玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/102.0613.63-31.4622.9-25.915.55N/A-
2024/91.818.0-45.1820.84-25.325.920.12-
2024/81.68-30.95-48.6719.03-22.655.970.12-
2024/72.4330.62-18.4317.35-18.666.950.1-
2024/61.86-29.89-42.8614.92-18.697.160.1-
2024/52.650.28-29.0213.06-13.488.260.08-
2024/42.65-10.41-22.2910.4-8.356.430.11-
2024/32.95255.85-17.957.75-2.377.750.08-
2024/20.83-79.07-66.274.810.538.280.08本月較去年同期減少主因是受傳統農曆過年、工作天數較少所影響。
2024/13.9713.93111.173.97111.1711.030.06112年1月份受傳統農曆過年、工作天數較少所影響;113年1月份因工作天數正常,故營收較去年同期增加。
2023/123.48-2.784.7837.98-14.410.070.07-
2023/113.5819.2154.0734.49-15.969.90.07去年同期本公司因重慶市當地政府防疫政策實施封控管理,本公司配合政策停工,本期無疫情停工影響故營收較去年同期增加。
2023/103.01-9.12-30.3230.91-20.169.580.07-
2023/93.311.13-19.0127.9-18.899.560.06-
2023/83.279.71-2.9424.6-18.889.510.06-
2023/72.98-8.5-24.8721.33-20.879.980.06-
2023/63.26-12.91-14.5918.35-20.1810.40.07-
2023/53.749.79-0.1215.09-21.2910.750.07-
2023/43.41-5.41-24.4311.35-26.439.470.08-
2023/33.646.26-21.097.94-27.257.940.11-
2023/22.4631.0146.184.34-31.687.670.11-
2023/11.88-43.46-59.761.88-59.767.530.12本月較去年同期減少主因是受傳統農曆過年、工作天數較少所影響。
2022/123.3242.94-46.5544.37-24.979.960.1重慶市當地政府因防疫政策實施封控管理,本公司配合政策停工,工作日減少導致營收較去年同期減少。
2022/112.33-46.08-63.6941.05-22.4310.720.09重慶市當地政府因防疫政策實施封控管理,本公司配合政策停工,導致營收較去年同期減少。
2022/104.315.62-36.3838.72-16.7511.770.08-
2022/94.0821.19-30.1534.41-13.411.420.05-
2022/83.37-15.07-20.7930.32-10.5111.150.05-
2022/73.974.02-11.9426.95-9.0311.530.05-
2022/63.811.84-11.422.99-8.512.070.05-
2022/53.74-16.93-16.819.17-7.912.820.05-
2022/44.51-1.22-9.2315.43-5.4410.760.06-
2022/34.56170.96-2.3710.92-3.7810.920.06-
2022/21.68-63.9344.576.35-4.7712.570.05-
2022/14.67-24.91-15.214.67-15.2117.30.04-
2021/126.22-2.894.6859.1410.0519.410.02-
2021/116.41-5.538.9452.9210.7119.030.02-
2021/106.7815.9821.3146.5110.9616.880.03-
2021/95.8537.4218.0539.739.3714.610.06-
2021/84.25-5.57-11.0933.888.013.060.06-
2021/74.514.6612.5929.6311.4413.310.06-
2021/64.3-4.35-4.8925.1211.2313.770.04-
2021/54.5-9.38-20.0520.8215.314.140.04-
2021/44.976.25-10.6816.3231.3210.810.05-
2021/34.68301.2880.4711.3565.2611.350.04主係109年度新冠肺炎疫情影響致比較基期營收偏低
2021/21.17-78.85132.386.6756.0512.620.03主係109年度新冠肺炎疫情影響致比較基期營收偏低
2021/15.51-7.2845.925.5145.9217.330.02-
2020/125.941.04-10.9853.74-12.2317.410.03-
2020/115.885.19-4.8347.79-12.3916.420.03-
2020/105.5912.85-0.0141.91-13.3515.330.03-
2020/94.953.49-22.6836.32-15.113.740.02-
2020/84.7919.58-9.0931.37-13.7613.310.03-
2020/74.0-11.59-24.026.59-14.5514.160.02-
2020/64.53-19.59-8.6122.58-12.6315.720.03-
2020/55.631.238.9918.05-13.60.0N/A-
2020/45.560.04.4412.42-21.020.0N/A-
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N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A0N/A
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N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A0N/A
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股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/13.972023/11.882022/14.672021/15.512020/45.56
2024/20.832023/22.462022/21.682021/21.172020/55.63
2024/32.952023/33.62022/34.562021/34.682020/64.53
2024/42.652023/43.412022/44.512021/44.972020/74.0
2024/52.652023/53.742022/53.742021/54.52020/84.79
2024/61.862023/63.262022/63.812021/64.32020/94.95
2024/72.432023/72.982022/73.972021/74.512020/105.59
2024/81.682023/83.272022/83.372021/84.252020/115.88
2024/91.812023/93.312022/94.082021/95.852020/125.94
2024/102.062023/103.012022/104.312021/106.78N/AN/A
N/AN/A2023/113.582022/112.332021/116.41N/AN/A
N/AN/A2023/123.482022/123.322021/126.22N/AN/A
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 12.02%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.99-2.94-8.33
24Q2 (19)1.02-0.9743.66
24Q1 (18)1.03-11.210.0
23Q4 (17)1.167.41-45.02
23Q3 (16)1.0852.11-3.57
23Q2 (15)0.71-31.07-51.03
23Q1 (14)1.03-51.18-28.97
22Q4 (13)2.1188.39108.91
22Q3 (12)1.12-22.7624.44
22Q2 (11)1.450.0101.39
22Q1 (10)1.4543.56141.67
21Q4 (9)1.0112.22-18.55
21Q3 (8)0.925.0-24.37
21Q2 (7)0.7220.0-25.77
21Q1 (6)0.6-51.61-51.22
20Q4 (5)1.244.210.71
20Q3 (4)1.1922.680.0
20Q2 (3)0.97-21.140.0
20Q1 (2)1.239.820.0
19Q4 (1)1.120.00.0

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