玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1187.68-3.515.44963.045.76268.33N/A-
2024/1090.871.215.44875.365.79273.06N/A-
2024/989.78-2.845.88784.495.83274.270.2-
2024/892.410.353.9694.715.82272.460.2-
2024/792.084.673.35602.36.12268.410.2-
2024/687.97-0.444.35510.226.64261.460.21-
2024/588.363.795.67422.267.13258.910.21-
2024/485.13-0.337.38333.97.52250.50.22-
2024/385.426.826.6248.767.56248.760.25-
2024/279.96-4.1215.28163.358.07248.870.25-
2024/183.39-2.481.9683.391.96252.060.24-
2023/1285.522.859.33996.19.77254.840.28-
2023/1183.15-3.57.17910.589.81254.110.28-
2023/1086.171.638.24827.4310.08259.90.28-
2023/984.79-4.6511.37741.2610.3262.810.21-
2023/888.93-0.178.47656.4710.17262.320.21-
2023/789.095.698.63567.5310.44257.00.22-
2023/684.290.8112.31478.4410.78247.180.23-
2023/583.615.4612.67394.1510.46243.010.23-
2023/479.28-1.059.07310.549.87228.750.25-
2023/380.1215.518.75231.2610.15231.260.27-
2023/269.36-15.1911.05151.1410.92229.360.27-
2023/181.794.5610.8181.7910.81237.580.26-
2022/1278.220.827.76907.48.46235.40.29-
2022/1177.58-2.5410.54829.198.53233.320.29-
2022/1079.614.567.89751.618.32237.730.29-
2022/976.13-7.1310.83672.08.37240.130.2-
2022/881.99-0.0217.65595.878.07239.040.2-
2022/782.019.2620.15513.886.68231.260.21-
2022/675.051.1418.91431.874.46221.940.21-
2022/574.22.093.71356.821.85220.560.21-
2022/472.68-1.343.31282.621.38208.810.23-
2022/373.6717.962.53209.940.72209.940.24-
2022/262.46-15.38-5.51136.26-0.22208.840.24-
2022/173.811.684.7373.814.73216.570.24-
2021/1272.583.42-0.05836.6-1.99216.540.29-
2021/1170.18-4.88-1.85764.01-2.17212.650.29-
2021/1073.787.410.82693.84-2.21212.160.29-
2021/968.69-1.41-4.2620.05-2.56206.620.23-
2021/869.682.09-9.83551.36-2.35201.040.24-
2021/768.258.13-12.87481.68-1.16202.910.24-
2021/663.11-11.78-13.51413.431.07205.010.22-
2021/571.551.7-2.16350.324.24213.750.21-
2021/470.35-2.088.23278.776.02208.30.21-
2021/371.858.697.25208.425.3208.420.22-
2021/266.1-6.198.47136.574.3209.190.22-
2021/170.47-2.960.6770.470.67214.590.22-
2020/1272.621.558.55853.669.82217.310.25-
2020/1171.51-2.289.07781.049.94216.40.25-
2020/1073.182.046.56709.5310.03222.170.24-
2020/971.71-7.210.53636.3510.44227.330.2-
2020/877.28-1.3412.8564.6410.43228.590.2-
2020/778.337.3313.52487.3610.06224.440.2-
2020/672.98-0.210.1409.029.42211.110.21-
2020/573.1312.5114.06336.059.28205.120.22-
2020/465.0-2.975.73262.928.02192.920.23-
2020/366.999.928.63197.928.79197.920.24-
2020/260.94-12.936.16130.938.87197.820.24-
2020/169.994.6311.3469.9911.340.0N/A-
2019/1266.892.038.06777.38.370.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/183.392023/181.792022/173.812021/170.472020/169.99
2024/279.962023/269.362022/262.462021/266.12020/260.94
2024/385.422023/380.122022/373.672021/371.852020/366.99
2024/485.132023/479.282022/472.682021/470.352020/465.0
2024/588.362023/583.612022/574.22021/571.552020/573.13
2024/687.972023/684.292022/675.052021/663.112020/672.98
2024/792.082023/789.092022/782.012021/768.252020/778.33
2024/892.412023/888.932022/881.992021/869.682020/877.28
2024/989.782023/984.792022/976.132021/968.692020/971.71
2024/1090.872023/1086.172022/1079.612021/1073.782020/1073.18
2024/1187.682023/1183.152022/1177.582021/1170.182020/1171.51
N/AN/A2023/1285.522022/1278.222021/1272.582020/1272.62
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 153.08%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)34.170.562.24
24Q2 (19)33.98-4.170.21
24Q1 (18)35.464.174.42
23Q4 (17)34.041.864.55
23Q3 (16)33.42-1.4515.76
23Q2 (15)33.91-0.1511.11
23Q1 (14)33.964.334.39
22Q4 (13)32.5612.7847.2
22Q3 (12)28.87-5.4131.71
22Q2 (11)30.5220.7832.18
22Q1 (10)25.2714.249.54
21Q4 (9)22.120.918.01
21Q3 (8)21.92-5.074.88
21Q2 (7)23.090.0921.14
21Q1 (6)23.0712.6529.61
20Q4 (5)20.48-2.0127.44
20Q3 (4)20.99.650.0
20Q2 (3)19.067.080.0
20Q1 (2)17.810.770.0
19Q4 (1)16.070.00.0

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