玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/111.822.0436.9517.9113.725.22N/A-
2024/101.789.80.8616.111.585.07N/A-
2024/91.62-2.9226.4514.3213.084.881.14-
2024/81.674.8437.5312.6911.574.961.12-
2024/71.59-6.45-9.311.028.474.971.12-
2024/61.71.77-6.819.4312.194.751.03-
2024/51.6721.817.997.7317.464.821.02-
2024/41.37-22.4755.856.0620.384.551.08本月營收增加主係因主要客戶之營收較去年同期成長
2024/31.7726.2225.064.6812.854.681.03-
2024/21.4-7.13-6.622.916.524.721.02-
2024/11.51-16.3422.551.5122.554.641.04-
2023/121.8136.18-3.0517.56-20.584.91.0-
2023/111.33-24.84-27.8415.75-22.194.371.12-
2023/101.7637.66-22.1614.42-21.634.261.15-
2023/91.285.58-49.8812.66-21.554.251.24-
2023/81.21-30.85-15.9211.38-16.224.81.1-
2023/71.76-3.886.5910.16-16.265.131.03-
2023/61.8317.94-29.558.41-19.844.261.34-
2023/51.5575.811.446.58-16.653.851.49-
2023/40.88-37.78-49.665.03-22.663.81.51-
2023/31.42-5.75-45.44.15-12.724.151.42-
2023/21.521.8830.322.7426.464.61.28-
2023/11.23-33.7722.051.2322.054.931.2-
2022/121.861.283.2422.119.485.970.9-
2022/111.84-18.9222.4220.2421.246.660.81-
2022/102.27-11.3553.9618.4121.126.270.86本月營收較去年同期增加54%,因主要客戶受船期影響,原排訂11月出貨,提前於本月出貨,故同期月營收差異較大。
2022/92.5677.1237.9916.1417.65.650.98-
2022/81.44-12.34-2.6613.5814.415.680.97-
2022/71.65-36.481.5412.1416.855.630.98-
2022/62.5986.666.4110.4919.695.731.0因主要客戶受船期影響,原排訂5月出貨,延至6月出貨,故同期月營收差異較大。
2022/51.39-20.599.937.99.585.731.0-
2022/41.75-32.5134.286.519.515.51.04-
2022/32.59124.9796.584.762.554.761.23本月營收較去年同期增加96%,因客戶受疫情船運影響,原預計於今年1~2月出貨,延後於3月出貨,故累計第一季營收比同期增加2.55%
2022/21.1514.15-4.772.16-34.823.971.48-
2022/11.01-43.98-52.081.01-52.084.311.36因主要客戶受疫情船運影響,故同期營收差異較大。
2021/121.820.1-37.8918.510.864.781.24-
2021/111.51.9627.8216.721.134.831.22-
2021/101.47-20.5548.1415.1920.514.811.23-
2021/91.8524.92-6.9113.7216.224.961.24-
2021/81.48-8.54-2.2111.8720.924.661.32-
2021/71.624.0938.5710.3925.154.441.38-
2021/61.5623.2627.668.7622.944.131.33-
2021/51.26-3.05.57.2121.973.891.41-
2021/41.3-1.210.95.9426.163.831.43-
2021/31.328.9822.524.6431.234.641.13-
2021/21.21-42.56-21.483.3235.056.220.84-
2021/12.11-27.39130.272.11130.276.190.85110年1月營收較去年同期增加130.28%,主係因主要客戶受疫情影響,原應去年12月下單出貨 ,延後至今年1月所致。
2020/122.9147.187.916.69-23.215.071.03-
2020/111.1718.17-31.2213.78-27.64.161.25-
2020/100.99-50.08-68.112.61-27.254.51.16本月營收減少主係因客戶訂單延遲出貨所致
2020/91.9931.2424.7911.81-16.944.681.2-
2020/81.5229.597.589.82-22.213.911.44-
2020/71.17-4.1-37.058.3-25.963.591.57-
2020/61.221.86-21.947.13-23.763.591.48-
2020/51.21.95-44.555.91-24.123.451.54-
2020/41.189.14-40.724.71-16.273.791.4-
2020/31.08-30.16-27.023.53-2.963.531.37-
2020/21.5468.4364.312.4613.435.150.94109年2月營收較去年同期增加64.31%,主係因今年客戶下單原由1月延至2月所致,若以YOY來看,年度增加比例僅為13.43%。
2020/10.92-65.97-25.440.92-25.440.0N/A-
2019/122.6957.5534.1921.738.250.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/11.512023/11.232022/11.012021/12.112020/10.92
2024/21.42023/21.52022/21.152021/21.212020/21.54
2024/31.772023/31.422022/32.592021/31.322020/31.08
2024/41.372023/40.882022/41.752021/41.32020/41.18
2024/51.672023/51.552022/51.392021/51.262020/51.2
2024/61.72023/61.832022/62.592021/61.562020/61.22
2024/71.592023/71.762022/71.652021/71.622020/71.17
2024/81.672023/81.212022/81.442021/81.482020/81.52
2024/91.622023/91.282022/92.562021/91.852020/91.99
2024/101.782023/101.762022/102.272021/101.472020/100.99
2024/111.822023/111.332022/111.842021/111.52020/111.17
N/AN/A2023/121.812022/121.862021/121.82020/122.9
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 0.66%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.04300.033.33
24Q2 (19)0.01-50.0-87.5
24Q1 (18)0.020.00.0
23Q4 (17)0.02-33.33-81.82
23Q3 (16)0.03-62.5200.0
23Q2 (15)0.08300.0-20.0
23Q1 (14)0.02-81.820.0
22Q4 (13)0.111000.0450.0
22Q3 (12)0.01-90.0-80.0
22Q2 (11)0.1400.0-37.5
22Q1 (10)0.020.0100.0
21Q4 (9)0.02-60.0-86.67
21Q3 (8)0.05-68.7525.0
21Q2 (7)0.161500.00
21Q1 (6)0.01-93.330.0
20Q4 (5)0.15275.01400.0
20Q3 (4)0.0400.0

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