玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.16-3.06-1.721.582.840.47N/A-
2024/90.168.98-2.191.433.370.470.86-
2024/80.15-6.96-9.491.264.140.470.88-
2024/70.162.36-4.031.116.30.470.88-
2024/60.165.4914.040.958.280.460.89-
2024/50.15-4.0513.920.797.210.480.86-
2024/40.16-9.914.340.645.760.50.83-
2024/30.172.3814.650.493.30.490.84-
2024/20.1713.9817.540.32-1.980.470.87-
2024/10.15-5.85-17.590.15-17.590.510.81-
2023/120.16-22.46-26.01.9-15.580.520.81-
2023/110.225.74-8.141.74-14.490.530.79-
2023/100.16-3.52-2.021.54-15.260.490.85-
2023/90.170.840.251.38-16.580.50.82-
2023/80.17-1.35-6.481.21-18.470.470.87-
2023/70.1721.64-8.581.05-20.090.440.94-
2023/60.145.39-26.910.88-21.970.411.01-
2023/50.13-3.69-12.930.74-20.970.420.98-
2023/40.14-9.66-22.540.61-22.510.430.95-
2023/30.154.96-20.430.47-22.50.470.89-
2023/20.14-20.09-34.080.32-23.430.540.78-
2023/10.18-15.46-12.080.18-12.080.610.69-
2022/120.21-3.7419.732.2510.230.60.74-
2022/110.2234.1119.642.049.320.550.8-
2022/100.16-1.282.631.828.190.510.87-
2022/90.17-5.9312.671.658.780.530.82-
2022/80.18-3.5627.141.498.360.550.78-
2022/70.18-2.7530.621.316.230.520.82-
2022/60.1925.5629.471.133.090.510.84-
2022/50.15-14.3214.930.94-0.960.520.83-
2022/40.18-7.2-12.160.79-3.520.580.74-
2022/30.19-13.053.280.61-0.710.610.74-
2022/20.226.58-0.680.42-2.40.60.75-
2022/10.215.12-4.170.2-4.170.570.8-
2021/120.18-3.81-15.272.04-16.680.520.92-
2021/110.1815.052.421.86-16.810.490.97-
2021/100.168.36-1.881.68-18.490.451.07-
2021/90.156.15-18.91.52-19.920.431.12-
2021/80.14-0.92-25.251.37-20.020.431.13-
2021/70.14-3.6-23.631.23-19.390.421.15-
2021/60.1511.46-19.251.09-18.810.481.2-
2021/50.13-34.52-31.620.95-18.740.511.11-
2021/40.29.115.130.82-16.20.60.95-
2021/30.18-16.39-24.00.62-21.390.621.06-
2021/20.222.84-3.330.43-20.220.641.01-
2021/10.211.78-32.380.21-32.380.61.08-
2020/120.2116.27-14.252.45-41.270.551.27-
2020/110.1810.21-31.982.24-42.940.531.33-
2020/100.16-10.43-45.262.06-43.740.531.32-
2020/90.18-2.15-43.111.9-43.460.551.21-
2020/80.191.21-60.281.72-43.50.551.22新冠肺炎疫情影響,導致本月無強片發行
2020/70.181.92-59.541.53-40.430.561.2新冠肺炎疫情影響,導致本月無強片發行
2020/60.18-5.61-43.691.35-36.310.561.25-
2020/50.190.66-36.051.16-34.990.621.12-
2020/40.19-21.13-52.770.97-34.770.661.06因香港得利子公司於108年底結清算及新冠肺炎影嚮導致營收下滑
2020/30.246.35-45.190.78-28.110.780.97-
2020/20.23-28.06-25.450.54-16.550.790.97-
2020/10.3229.07-8.70.32-8.70.820.92-
2019/120.24-7.76-31.424.17-21.630.0N/A-
2019/110.26-11.3-32.293.93-20.930.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.152023/10.182022/10.22021/10.212020/10.32
2024/20.172023/20.142022/20.222021/20.222020/20.23
2024/30.172023/30.152022/30.192021/30.182020/30.24
2024/40.162023/40.142022/40.182021/40.22020/40.19
2024/50.152023/50.132022/50.152021/50.132020/50.19
2024/60.162023/60.142022/60.192021/60.152020/60.18
2024/70.162023/70.172022/70.182021/70.142020/70.18
2024/80.152023/80.172022/80.182021/80.142020/80.19
2024/90.162023/90.172022/90.172021/90.152020/90.18
2024/100.162023/100.162022/100.162021/100.162020/100.16
N/AN/A2023/110.22022/110.222021/110.182020/110.18
N/AN/A2023/120.162022/120.212021/120.182020/120.21
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 1.83%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.070.016.67
24Q2 (19)0.0740.0-12.5
24Q1 (18)0.0566.6725.0
23Q4 (17)0.03-50.00.0
23Q3 (16)0.06-25.020.0
23Q2 (15)0.08100.00.0
23Q1 (14)0.0433.33-20.0
22Q4 (13)0.03-40.0-70.0
22Q3 (12)0.05-37.5-50.0
22Q2 (11)0.0860.0-42.86
22Q1 (10)0.05-50.0-64.29
21Q4 (9)0.10.0-44.44
21Q3 (8)0.1-28.57-33.33
21Q2 (7)0.140.055.56
21Q1 (6)0.14-22.2275.0
20Q4 (5)0.1820.012.5
20Q3 (4)0.1566.670.0
20Q2 (3)0.0912.50.0
20Q1 (2)0.08-50.00.0
19Q4 (1)0.160.00.0

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