玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/117.8-5.39-10.4586.080.1423.83N/A-
2024/108.245.81-2.9578.291.3423.94N/A-
2024/97.79-1.53-7.7870.041.8723.70.54-
2024/87.91-1.19-8.4262.263.2223.770.54-
2024/78.011.93-4.5254.355.1624.150.53-
2024/67.85-5.2-1.5246.347.0424.390.53-
2024/58.290.369.0238.498.9824.090.54-
2024/48.259.3314.5930.28.9722.020.59-
2024/37.5521.45-4.1921.947.021.940.63-
2024/26.22-23.98-5.4714.3913.9822.660.61-
2024/18.18-1.0535.138.1835.1325.150.55-
2023/128.27-5.070.1194.22-10.3625.470.53-
2023/118.712.52-1.3185.96-11.2525.650.53-
2023/108.490.542.2177.25-12.2425.580.53-
2023/98.45-2.2-5.3868.76-13.7525.470.56-
2023/88.643.0-1.560.31-14.8125.00.57-
2023/78.385.12-4.1151.67-16.6923.960.59-
2023/67.984.95-13.2643.29-18.7622.780.64-
2023/57.65.49-5.6335.31-19.922.680.65-
2023/47.2-8.59-14.7227.71-23.0921.660.68-
2023/37.8819.83-19.7420.51-25.6520.510.76-
2023/26.588.66-21.8912.63-28.9220.880.75-
2023/16.05-26.69-35.266.05-35.2623.130.68-
2022/128.26-6.42-27.18105.11-11.3725.390.61-
2022/118.826.19-21.1696.86-9.726.060.59-
2022/108.31-6.93-16.0788.03-8.3726.00.59-
2022/98.931.8-8.2579.73-7.4826.440.66-
2022/88.770.27-10.0270.8-7.3826.710.65-
2022/78.74-4.91-10.3162.03-7.025.990.67-
2022/69.214.19-8.0253.29-6.4325.70.71-
2022/58.05-4.66-14.6644.09-6.0926.320.7-
2022/48.45-13.97-11.1836.04-3.9426.690.69-
2022/39.8216.62-5.2727.59-1.4827.590.68-
2022/28.42-9.938.917.770.7429.110.64-
2022/19.35-17.55-5.629.35-5.6231.880.58-
2021/1211.341.323.08118.619.1432.430.6-
2021/1111.1913.049.14107.279.8230.820.63-
2021/109.91.740.2896.089.929.380.66-
2021/99.73-0.16-7.386.1811.1329.230.64-
2021/89.75-0.034.8276.4514.0129.490.64-
2021/79.75-2.486.7766.715.4929.190.65-
2021/610.05.9525.5156.9517.1328.950.62-
2021/59.44-0.7817.1446.9515.4929.320.61-
2021/49.51-8.247.9137.5215.0827.610.65-
2021/310.3734.0815.1428.017.7428.00.57-
2021/27.73-21.9416.1617.6419.3328.640.56-
2021/19.91-9.9521.939.9121.9331.160.51-
2020/1211.07.275.92108.67-11.7131.130.48-
2020/1110.253.861.5497.67-13.3430.620.48-
2020/109.87-5.95-5.587.42-14.829.670.5-
2020/910.512.90.777.54-15.8528.930.51-
2020/89.31.821.0867.05-17.9726.390.56-
2020/79.1314.62-11.0457.75-20.3825.150.58-
2020/67.97-1.11-17.2848.62-21.9224.840.61-
2020/58.06-8.59-27.340.65-22.7725.870.58-
2020/48.81-2.1-18.3132.6-21.5624.470.62-
2020/39.035.27-17.0423.78-22.7123.780.65-
2020/26.66-18.06-19.9614.78-25.825.160.61-
2020/18.12-21.77-29.988.12-29.980.0N/A-
2019/1210.382.84-5.86123.091.110.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/18.182023/16.052022/19.352021/19.912020/18.12
2024/26.222023/26.582022/28.422021/27.732020/26.66
2024/37.552023/37.882022/39.822021/310.372020/39.0
2024/48.252023/47.22022/48.452021/49.512020/48.81
2024/58.292023/57.62022/58.052021/59.442020/58.06
2024/67.852023/67.982022/69.22021/610.02020/67.97
2024/78.012023/78.382022/78.742021/79.752020/79.13
2024/87.912023/88.642022/88.772021/89.752020/89.3
2024/97.792023/98.452022/98.932021/99.732020/910.5
2024/108.242023/108.492022/108.312021/109.92020/109.87
2024/117.82023/118.712022/118.822021/1111.192020/1110.25
N/AN/A2023/128.272022/128.262021/1211.342020/1211.0
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 2.37%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.4-49.37-46.67
24Q2 (19)0.79-21.08.22
24Q1 (18)1.021.9556.25
23Q4 (17)0.829.3312.33
23Q3 (16)0.752.747.14
23Q2 (15)0.7314.0615.87
23Q1 (14)0.64-12.330.0
22Q4 (13)0.734.2915.87
22Q3 (12)0.711.11-27.84
22Q2 (11)0.63-1.56-47.06
22Q1 (10)0.641.59-34.02
21Q4 (9)0.63-35.05-39.42
21Q3 (8)0.97-18.49-11.01
21Q2 (7)1.1922.680
21Q1 (6)0.97-6.730
20Q4 (5)1.04-4.5923.81
20Q3 (4)1.0900.0

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