玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.65-7.07-7.336.8414.492.07N/A-
2024/90.7-3.10.086.1917.42.140.79-
2024/80.721.639.45.4920.052.140.79-
2024/70.711.5418.54.7721.852.110.8-
2024/60.7-0.1127.354.0622.452.10.84-
2024/50.70.1640.23.3621.482.10.84-
2024/40.7-0.0862.622.6617.341.90.93客戶訂單增加
2024/30.739.9416.761.966.71.960.94-
2024/20.5-33.55-21.421.251.81.960.94-
2024/10.757.4226.680.7526.682.160.85-
2023/120.7-0.683.097.39-32.822.110.88-
2023/110.710.55-11.746.68-35.192.110.88-
2023/100.70.360.185.98-37.162.060.9-
2023/90.75.91-0.135.27-40.131.960.99-
2023/80.6610.09-7.694.57-43.591.811.07-
2023/70.69.12-33.463.91-47.061.651.18-
2023/60.559.96-50.043.31-48.961.481.48客戶訂單減少
2023/50.516.17-55.372.76-48.731.531.43客戶訂單減少
2023/40.43-28.25-60.962.26-46.991.671.31客戶訂單減少
2023/30.6-5.82-44.571.83-42.121.831.26-
2023/20.647.12-39.311.23-40.851.911.2-
2023/10.59-12.58-42.430.59-42.432.081.11-
2022/120.68-14.98-26.5110.99-0.572.181.19-
2022/110.814.14-13.310.311.792.21.18-
2022/100.70.04-22.949.513.32.121.23-
2022/90.7-2.09-26.848.816.182.321.13-
2022/80.72-20.64-24.678.1110.492.720.96-
2022/70.9-18.06-9.957.3915.733.120.84-
2022/61.1-1.7710.016.4920.53.330.62-
2022/51.121.6417.085.3922.93.310.63-
2022/41.11.8615.854.2724.523.240.64-
2022/31.083.1117.363.1727.853.170.5-
2022/21.051.6160.732.0834.083.010.53客戶訂單增加
2022/11.0311.5814.751.0314.752.880.55-
2021/120.930.313.7611.0662.682.760.51客戶訂單增加
2021/110.921.457.3210.1369.332.790.51客戶訂單增加
2021/100.91-5.0312.179.2179.752.820.5客戶訂單增加
2021/90.960.8129.818.392.462.910.51公司訂單增加
2021/80.95-5.1366.317.34105.412.950.5客戶訂單增加
2021/71.00.0998.076.39112.852.960.5客戶訂單增加
2021/61.04.54123.585.39115.852.910.59客戶訂單增加
2021/50.960.5698.314.39114.162.830.6客戶訂單增加
2021/40.953.1997.73.43119.042.530.68客戶訂單增加
2021/30.9241.21108.592.48128.522.480.66客戶訂單增加
2021/20.65-27.45117.641.55142.272.370.69客戶訂單增加
2021/10.910.63163.940.9163.942.570.64客戶訂單增加
2020/120.81-5.3762.466.84.852.490.55客戶訂單增加
2020/110.866.0463.725.980.032.410.56本月訂單增加
2020/100.819.8959.735.12-6.12.120.64客戶訂單增加
2020/90.7429.1647.244.31-12.861.820.64-
2020/80.5712.9714.083.57-19.631.530.76-
2020/70.5112.990.973.0-23.921.440.81-
2020/60.45-7.27-12.342.5-27.541.410.7-
2020/50.480.25-19.982.05-30.181.410.7-
2020/40.488.87-20.981.57-32.831.220.81-
2020/30.4447.34-22.961.08-37.021.080.0-
2020/20.3-12.01-30.990.64-44.061.140.0-
2020/10.34-31.9-52.050.34-52.051.370.0本月工作天數減少
2019/120.5-4.64-41.646.48-21.360.0N/A-
2019/110.533.46-29.125.98-19.00.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.752023/10.592022/11.032021/10.92020/10.34
2024/20.52023/20.642022/21.052021/20.652020/20.3
2024/30.72023/30.62022/31.082021/30.922020/30.44
2024/40.72023/40.432022/41.12021/40.952020/40.48
2024/50.72023/50.52022/51.122021/50.962020/50.48
2024/60.72023/60.552022/61.12021/61.02020/60.45
2024/70.712023/70.62022/70.92021/71.02020/70.51
2024/80.722023/80.662022/80.722021/80.952020/80.57
2024/90.72023/90.72022/90.72021/90.962020/90.74
2024/100.652023/100.72022/100.72021/100.912020/100.81
N/AN/A2023/110.712022/110.82021/110.922020/110.86
N/AN/A2023/120.72022/120.682021/120.932020/120.81
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季
合約負債 QoQ YoY

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