玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/111.1412.2241.0711.8113.113.4N/A-
2024/101.02-18.2612.6710.6710.763.36N/A-
2024/91.2412.6340.999.6610.573.591.34-
2024/81.1-11.0414.368.417.153.41.42-
2024/71.2418.0129.787.316.143.571.35-
2024/61.05-17.710.456.072.333.371.29-
2024/51.2822.8724.865.020.773.321.31-
2024/41.043.278.763.74-5.452.771.57-
2024/31.0139.12-11.882.7-9.982.71.46-
2024/20.72-25.33-23.371.69-8.812.571.53-
2024/10.9710.126.260.976.262.661.48-
2023/120.888.85-15.8311.32-5.212.591.32-
2023/110.81-10.36-7.9910.44-4.192.591.32-
2023/100.92.28-7.799.64-3.852.751.25-
2023/90.88-8.63-8.378.73-3.432.81.33-
2023/80.970.943.367.85-2.842.871.3-
2023/70.960.4313.256.89-3.652.931.27-
2023/60.95-6.978.385.93-5.912.931.32-
2023/51.027.02-4.144.98-8.233.121.24-
2023/40.96-16.32-9.393.96-9.233.041.27-
2023/31.1420.97-5.793.0-9.183.01.36-
2023/20.943.55-0.031.86-11.152.91.41-
2023/10.91-12.77-20.320.91-20.322.841.44-
2022/121.0519.0-16.6111.95-32.12.91.44-
2022/110.88-10.17-31.9710.9-33.282.821.48-
2022/100.981.64-26.5410.02-33.42.871.45-
2022/90.963.06-38.259.04-34.062.741.76-
2022/80.9310.61-41.78.08-33.532.661.81-
2022/70.84-3.88-47.737.15-32.292.791.72-
2022/60.88-17.72-45.386.3-29.53.01.67-
2022/51.071.15-26.175.43-26.013.341.5-
2022/41.06-12.99-29.984.36-25.973.211.56-
2022/31.2128.37-22.863.3-24.593.31.41-
2022/20.94-17.46-32.552.09-25.563.341.39-
2022/11.14-8.7-18.611.14-18.613.691.26-
2021/121.25-2.91-11.1217.635.053.881.08-
2021/111.29-3.010.0816.3440.664.181.0-
2021/101.33-14.5514.6715.0545.734.490.93-
2021/91.56-2.6926.213.7249.674.780.94係因去年度受疫情影響所致
2021/81.6-0.8345.1912.1653.324.830.93係因去年度受疫情影響所致
2021/71.620.4430.9410.5654.644.670.96係因去年度受疫情影響所致
2021/61.6111.2157.988.9459.874.560.96係因去年度受疫情影響所致
2021/51.45-4.0646.657.3360.284.530.97係因去年度受疫情影響所致
2021/41.51-4.1339.875.8964.034.480.98係因去年度受疫情影響所致
2021/31.5712.2455.064.3874.44.380.97係因去年度受疫情影響所致
2021/21.4-0.494.952.8187.54.221.01係因去年度受疫情影響所致
2021/11.41-0.3180.621.4180.624.111.03係因去年受疫情影響所致
2020/121.419.3334.2613.039.343.860.93-
2020/111.2911.1225.7911.626.933.690.97-
2020/101.16-5.9613.7310.334.963.51.02-
2020/91.2411.9527.919.163.953.570.98-
2020/81.1-10.5616.237.931.03.351.04-
2020/71.2321.1832.46.83-1.083.241.08-
2020/61.023.230.895.59-6.313.081.13-
2020/50.99-8.55.164.58-7.773.081.13-
2020/41.086.262.333.59-10.792.811.24-
2020/31.0141.11-18.142.51-15.452.511.41-
2020/20.72-7.72-19.641.5-13.522.551.39-
2020/10.78-25.89-6.980.78-6.980.0N/A-
2019/121.052.4323.911.911.260.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.972023/10.912022/11.142021/11.412020/10.78
2024/20.722023/20.942022/20.942021/21.42020/20.72
2024/31.012023/31.142022/31.212021/31.572020/31.01
2024/41.042023/40.962022/41.062021/41.512020/41.08
2024/51.282023/51.022022/51.072021/51.452020/50.99
2024/61.052023/60.952022/60.882021/61.612020/61.02
2024/71.242023/70.962022/70.842021/71.622020/71.23
2024/81.12023/80.972022/80.932021/81.62020/81.1
2024/91.242023/90.882022/90.962021/91.562020/91.24
2024/101.022023/100.92022/100.982021/101.332020/101.16
2024/111.142023/110.812022/110.882021/111.292020/111.29
N/AN/A2023/120.882022/121.052021/121.252020/121.41
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 1.89%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.1911.7611.76
24Q2 (19)0.176.25-5.56
24Q1 (18)0.16-5.88-15.79
23Q4 (17)0.170.0-10.53
23Q3 (16)0.17-5.56-22.73
23Q2 (15)0.18-5.26-21.74
23Q1 (14)0.190.0-5.0
22Q4 (13)0.19-13.64-5.0
22Q3 (12)0.22-4.3510.0
22Q2 (11)0.2315.0-23.33
22Q1 (10)0.20.0-39.39
21Q4 (9)0.20.0-35.48
21Q3 (8)0.2-33.330.0
21Q2 (7)0.3-9.09100.0
21Q1 (6)0.336.4583.33
20Q4 (5)0.3155.093.75
20Q3 (4)0.233.330.0
20Q2 (3)0.15-16.670.0
20Q1 (2)0.1812.50.0
19Q4 (1)0.160.00.0

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