玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/112.96-0.52.2534.16-0.839.39N/A0.050.53-
2024/102.98-13.641.3331.19-1.1210.14N/A-0.050.48-
2024/93.45-6.895.3228.21-1.3710.370.73-
2024/83.7115.212.224.76-2.249.850.770.10.37-
2024/73.229.97-1.0921.06-2.988.950.850.050.28-
2024/62.923.97-10.7617.84-3.318.550.880.050.23-
2024/52.81-0.03-3.8414.92-1.78.560.88-0.020.18-
2024/42.81-4.02-2.3612.1-1.199.190.82-0.060.19-
2024/32.93-14.853.699.29-0.839.290.81-
2024/23.4418.1412.156.36-2.799.180.820.130.2-
2024/12.913.27-16.012.91-16.018.640.870.070.07-
2023/122.82-2.65-3.6637.27-14.898.660.770.110.87-
2023/112.9-1.39-1.6434.45-15.699.120.730.010.76-
2023/102.94-10.24-0.3531.55-16.789.840.680.030.75-
2023/93.28-9.65-1.9628.61-18.1710.150.690.080.72-
2023/83.6311.48-0.5625.33-19.8810.160.690.050.64-
2023/73.25-0.77-5.1221.71-22.49.460.740.140.59-
2023/63.2812.04-18.5218.45-24.829.080.730.30.45-
2023/52.931.5-38.7715.18-26.058.630.770.020.15-
2023/42.881.93-24.1612.25-22.198.780.76-0.020.14-
2023/32.83-7.91-24.949.37-21.569.370.74-0.020.16-
2023/23.07-11.53-25.736.54-20.019.470.730.060.18-
2023/13.4718.46-14.153.47-14.159.350.740.120.12-
2022/122.93-0.61-13.2743.79-14.618.830.770.271.4-
2022/112.95-0.1-28.0940.86-14.79.240.74-0.041.13-
2022/102.95-11.69-35.537.91-13.459.940.69-0.021.17-
2022/93.34-8.36-26.7834.96-10.8810.420.630.121.19-
2022/83.656.37-21.9931.62-8.7811.10.590.021.07-
2022/73.43-14.79-30.2527.97-6.7212.230.540.091.06-
2022/64.02-15.79-28.5224.55-2.1112.60.60.280.96-
2022/54.7825.71-16.2520.525.5212.350.610.280.68-
2022/43.80.8811.5615.7414.5711.70.640.050.4-
2022/33.77-8.8810.7211.9415.5611.940.710.130.36-
2022/24.132.2511.818.1817.9311.560.740.120.22-
2022/14.0419.6824.924.0424.9211.520.740.10.1-
2021/123.38-17.594.3251.2825.3212.050.680.192.2-
2021/114.1-10.3928.0347.927.1313.240.620.072.01-
2021/104.570.2351.343.827.0413.810.590.161.94本月營收較去年同期增加係因振興五倍券發放致消費力道回升所致.
2021/94.56-2.3624.1539.2324.7114.150.580.21.78-
2021/84.67-4.8820.2234.6724.7815.220.530.151.57-
2021/74.91-12.6729.6629.9925.5316.250.50.311.43-
2021/65.63-1.3479.9925.0824.7514.740.490.381.12延續遠距教學及在家辦公市場需求增加買氣,商品齊全、庫存充足、專業服務、一站購足優勢加持。
2021/55.7167.4770.9919.4514.5712.510.570.440.74主因國中、小停課不停學,遠距教學致市場需求增加
2021/43.410.125.7613.740.7710.510.680.090.29-
2021/33.4-7.98-0.2210.34-0.7710.340.70.010.2-
2021/23.714.258.886.93-1.0310.170.710.130.2-
2021/13.24-0.05-10.363.24-10.369.680.740.070.07-
2020/123.241.1313.2940.926.129.460.670.160.7-
2020/113.25.8912.137.685.549.90.640.010.54-
2020/103.02-17.755.2534.484.9710.590.6-0.030.53-
2020/93.68-5.450.231.464.9411.350.60.010.56-
2020/83.892.580.8127.785.6110.810.630.110.55-
2020/73.7921.2113.7123.896.4310.250.660.160.44-
2020/63.13-6.274.2120.15.169.680.76-0.040.28-
2020/53.343.5812.916.975.339.970.74-0.010.32-
2020/43.22-5.5413.0713.643.6410.030.740.090.32-
2020/33.410.412.510.421.0310.420.640.030.23-
2020/23.4-5.94-7.017.010.339.860.680.060.2-
2020/13.6126.328.393.618.390.0N/A0.130.13-
2019/122.860.06-13.3238.56-5.780.0N/A0.120.5-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/12.912023/13.472022/14.042021/13.242020/13.61
2024/23.442023/23.072022/24.132021/23.72020/23.4
2024/32.932023/32.832022/33.772021/33.42020/33.41
2024/42.812023/42.882022/43.82021/43.412020/43.22
2024/52.812023/52.932022/54.782021/55.712020/53.34
2024/62.922023/63.282022/64.022021/65.632020/63.13
2024/73.222023/73.252022/73.432021/74.912020/73.79
2024/83.712023/83.632022/83.652021/84.672020/83.89
2024/93.452023/93.282022/93.342021/94.562020/93.68
2024/102.982023/102.942022/102.952021/104.572020/103.02
2024/112.962023/112.92022/112.952021/114.12020/113.2
N/AN/A2023/122.822022/122.932021/123.382020/123.24
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 3.62%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.29-19.44-6.45
24Q2 (19)0.3624.149.09
24Q1 (18)0.29-3.33-19.44
23Q4 (17)0.3-3.23-16.67
23Q3 (16)0.31-6.06-18.42
23Q2 (15)0.33-8.33-17.5
23Q1 (14)0.360.0-7.69
22Q4 (13)0.36-5.26-10.0
22Q3 (12)0.38-5.035.71
22Q2 (11)0.42.5642.86
22Q1 (10)0.39-2.550.0
21Q4 (9)0.442.8642.86
21Q3 (8)0.280.07.69
21Q2 (7)0.287.693.7
21Q1 (6)0.26-7.144.0
20Q4 (5)0.287.6912.0
20Q3 (4)0.26-3.70.0
20Q2 (3)0.278.00.0
20Q1 (2)0.250.00.0
19Q4 (1)0.250.00.0

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