玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/101188.018.72-16.459171.46-13.213165.03N/A-
2024/91092.6423.54-17.747983.45-12.712942.310.3-
2024/8884.38-8.38-1.026890.81-11.852558.950.35-
2024/7965.2936.093.146006.43-13.252605.610.34-
2024/6709.28-23.81-14.25041.07-15.822537.080.31-
2024/5931.043.822.734331.79-16.072575.310.31-
2024/4896.7619.96-16.513400.75-20.082307.230.34-
2024/3747.5212.75-26.182504.01-21.292504.010.36-
2024/2662.96-39.37-28.131756.5-19.02587.50.35-
2024/11093.5431.59-12.241093.54-12.243092.350.29-
2023/12831.0-28.84-25.7912566.99-4.623420.860.31-
2023/111167.81-17.872.9111735.99-2.653918.130.27-
2023/101422.047.057.910568.18-3.233643.850.29-
2023/91328.2848.653.079146.11-4.683157.660.44-
2023/8893.53-4.52-22.997817.83-5.882656.10.52-
2023/7935.8513.2-13.326924.3-3.112668.810.52
2023/6826.72-8.77-28.065988.44-1.342807.070.49-
2023/5906.24-15.62-3.245161.724.892993.040.46
2023/41074.126.0643.094255.486.83009.360.46
2023/31012.699.76-12.363181.33-1.753181.330.53
2023/2922.55-25.968.372168.644.133296.340.51
2023/11246.0910.491.191246.091.193508.520.48
2022/121127.69-0.62-27.6113183.794.323580.30.56
2022/111134.74-13.89-28.2912056.098.813741.150.53
2022/101317.872.27-4.4910921.3614.993766.790.53
2022/91288.5511.04-13.549603.4418.313528.610.56
2022/81160.377.4736.018314.8925.473360.110.59
2022/71079.7-3.622.067154.5223.913136.390.63
2022/61120.0419.5725.916045.5523.652807.30.62
2022/5936.6524.783.74925.5123.152842.890.61
2022/4750.61-35.04-19.293988.8628.822757.480.63
2022/31155.6335.7543.693238.2549.483238.250.57
2022/2851.24-30.8758.282082.6252.913640.420.5
2022/11231.38-20.9549.41231.3849.44371.630.42
2021/121557.8-1.5511.2112637.13-9.694520.120.33
2021/111582.4414.67-11.6911079.33-12.014452.70.33
2021/101379.87-7.41-0.099496.89-12.073723.390.4-
2021/91490.3974.6918.098117.02-13.823228.850.49-
2021/8853.13-3.63-19.226626.63-18.762627.140.61
2021/7885.33-0.37-14.725773.5-18.692677.220.6
2021/6888.69-1.6-19.164888.17-19.372722.440.53
2021/5903.21-2.93-20.843999.48-19.422637.50.55
2021/4930.5515.77-10.343096.28-19.02272.090.63
2021/3803.7549.45-20.432165.73-22.222165.730.68
2021/2537.79-34.74-34.251361.98-23.252762.490.53
2021/1824.19-41.15-13.83824.19-13.834016.620.36
2020/121400.51-21.848.7913993.152.414574.110.36
2020/111791.9229.6926.0812592.631.754435.060.37
2020/101381.689.53-6.110800.72-1.43699.270.45
2020/91261.4619.44-19.989419.04-0.673356.680.43
2020/81056.131.647.328157.583.173193.790.46
2020/71039.09-5.415.237101.452.583278.780.44
2020/61098.57-3.7224.446062.362.143277.430.36
2020/51141.129.9616.044963.79-1.743189.210.37
2020/41037.742.71-7.963822.67-6.042866.130.42
2020/31010.3523.512.462784.92-5.312784.920.45
2020/2818.04-14.470.191774.58-13.123061.550.41
2020/1956.53-25.67-22.0956.53-22.03664.720.34
2019/121286.97-9.4421.8813662.511.950.0N/A
2019/111421.22-3.37-18.4212375.540.250.0N/A
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/11093.542023/11246.092022/11231.382021/1824.192020/1956.53
2024/2662.962023/2922.552022/2851.242021/2537.792020/2818.04
2024/3747.522023/31012.692022/31155.632021/3803.752020/31010.35
2024/4896.762023/41074.122022/4750.612021/4930.552020/41037.74
2024/5931.042023/5906.242022/5936.652021/5903.212020/51141.12
2024/6709.282023/6826.722022/61120.042021/6888.692020/61098.57
2024/7965.292023/7935.852022/71079.72021/7885.332020/71039.09
2024/8884.382023/8893.532022/81160.372021/8853.132020/81056.13
2024/91092.642023/91328.282022/91288.552021/91490.392020/91261.46
2024/101188.012023/101422.042022/101317.872021/101379.872020/101381.68
N/AN/A2023/111167.812022/111134.742021/111582.442020/111791.92
N/AN/A2023/12831.02022/121127.692021/121557.82020/121400.51
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 6.29%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)16.75-12.0346.03
24Q2 (19)19.043.1474.36
24Q1 (18)18.4610.3480.63
23Q4 (17)16.7345.8639.42
23Q3 (16)11.475.04-12.71
23Q2 (15)10.926.85-7.85
23Q1 (14)10.22-14.83-26.58
22Q4 (13)12.0-8.68-9.43
22Q3 (12)13.1410.8910.33
22Q2 (11)11.85-14.87-5.12
22Q1 (10)13.925.0624.29
21Q4 (9)13.2511.2525.83
21Q3 (8)11.91-4.64-40.86
21Q2 (7)12.4911.52-33.42
21Q1 (6)11.26.36-30.39
20Q4 (5)10.53-47.72-30.81
20Q3 (4)20.147.360.0
20Q2 (3)18.7616.590.0
20Q1 (2)16.095.720.0
19Q4 (1)15.220.00.0

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