玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 理想的成長型公司, 本業EPS的成長幅度會大於營收的成長幅度
  • 營收到某個數字後, 本業EPS呈現不成比例的增加, 有可能是規模經濟的效應
  • 如果是有淡旺季的公司, 是否有淡季不淡, 旺季更旺的情況
  • 漲很多的股票要留意 EPS 較上季是否有大幅衰退的情況
  • 如果EPS衰退,要觀察同業是不是有一樣的狀況
  • 要留意增資減資和公司債對股本及EPS的影響
成長能力-近20季
加權平均股數 QoQ YoYEPS QoQ YoY本業EPS QoQ YoY累計EPS QoQ YoY營收 QoQ YoY毛利率(%) QoQ YoY營業利益率 QoQ YoY稅後淨利率 QoQ YoY營業利益 QoQ YoY稅後淨利 QoQ YoY稅前淨利率(%) QoQ YoY稅後淨利率(%) QoQ YoY兩季平均(YOY)營收成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)EPS成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)本業EPS成長率(%)
24Q3 (20)392.632.63-0.77-16.67-42.59-0.3155.0759.74-2.16-56.5247.835.7262.0477.0912.524.5910.99-1.8677.6281.51-4.8930.7427.56-0.1162.0766.67-0.3-20.0-42.86-5.0035.0631.97-4.8930.7427.5641.67-4.1737.88
24Q2 (19)380.00.0-0.668.3356.58-0.6920.6962.09-1.38-91.6761.773.5321.3140.6411.97-0.91250.76-8.3139.5673.69-7.0632.6370.21-0.2927.563.29-0.2510.7156.9-7.7033.2870.91-7.0632.6370.213.45-1245.84-154.13
24Q1 (18)380.00.0-0.72-2500.065.55-0.87-328.9557.56-0.7282.5265.552.91-14.4123.8312.08-20.73212.16-13.75-143.3664.99-10.48-1790.3270.64-0.4-110.5356.52-0.28-2900.065.0-11.54-19.5970.5-10.48-1790.3270.64-4.58-1197.22-89.80
23Q4 (17)380.00.00.03105.56108.110.38149.351366.67-4.120.48-584.713.45.26-8.3615.2435.11-25.91-5.6543.84-303.970.62109.19120.74-0.1942.42-290.00.01104.76107.14-9.65-31.29-1106.250.62109.19120.7416.9885.02103.52
23Q3 (16)380.00.0-0.5464.47-133.54-0.7757.69-158.78-4.14-14.68-442.153.2328.69-39.1711.28242.07-60.11-10.0668.15-167.2-6.7571.52-151.21-0.3358.23-141.25-0.2163.79-133.87-7.3572.23-142.98-6.7571.52-151.2117.7545.8734.45
23Q2 (15)380.00.0-1.5227.27-442.86-1.8211.22-152.78-3.61-72.73-802.52.516.81-34.29-7.9426.28-174.28-31.5919.58-399.05-23.7033.61-758.7-0.7914.13-229.17-0.5827.5-427.27-26.4732.34-1330.81-23.7033.61-758.7-14.92-218.80-3361.05
23Q1 (14)380.00.0-2.09-464.86-1641.67-2.05-6733.33-521.21-2.09-345.88-1641.672.35-36.66-35.97-10.77-152.36-172.33-39.28-1518.05-1031.99-35.70-1093.98-2604.55-0.92-1020.0-607.69-0.8-471.43-1500.0-39.12-4790.0-2863.64-35.70-1093.98-2604.55-33.39-293.92-3417.81
22Q4 (13)380.00.0-0.37-122.98-133.33-0.03-102.29-103.530.85-29.75-74.43.71-30.13-35.1420.57-27.26-14.432.77-81.5-70.31-2.99-122.69-136.910.1-87.5-81.13-0.14-122.58-133.33-0.80-104.68-107.33-2.99-122.69-136.914.44276.0189.82
22Q3 (12)380.00.01.61675.029.841.31281.946.51.21402.5-45.255.3139.01-12.9528.28164.5514.7314.97336.4919.7613.18577.5454.880.8433.335.260.62663.6431.9117.101024.3238.1313.18577.5454.8821.55270.8381.88
22Q2 (11)380.00.0-0.28-133.33-144.44-0.72-118.18-204.35-0.40-233.33-141.243.824.09-25.110.69-28.21-52.11-6.33-82.42-177.67-2.76-109.09-158.11-0.24-84.62-157.14-0.11-120.0-145.83-1.85-40.15-124.21-2.76-109.09-158.11-15.88-122.07-128.50
22Q1 (10)380.00.0-0.12-110.81-135.29-0.33-138.82-312.5-0.12-103.61-135.293.67-35.84-7.3214.89-38.06-31.48-3.47-137.19-237.7-1.32-116.3-134.38-0.13-124.53-230.0-0.05-111.9-138.46-1.32-112.1-120.06-1.32-116.3-134.38-21.04-60.65-84.85
21Q4 (9)380.00.01.11-10.48236.360.85-30.89-2.33.3250.2343.725.72-6.2318.4324.04-2.47-2.479.33-25.36-0.748.10-4.82143.980.53-30.2617.780.42-10.64250.010.91-11.87124.028.10-4.82143.986.6943.1723.69
21Q3 (8)380.00.01.2496.8345.881.2378.2670.832.21127.8411.066.119.6122.7424.6510.4414.9712.5053.37129.788.5179.1619.520.7680.95181.480.4795.8342.4212.3862.0489.888.5179.1619.5224.2091.06520.38
21Q2 (7)380.00.00.6385.29400.00.69962.5790.00.97185.29-14.165.128.7982.822.322.7211.388.15223.417309.094.7523.7262.120.42320.000.2484.62400.07.6416.11653.624.7523.7262.125.3944.16426.65
21Q1 (6)380.00.00.343.03-74.63-0.08-109.2-114.810.34-85.28-74.633.96-18.01-21.7421.73-11.85-8.312.52-73.19-69.753.8415.66-64.250.1-77.78-76.190.138.33-74.516.5835.11-53.863.8415.66-64.25-10.42-29.07-44.19
20Q4 (5)380.00.00.33-61.18-61.180.8720.83-8.422.3116.08160.314.83-2.82-29.6924.6514.9748.149.4072.7975.73.32-53.37-37.590.4566.6721.620.12-63.64-62.54.87-25.314.963.32-53.37-37.59--0.00
20Q3 (4)380.00.00.85504.760.00.72820.00.01.9976.110.04.9778.140.021.446.990.05.444845.450.07.12343.00.00.2700.00.33512.50.06.52572.460.07.12343.00.0--0.00
20Q2 (3)380.00.0-0.21-115.670.0-0.10-118.520.01.13-15.670.02.79-44.860.020.04-15.440.00.11-98.680.0-2.93-127.280.00-100.00.0-0.08-115.690.0-1.38-109.680.0-2.93-127.280.0--0.00
20Q1 (2)380.00.01.3457.650.00.54-43.160.01.34134.990.05.06-26.350.023.7042.430.08.3355.70.010.74101.880.00.4213.510.00.5159.380.014.26207.330.010.74101.880.0--0.00
19Q4 (1)380.00.00.850.00.00.950.00.0-3.830.00.06.870.00.016.640.00.05.350.00.05.320.00.00.370.00.00.320.00.04.640.00.05.320.00.0--0.00
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/102.314.1762.2914.4652.076.19N/A由於產業旺季訂單量持續增長,本月合併收入較去年同期成長62.3%。
2024/92.027.9756.4112.1550.285.70.89隨著下半年進入本公司產業旺季,訂單量持續增長,2024年9月的合併營收較2023年同期增長約56.41%。
2024/81.872.8780.410.1449.115.061.01因客戶庫存去化且進入產業旺季訂單數量持續增加,致本公司2024年8月合併營收較2023年同期相比增加約80.41%。
2024/71.8232.05100.158.2743.494.231.2因客戶庫存去化訂單數量持續增加,致本公司2024年7月合併營收較2023年同期相比增加約100.16%。
2024/61.3832.456.846.4532.893.541.25因客戶訂單數量增加,致本公司2024年6月合併營收較2023年同期相比增加約57%。
2024/51.04-7.749.05.0827.613.051.45-
2024/41.1326.7666.734.0433.483.051.46因客戶增加訂單且部分訂單提前出貨,致我司2024年4月合併營收較2023年同期相比增加67%
2024/30.89-14.22-8.212.9123.922.911.36-
2024/21.045.1374.342.0246.452.91.372024年全球通膨趨緩客戶回補庫存,另我司積極擴展新客訂單逐漸增加,致2024年2月合併營收較2023年同期相比增加74%。
2024/10.9912.6825.370.9925.373.041.3-
2023/120.87-25.876.9211.56-29.963.471.13-
2023/111.18-16.91-5.2710.69-31.893.891.01-
2023/101.4210.03-13.669.51-34.183.751.05-
2023/91.2924.54-37.318.09-36.823.231.29-
2023/81.0414.13-41.046.8-36.722.821.48-
2023/70.913.47-39.465.76-35.882.741.52-
2023/60.88-7.98-41.914.85-35.162.511.38-
2023/50.9541.11-26.073.98-33.462.61.33-
2023/40.68-30.21-33.643.02-35.492.241.54-
2023/30.9762.92-23.432.35-36.02.351.44受全球通膨及終端輕奢飾品需求疲軟,客戶2022年Q3轉趨保守,致我司3月份合併營收較去年同期下滑36%,預估訂單於Q2起將緩步回溫。
2023/20.59-24.39-43.131.38-42.612.21.540
2023/10.79-3.89-42.210.79-42.212.851.19-
2022/120.82-34.33-37.0716.51-20.943.710.880
2022/111.25-24.26-33.715.69-19.874.950.66-
2022/101.64-20.1-35.1814.45-18.45.460.6-
2022/92.0617.13-9.0312.8-15.595.310.68-
2022/81.7617.190.8210.74-16.744.770.76-
2022/71.5-0.71-28.58.99-19.494.30.85-
2022/61.5117.11-7.417.49-17.43.820.98-
2022/51.2926.64-18.035.98-19.63.571.05-
2022/41.02-19.46-47.14.69-20.023.331.13-
2022/31.2620.99-3.413.67-6.773.670.92-
2022/21.04-23.17-15.442.4-8.443.70.91-
2022/11.364.66-2.231.36-2.234.540.74-
2021/121.3-30.8239.2820.8818.435.710.65-
2021/111.88-25.9511.6219.5817.266.680.56-
2021/102.5412.1217.1917.717.896.540.57-
2021/92.2629.827.6515.1718.016.10.8-
2021/81.74-16.9-2.2812.920.045.470.89-
2021/72.128.5794.811.1624.485.30.92我司產業進入旺季,且全渠道客戶銷況持續增長,致7月份營收較去年同期大增。
2021/61.633.6878.369.0614.895.130.886月份起我司產業逐步轉旺,全渠道客戶銷況亦持續增長,且在疫情影響全球物流的考量下提前下單,致6月份營收較去年同期大增。
2021/51.57-18.27100.717.436.574.810.945月份為我司產業傳統淡季,在疫情影響下全渠道客戶銷況持續增並提前下單,致我司5月份營收較去年同期大增100.72%。
2021/41.9247.0571.575.86-5.344.471.012020Q1主要客戶存貨調整致淡季不淡,而4月起為產業淡季,2021Q1因疫情致多渠道客戶訂單量成長,我司4月營收較去年同期大增71.57%
2021/31.315.92-8.773.94-22.363.941.04-
2021/21.24-11.17-22.992.63-27.733.561.15-
2021/11.3949.11-31.471.39-31.474.011.02-
2020/120.93-44.55-43.0117.63-3.084.780.72-
2020/111.68-22.26-40.2616.70.865.950.58-
2020/102.162.99-11.5115.029.36.050.57-
2020/92.117.846.8112.8513.814.960.7-
2020/81.7865.650.9210.7515.283.770.92-
2020/71.0817.7312.58.9718.642.771.26-
2020/60.9116.6741.497.8919.532.821.04-
2020/50.78-30.14-22.686.9817.153.340.88-
2020/41.12-21.841.466.1925.324.160.7-
2020/31.43-10.5856.965.0722.235.070.57去年因客戶需求減緩,縮減外包金工及電鍍訂單
2020/21.6-20.9613.073.6312.425.270.55-
2020/12.0324.0211.912.0311.916.480.45-
2019/121.64-41.887.5318.19-37.970.0N/A-
2019/112.8215.1315.8916.56-40.460.0N/A-
成長能力-近10年
加權平均股數 YoYEPS YoY本業EPS YoY營收 YoY毛利率(%) YoY營業利益率 YoY稅後淨利率 YoY營業利益 YoY稅前淨利 YoY稅後淨利 YoY
2023 (10)380.0-4.120-4.26011.49-30.413.75-80.77-19.420-14.180-2.230-2.150-1.580
2022 (9)380.00.85-69.960.26-90.3316.51-20.9319.50-16.523.21-63.022.64-59.940.53-70.720.76-62.560.33-74.02
2021 (8)380.02.8323.582.6932.5120.8818.2323.362.688.6833.336.5919.171.8157.392.0363.711.2744.32
2020 (7)380.02.2902.03017.66-2.3822.7582.06.5105.5301.1501.2400.880
2019 (6)380.0-3.830-3.56018.09-38.2212.50-58.18-5.750-6.540-1.040-1.110-1.460
2018 (5)385.565.4053.854.8220.529.2836.1929.89-2.716.614.612.5520.914.8642.525.0461.022.0662.2
2017 (4)369.093.51-38.314.00-17.0121.5-2.1430.72-1.6315.88-0.510.38-9.583.41-2.853.13-11.081.27-32.8
2016 (3)333.125.690.714.8211.8321.97-2.7931.2310.4715.9613.5111.4818.113.5110.383.523.831.890.0
2015 (2)326.675.65132.514.31242.0622.656.8428.2733.614.06157.519.7267.593.18302.533.39229.131.89158.9
2014 (1)300.02.4358.821.26113.5614.411.6221.1605.4605.8000.79139.391.0387.270.7358.7

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