玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/103.59-10.4516.0836.3522.5611.18N/A-
2024/94.0112.0313.7332.7623.3211.370.82-
2024/83.58-5.238.9528.7524.7911.420.81-
2024/73.78-7.1227.8825.1727.4311.450.81-
2024/64.0712.8434.8221.427.3510.920.87-
2024/53.610.9318.1917.3325.7110.60.9-
2024/43.25-13.2827.3413.7327.8510.330.92-
2024/33.7512.1819.4410.4828.0110.480.88-
2024/23.34-1.5624.586.7333.3310.470.88-
2024/13.39-9.1443.243.3943.2410.750.86-
2023/123.733.05-5.9437.02-3.1810.450.99-
2023/113.6217.1410.6233.28-2.8610.241.01-
2023/103.09-12.278.7429.66-4.299.91.05-
2023/93.537.323.9626.57-5.69.760.95-
2023/83.2811.22-1.0223.04-6.929.251.0-
2023/72.95-2.08-3.4619.75-7.849.021.03-
2023/63.02-1.07-14.9716.8-8.578.621.06-
2023/53.0519.52-3.3613.78-7.048.741.05-
2023/42.55-18.66-12.0610.74-8.038.371.1-
2023/33.1417.01-4.828.19-6.78.191.33-
2023/22.6813.17-2.755.05-7.829.021.21-
2023/12.37-40.34-12.962.37-12.969.611.13-
2022/123.9721.2126.038.2422.5110.091.18-
2022/113.2815.1512.0734.2722.129.511.25-
2022/102.84-16.128.1330.9923.299.551.24-
2022/93.392.1719.5828.1525.069.771.08-
2022/83.328.4821.4924.7525.859.931.06-
2022/73.06-13.7636.6921.4426.569.761.08-
2022/63.5512.4428.7518.3825.029.60.94-
2022/53.158.7529.3514.8324.159.350.96-
2022/42.9-11.9717.5811.6722.828.951.0-
2022/33.319.5629.618.7724.668.770.82-
2022/22.761.2921.015.4821.868.630.83-
2022/12.72-13.6322.722.7222.728.790.82-
2021/123.157.816.3931.2113.538.70.87-
2021/112.9211.124.2328.0614.398.390.9-
2021/102.63-7.2312.8325.1313.358.20.92-
2021/92.843.822.6522.513.417.810.83-
2021/82.7322.0615.6919.6712.197.730.84-
2021/72.24-18.77-0.3816.9411.657.430.87-
2021/62.7612.9713.9714.713.747.660.74-
2021/52.44-1.1310.4211.9413.697.450.76-
2021/42.47-2.9612.459.514.567.290.77-
2021/32.5411.6221.487.0415.317.040.78-
2021/22.282.726.264.4912.17.460.73-
2021/12.22-25.1318.82.2218.87.530.72-
2020/122.9625.897.7527.4910.537.650.68-
2020/112.350.910.624.5310.887.00.74-
2020/102.330.834.1122.1710.917.00.74-
2020/92.31-2.0914.9519.8411.766.920.68-
2020/82.365.093.2217.5311.367.030.67-
2020/72.25-7.0611.4915.1712.746.870.68-
2020/62.429.4515.2212.9212.966.820.66-
2020/52.210.678.9110.5112.456.50.7-
2020/42.194.8112.958.313.446.430.7-
2020/32.09-2.3518.716.113.616.10.75-
2020/22.1414.8533.24.0111.126.760.68-
2020/11.87-32.09-6.641.87-6.646.740.68-
2019/122.7529.2217.4224.874.190.0N/A-
2019/112.13-5.0-3.3922.122.750.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/13.392023/12.372022/12.722021/12.222020/11.87
2024/23.342023/22.682022/22.762021/22.282020/22.14
2024/33.752023/33.142022/33.32021/32.542020/32.09
2024/43.252023/42.552022/42.92021/42.472020/42.19
2024/53.62023/53.052022/53.152021/52.442020/52.21
2024/64.072023/63.022022/63.552021/62.762020/62.42
2024/73.782023/72.952022/73.062021/72.242020/72.25
2024/83.582023/83.282022/83.322021/82.732020/82.36
2024/94.012023/93.532022/93.392021/92.842020/92.31
2024/103.592023/103.092022/102.842021/102.632020/102.33
N/AN/A2023/113.622022/113.282021/112.922020/112.35
N/AN/A2023/123.732022/123.972021/123.152020/122.96
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 8.93%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.3939.29-20.41
24Q2 (19)0.28-26.32-30.0
24Q1 (18)0.3835.71-9.52
23Q4 (17)0.28-42.86-20.0
23Q3 (16)0.4922.5-10.91
23Q2 (15)0.4-4.765.26
23Q1 (14)0.4220.027.27
22Q4 (13)0.35-36.362.94
22Q3 (12)0.5544.7477.42
22Q2 (11)0.3815.1522.58
22Q1 (10)0.33-2.9465.0
21Q4 (9)0.349.68183.33
21Q3 (8)0.310.093.75
21Q2 (7)0.3155.093.75
21Q1 (6)0.266.6742.86
20Q4 (5)0.12-25.0-25.0
20Q3 (4)0.160.00.0
20Q2 (3)0.1614.290.0
20Q1 (2)0.14-12.50.0
19Q4 (1)0.160.00.0

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