玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/105.47-10.4830.6653.8711.7117.05N/A-
2024/96.1111.6533.4348.49.917.721.15-
2024/85.47-10.9236.4242.297.1716.761.22-
2024/76.1419.4363.3936.823.8617.691.15較去年同期增加,主係本期對銷貨客戶之設備出貨增加所致
2024/65.14-19.7331.6930.68-3.1915.891.45-
2024/56.4147.812.5825.53-8.0916.811.37-
2024/44.34-28.58-14.219.13-13.4213.811.67-
2024/36.0778.237.9714.79-13.1914.791.63-
2024/23.41-35.94-44.788.72-23.6112.931.86-
2024/15.3226.411.245.321.2414.021.72-
2023/124.21-6.4-29.7356.92-7.2612.881.88-
2023/114.497.34-19.8952.72-4.8313.261.83-
2023/104.19-8.58-11.1748.22-3.1312.781.9-
2023/94.5814.15-21.6844.04-2.2912.351.89-
2023/84.016.68-4.6539.460.5911.682.0-
2023/73.76-3.73-28.3735.451.2213.361.75-
2023/63.91-31.37-39.2831.696.4414.651.49-
2023/55.6912.6438.5127.7819.0416.371.33-
2023/45.05-10.12-6.1522.0914.8816.841.3-
2023/35.62-8.85-4.1417.0423.0617.041.22-
2023/26.1717.4670.1911.4243.0517.41.2較去年同期增加,主係本期對銷貨客戶之設備出貨增加所致
2023/15.25-12.2620.485.2520.4816.851.24-
2022/125.996.748.6361.3859.916.311.25較去年同期增加,主係本期對銷貨客戶之設備出貨增加所致
2022/115.6119.0218.7755.461.2216.171.26較去年同期增加,主係本期對銷貨客戶之設備出貨增加所致
2022/104.71-19.3977.3349.7967.9814.771.38較去年同期增加,主係本期對銷貨客戶之設備出貨增加所致
2022/95.8538.97136.4545.0767.0615.31.18較去年同期增加,主係本期對銷貨客戶之設備出貨增加所致
2022/84.21-19.85-8.6739.2360.0615.891.14較去年同期增加,主係本期對銷貨客戶之設備出貨增加所致
2022/75.25-18.458.9935.0275.9715.791.14較去年同期增加,主係本期對銷貨客戶之設備出貨增加所致
2022/66.4356.5590.0429.7779.3515.930.99較去年同期增加,主係本期對銷貨客戶之設備出貨增加所致
2022/54.11-23.6864.5323.3476.6115.361.03較去年同期增加,主係本期對銷貨客戶之設備出貨增加所致
2022/45.38-8.275.7619.2379.4314.871.06較去年同期增加,主係本期對銷貨客戶之設備出貨增加所致
2022/35.8661.8355.5613.8580.8913.851.09較去年同期增加,主係本期對銷貨客戶之設備出貨增加所致
2022/23.62-16.84151.327.98105.4812.011.25較去年同期增加,主係本期對銷貨客戶之設備出貨增加所致
2022/14.368.2278.424.3678.4213.111.15較去年同期增加,主係本期對銷貨客戶之設備出貨增加所致
2021/124.03-14.7346.638.3945.6411.411.21-
2021/114.7277.71107.8134.3645.539.851.4本年累計數較去年同期增加,主係本期對銷貨客戶之設備出貨增加所致
2021/102.667.47-26.0629.6438.99.741.42-
2021/92.47-46.32-8.2326.9852.0610.381.16本年累計數較去年同期增加,主係本期對銷貨客戶之設備出貨增加所致
2021/84.6139.52173.5124.5162.8611.291.07本年累計數較去年同期增加,主係本期對銷貨客戶之設備出貨增加所致
2021/73.3-2.4645.8419.948.919.181.32-
2021/63.3835.5340.4816.649.548.951.21-
2021/52.5-18.47-2.9413.2152.059.331.16本年累計數較去年同期增加,主係本期對銷貨客戶之設備出貨增加所致
2021/43.06-18.7459.0610.7275.198.271.31本年累計數較去年同期增加,主係本期對銷貨客戶之設備出貨增加所致
2021/33.77161.4598.287.6582.67.651.21本年累計數較去年同期增加,主係本期對銷貨客戶之設備出貨增加所致
2021/21.44-40.9615.243.8869.596.631.4本年累計數較去年同期增加,主係本期對銷貨客戶之設備出貨增加所致
2021/12.44-11.07135.012.44135.017.461.24較去年同期增加,主係本期對銷貨客戶之設備出貨增加所致
2020/122.7520.87126.9326.361.948.611.0較去年同期增加,主係本期對銷貨客戶之設備出貨增加所致
2020/112.27-36.7727.8123.61-4.198.561.0-
2020/103.5933.4156.121.34-6.687.991.07本月營收較去年同期增加50%以上,主要係大陸地區銷貨客戶出貨增加致子公司營業收入增加所致
2020/92.6958.0243.8717.74-17.336.651.46-
2020/81.71-24.17-9.1515.05-23.186.361.52-
2020/72.25-6.44-28.9613.34-24.660.0N/A-
2020/62.40.010.8511.09-23.730.0N/A-
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股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/15.322023/15.252022/14.362021/12.442020/62.4
2024/23.412023/26.172022/23.622021/21.442020/72.25
2024/36.072023/35.622022/35.862021/33.772020/81.71
2024/44.342023/45.052022/45.382021/43.062020/92.69
2024/56.412023/55.692022/54.112021/52.52020/103.59
2024/65.142023/63.912022/66.432021/63.382020/112.27
2024/76.142023/73.762022/75.252021/73.32020/122.75
2024/85.472023/84.012022/84.212021/84.61N/AN/A
2024/96.112023/94.582022/95.852021/92.47N/AN/A
2024/105.472023/104.192022/104.712021/102.66N/AN/A
N/AN/A2023/114.492022/115.612021/114.72N/AN/A
N/AN/A2023/124.212022/125.992021/124.03N/AN/A
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 71.4%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)5.7132.79-30.28
24Q2 (19)4.3-9.28-43.2
24Q1 (18)4.74-38.2-42.48
23Q4 (17)7.67-6.35-9.66
23Q3 (16)8.198.19-4.32
23Q2 (15)7.57-8.13-19.98
23Q1 (14)8.24-2.940.12
22Q4 (13)8.49-0.82-1.28
22Q3 (12)8.56-9.517.0
22Q2 (11)9.4614.95278.4
22Q1 (10)8.23-4.3324.23
21Q4 (9)8.67.5400.0
21Q3 (8)8.0220.0144.65
21Q2 (7)2.528.87-16.11
21Q1 (6)1.9412.790
20Q4 (5)1.72-47.40
20Q3 (4)3.279.730.0
20Q2 (3)2.9800.0

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