玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/111.86-3.871.8520.695.185.69N/A-
2024/101.942.283.5718.835.525.83N/A-
2024/91.89-5.234.0116.895.755.880.0-
2024/82.00.185.4615.05.985.920.0-
2024/71.993.175.2913.06.065.880.0-
2024/61.93-0.96.2611.06.195.750.0-
2024/51.954.126.229.076.175.730.0-
2024/41.87-1.935.717.126.165.350.0-
2024/31.9121.816.375.256.325.250.0-
2024/21.57-11.591.573.346.295.170.0-
2024/11.77-3.2210.841.7710.845.430.0-
2023/121.830.277.7821.59.775.530.0-
2023/111.83-2.256.4119.679.975.520.0-
2023/101.872.727.4217.8410.355.580.0-
2023/91.82-3.919.6715.9710.75.610.0-
2023/81.890.039.4714.1510.845.610.0-
2023/71.894.1212.5612.2611.065.550.0-
2023/61.82-0.9315.0710.3610.795.430.0-
2023/51.843.638.098.549.925.40.0-
2023/41.77-1.319.936.7110.435.110.0-
2023/31.7916.3114.04.9410.614.940.0-
2023/21.54-3.5214.193.148.774.840.0-
2023/11.6-5.94.011.64.015.020.0-
2022/121.7-1.08.919.5816.255.160.0-
2022/111.72-1.328.7117.8817.05.120.0-
2022/101.744.8610.416.1717.955.130.0-
2022/91.66-4.0814.6114.4318.925.070.0-
2022/81.732.8521.7412.7719.54.990.0-
2022/71.686.4425.2311.0419.154.960.0-
2022/61.58-6.9428.179.3518.124.890.0-
2022/51.75.3921.327.7716.264.880.0-
2022/41.612.3317.056.0714.934.540.0-
2022/31.5716.513.664.4614.184.460.0-
2022/21.35-12.1211.62.8914.454.450.0-
2022/11.54-1.4717.081.5417.084.680.0-
2021/121.56-1.1715.5516.859.44.720.0-
2021/111.580.2121.8515.298.814.60.0-
2021/101.588.8716.2813.717.484.440.0-
2021/91.451.8711.4912.136.444.210.0-
2021/81.425.84.6210.685.794.00.0-
2021/71.348.94-0.729.265.973.980.0-
2021/61.23-11.92-3.927.927.24.010.0-
2021/51.41.698.256.699.544.160.0-
2021/41.38-0.6210.485.299.883.970.0-
2021/31.3914.3810.353.919.683.910.0-
2021/21.21-7.86.462.529.313.870.0-
2021/11.31-2.7612.091.3112.093.960.0-
2020/121.354.2111.415.44.884.00.0-
2020/111.3-4.368.314.054.33.950.0-
2020/101.364.3810.0412.753.94.010.0-
2020/91.3-4.43.7211.43.224.010.0-
2020/81.360.395.0910.13.153.990.0-
2020/71.355.434.388.742.863.930.0-
2020/61.28-0.766.887.392.593.820.0-
2020/51.293.784.356.11.733.790.0-
2020/41.25-0.743.544.811.043.640.0-
2020/31.2610.35-0.283.560.23.560.0-
2020/21.14-2.924.832.310.463.520.0-
2020/11.17-3.36-3.441.17-3.440.0N/A-
2019/121.211.30.8714.680.070.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/11.772023/11.62022/11.542021/11.312020/11.17
2024/21.572023/21.542022/21.352021/21.212020/21.14
2024/31.912023/31.792022/31.572021/31.392020/31.26
2024/41.872023/41.772022/41.612021/41.382020/41.25
2024/51.952023/51.842022/51.72021/51.42020/51.29
2024/61.932023/61.822022/61.582021/61.232020/61.28
2024/71.992023/71.892022/71.682021/71.342020/71.35
2024/82.02023/81.892022/81.732021/81.422020/81.36
2024/91.892023/91.822022/91.662021/91.452020/91.3
2024/101.942023/101.872022/101.742021/101.582020/101.36
2024/111.862023/111.832022/111.722021/111.582020/111.3
N/AN/A2023/121.832022/121.72021/121.562020/121.35
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 56.5%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)3.39-0.886.94
24Q2 (19)3.42-2.297.21
24Q1 (18)3.510.7610.41
23Q4 (17)3.16-0.327.12
23Q3 (16)3.17-0.633.93
23Q2 (15)3.190.638.87
23Q1 (14)3.177.467.46
22Q4 (13)2.95-3.288.46
22Q3 (12)3.054.111.72
22Q2 (11)2.93-0.6821.58
22Q1 (10)2.958.4613.46
21Q4 (9)2.72-0.3711.48
21Q3 (8)2.7313.2814.23
21Q2 (7)2.41-7.313.43
21Q1 (6)2.66.5614.04
20Q4 (5)2.442.0915.09
20Q3 (4)2.392.580.0
20Q2 (3)2.332.190.0
20Q1 (2)2.287.550.0
19Q4 (1)2.120.00.0

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