玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/105.04-8.28-2.9750.8514.9415.86N/A-
2024/95.493.26.045.8117.3216.070.67-
2024/85.321.337.3940.3219.0515.480.69-
2024/75.257.0713.1134.9921.0515.170.71-
2024/64.91-2.0911.3429.7422.5714.60.78-
2024/55.017.0112.9724.8325.0714.610.78-
2024/44.68-4.87.9519.8228.5514.410.79-
2024/34.922.2312.7715.1436.6115.140.73-
2024/24.81-11.041.2310.2252.0914.970.74因營收成長所致
2024/15.4113.8463.255.4163.2515.330.72因營收成長所致
2023/124.75-8.1868.9854.16-15.1215.120.75因營收成長所致
2023/115.17-0.447.6249.41-19.015.550.72-
2023/105.190.1934.1744.24-23.0615.330.73-
2023/95.184.5631.3139.05-27.1914.790.84-
2023/84.966.7311.1833.86-31.8414.010.89-
2023/74.645.39-12.7128.91-36.0813.490.92-
2023/64.41-0.66-28.3224.26-39.1913.181.03-
2023/54.442.25-40.5219.86-41.1713.141.04-
2023/44.34-0.55-37.1415.42-41.3612.111.12-
2023/34.3628.03-35.6111.08-42.8611.081.34-
2023/23.412.87-42.816.72-46.769.531.56營收下降所致
2023/13.3117.84-50.293.31-50.299.631.55營收下降所致
2022/122.81-19.79-52.8463.82-5.6210.181.56營收下降所致
2022/113.5-9.47-43.3161.01-1.0611.321.41-
2022/103.87-1.94-34.857.53.6412.281.3-
2022/93.95-11.46-39.2253.638.2413.731.08-
2022/84.46-16.21-29.7949.6815.415.930.93-
2022/75.32-13.44-3.0745.2323.2318.930.78-
2022/66.15-17.5615.5539.927.8520.510.55-
2022/57.468.0637.4733.7630.3821.130.53-
2022/46.91.8728.8826.328.519.630.58-
2022/36.7713.732.8819.428.3719.40.51-
2022/25.96-10.5732.1412.6226.0718.580.53-
2022/16.6611.7921.16.6621.118.80.53-
2021/125.96-3.5726.9367.6225.4618.080.43-
2021/116.184.1120.6261.6625.3218.610.42-
2021/105.94-8.5918.9855.4825.8618.780.41-
2021/96.492.2728.4149.5426.7418.340.31-
2021/86.3515.6632.5743.0526.517.160.33-
2021/75.493.1814.5136.725.516.240.35-
2021/65.32-1.9222.8131.2127.6616.10.35-
2021/55.431.325.3225.8928.715.880.35-
2021/45.365.0326.3220.4629.6314.960.37-
2021/35.113.0738.2915.1130.8415.110.41-
2021/24.51-18.0421.3410.0127.3514.710.42-
2021/15.517.1732.735.532.7315.320.4-
2020/124.7-8.3711.2853.918.5714.810.49-
2020/115.122.717.8749.219.3115.170.48-
2020/104.99-1.3418.6244.0819.4814.840.49-
2020/95.065.5924.1639.0919.5914.640.57-
2020/84.79-0.0821.4634.0318.9413.920.6-
2020/74.7910.6629.8929.2418.5413.460.62-
2020/64.330.0726.7624.4516.5412.90.69-
2020/54.332.1132.4120.1214.5612.250.73-
2020/44.2414.9825.4315.7910.4711.640.77-
2020/33.69-0.787.7911.555.8411.550.84-
2020/23.72-10.348.317.864.9412.080.8-
2020/14.14-1.762.094.142.0912.710.76-
2019/124.22-2.9411.4945.46-6.210.0N/A-
2019/114.353.3510.5741.24-7.710.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/15.412023/13.312022/16.662021/15.52020/14.14
2024/24.812023/23.412022/25.962021/24.512020/23.72
2024/34.922023/34.362022/36.772021/35.12020/33.69
2024/44.682023/44.342022/46.92021/45.362020/44.24
2024/55.012023/54.442022/57.462021/55.432020/54.33
2024/64.912023/64.412022/66.152021/65.322020/64.33
2024/75.252023/74.642022/75.322021/75.492020/74.79
2024/85.322023/84.962022/84.462021/86.352020/84.79
2024/95.492023/95.182022/93.952021/96.492020/95.06
2024/105.042023/105.192022/103.872021/105.942020/104.99
N/AN/A2023/115.172022/113.52021/116.182020/115.12
N/AN/A2023/124.752022/122.812021/125.962020/124.7
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季
合約負債 QoQ YoY

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