玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/104.3310.8548.133.6124.4711.99N/A-
2024/93.93.6827.2129.2921.611.860.53-
2024/83.76-10.324.5925.3920.7911.30.55-
2024/74.225.747.0421.6220.1510.930.57-
2024/63.34-1.6432.1817.4215.089.960.52-
2024/53.395.1536.2414.0911.659.40.55-
2024/43.2316.2837.0110.695.67.840.66-
2024/32.7851.39-7.387.46-3.927.460.49-
2024/21.83-35.76-32.754.69-1.747.750.47-
2024/12.85-6.7539.612.8539.619.120.4-
2023/123.06-4.42-10.9733.27-20.569.190.35-
2023/113.29.64-8.1230.21-21.419.190.35-
2023/102.92-4.78-15.5527.0-22.749.010.36-
2023/93.071.54-8.7524.08-23.538.940.37-
2023/83.025.85-17.6721.02-25.298.40.4-
2023/72.8513.0-15.4917.99-26.447.870.42-
2023/62.531.38-32.2615.14-28.197.370.41-
2023/52.495.75-30.0912.62-27.327.840.38-
2023/42.36-21.4-39.4310.12-26.68.080.37-
2023/33.09.92-8.657.77-21.567.770.43-
2023/22.7333.37-2.214.77-27.968.210.41-
2023/12.04-40.54-46.682.04-46.688.970.37-
2022/123.44-1.36-20.6241.88-10.4810.380.34-
2022/113.490.78-23.2238.44-9.4510.310.34-
2022/103.462.88-11.8834.95-7.810.490.34-
2022/93.36-8.38-18.4831.5-7.3310.410.38-
2022/83.678.65-20.1628.13-5.7810.780.37-
2022/73.38-9.41-18.5324.46-3.1710.670.37-
2022/63.734.62-3.2221.09-0.1511.180.4-
2022/53.56-8.383.8117.360.5210.730.42-
2022/43.8918.54-2.8413.79-0.289.960.45-
2022/33.2817.66-10.919.90.759.90.55-
2022/22.79-27.2713.096.627.7510.960.5-
2022/13.83-11.494.173.834.1712.710.43-
2021/124.33-4.5815.7746.7917.4712.80.38-
2021/114.5415.6724.8642.4517.6512.590.39-
2021/103.93-4.8223.6737.9116.8412.650.39-
2021/94.12-10.2621.2233.9916.112.870.43-
2021/84.610.8631.5729.8615.4212.60.44-
2021/74.157.6111.5125.2712.911.430.48-
2021/63.8512.236.3521.1213.1811.290.49-
2021/53.43-14.25-6.3817.2714.8311.120.5-
2021/44.08.75.9613.8321.6710.150.55-
2021/33.6849.3720.599.8329.499.830.47-
2021/22.47-33.042.136.1535.489.890.47-
2021/13.68-1.6331.363.6831.3611.060.42-
2020/123.742.91.6939.83-4.2510.550.33-
2020/113.6414.570.7436.08-4.8210.210.34-
2020/103.17-6.71-2.7732.45-5.4110.070.34-
2020/93.4-2.62.7729.27-5.6910.610.31-
2020/83.49-6.04-0.3325.87-6.710.830.31-
2020/73.722.633.6722.38-7.6211.010.3-
2020/63.62-1.218.8618.66-9.5811.070.32-
2020/53.67-2.9411.2615.04-13.1310.50.34-
2020/43.7823.717.4311.37-18.878.570.41-
2020/33.0576.04-10.767.59-27.687.590.48-
2020/21.73-38.08-22.664.54-35.878.220.44-
2020/12.8-23.85-42.02.8-42.010.090.36-
2019/123.681.93-9.1941.59-11.690.0N/A-
2019/113.6110.56-10.0537.91-11.930.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/12.852023/12.042022/13.832021/13.682020/12.8
2024/21.832023/22.732022/22.792021/22.472020/21.73
2024/32.782023/33.02022/33.282021/33.682020/33.05
2024/43.232023/42.362022/43.892021/44.02020/43.78
2024/53.392023/52.492022/53.562021/53.432020/53.67
2024/63.342023/62.532022/63.732021/63.852020/63.62
2024/74.22023/72.852022/73.382021/74.152020/73.72
2024/83.762023/83.022022/83.672021/84.62020/83.49
2024/93.92023/93.072022/93.362021/94.122020/93.4
2024/104.332023/102.922022/103.462021/103.932020/103.17
N/AN/A2023/113.22022/113.492021/114.542020/113.64
N/AN/A2023/123.062022/123.442021/124.332020/123.74
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 0.31%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.030.00.0
24Q2 (19)0.0350.0200.0
24Q1 (18)0.02-33.33-60.0
23Q4 (17)0.030.0-40.0
23Q3 (16)0.03200.0-40.0
23Q2 (15)0.01-80.0-80.0
23Q1 (14)0.050.0-16.67
22Q4 (13)0.050.00
22Q3 (12)0.050.025.0
22Q2 (11)0.05-16.6725.0
22Q1 (10)0.06020.0

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