56101.08-32.038.2979.33-71.79-20.42171.78-63.68172.93
22Q1 (10)0.15-86.11-79.730.61-64.74-25.61605.45619.23389.53148.72182.934.38281.23233.96104.23472.94800.15389.33
21Q4 (9)1.08-12.2-1.821.7390.113.5984.1813.941.4652.57-47.52-3.3684.21-29.12-18.752.54-4.9255.49
21Q3 (8)1.23-6.11-23.130.91-6.19-63.7573.886.6430.21100.187.33176.66118.8019.1883.2855.26-12.296.51
21Q2 (7)1.3177.0333.670.9718.29-28.6869.28-43.98-25.4793.34-15.6639.9299.68-27.6125.7862.94-34.88-21.73
21Q1 (6)0.74-32.73-29.520.82-50.9-32.79123.6849.0743.28110.67103.4448.49137.7032.9496.5796.65186.036.45
20Q4 (5)1.10-31.2548.651.67-33.4785.5682.9746.23-32.554.4050.23-46.24103.5859.80.8533.7920.16-72.17
20Q3 (4)1.6063.270.02.5184.560.056.74-38.960.036.21-45.720.064.82-18.210.028.12-65.030.0
20Q2 (3)0.98-6.670.01.3611.480.092.957.680.066.71-10.490.079.2513.130.080.41-11.430.0
20Q1 (2)1.0541.890.01.2235.560.086.32-29.780.074.53-26.350.070.05-31.80.090.79-25.210.0
19Q4 (1)0.740.00.00.900.00.0122.920.00.0101.190.00.0102.710.00.0121.400.00.0
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近10年
應收帳款周轉率 YoY存貨周轉率 YoY平均收帳天數 YoY平圴銷貨天數 YoY應付帳款付現天數 YoY淨營業週期(日) YoY
2023 (10)2.63130.73.33-19.57138.54-56.77109.4724.24136.51-34.77111.50-44.07
2022 (9)1.14-62.624.14-55.96320.50167.6688.11126.91209.26134.81199.34187.07
2021 (8)3.05-36.339.4065.78119.7457.0838.83-39.6689.1214.7369.4410.4
2020 (7)4.79-36.975.6765.3176.2358.8164.35-39.5877.68-7.6862.90-10.62
2019 (6)7.601.883.43-7.848.00-1.88106.518.6584.14-15.4870.3748.46
2018 (5)7.46-24.423.72-15.6548.9232.2998.0318.5799.557.0847.4077.59
2017 (4)9.87-73.234.41-18.6336.98273.5482.6822.6992.9778.2126.696.25
2016 (3)36.8767.595.42-6.559.90-40.3367.397.0552.17-13.6825.1231.52
2015 (2)22.0077.135.80-8.2316.59-43.5362.959.0660.44-17.3519.1036.82
2014 (1)12.42-5.056.32-2.0229.385.2357.721.9873.1321.613.96-42.72

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