玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/103.43-2.499.1135.4816.4410.69N/A-
2024/93.52-5.8116.8532.0517.2811.260.74-
2024/83.74-6.5319.9728.5317.3411.610.72-
2024/74.03.3237.9624.7916.9511.710.71-
2024/63.870.7710.7720.7913.6211.460.71-
2024/53.842.5221.0616.9214.311.120.73-
2024/43.756.0411.7513.0812.459.810.82-
2024/33.5339.277.759.3412.749.340.85-
2024/22.54-22.41-0.025.816.019.00.88-
2024/13.272.1732.53.2732.59.580.83-
2023/123.22.88-5.4936.78-4.339.450.84-
2023/113.11-1.141.5633.58-4.229.270.86-
2023/103.154.4216.3930.47-4.779.270.86-
2023/93.01-3.311.7527.32-6.729.030.92-
2023/83.127.4718.2824.31-8.599.510.88-
2023/72.9-17.033.1821.2-11.559.560.87-
2023/63.4910.134.8318.3-13.5110.020.85-
2023/53.17-5.35-1.3514.8-16.949.80.87-
2023/43.352.24-4.8911.63-20.379.170.93-
2023/33.2829.22-12.548.28-25.298.281.1-
2023/22.542.83-27.945.0-31.88.391.09-
2023/12.47-27.12-35.352.47-35.358.911.03-
2022/123.3810.57-9.9138.44-8.219.151.13-
2022/113.0613.29-19.3735.06-8.048.461.22-
2022/102.70.24-25.532.0-6.798.031.28-
2022/92.72.35-31.829.29-4.588.141.34-
2022/82.63-6.24-29.5826.6-0.568.771.24-
2022/72.81-15.71-15.1523.974.159.361.17-
2022/63.333.63-6.3721.167.410.070.99-
2022/53.22-8.74-2.0217.8210.4310.490.95-
2022/43.52-5.986.4114.6113.6210.790.92-
2022/33.756.4711.5511.0816.1211.080.73-
2022/23.52-7.7416.127.3418.5911.090.73-
2022/13.821.5520.973.8220.9711.370.71-
2021/123.76-1.0312.8441.8828.2811.180.66-
2021/113.84.6821.6238.1330.0311.380.65-
2021/103.63-8.2230.5134.3331.0311.320.65-
2021/93.955.6733.6930.731.111.00.56-
2021/83.7412.9840.3326.7530.7210.610.58-
2021/73.31-6.9941.3123.0129.2810.150.61-
2021/63.568.4525.4319.727.4710.150.65-
2021/53.28-0.8912.1116.1427.929.950.66-
2021/43.31-1.4322.8512.8632.679.70.68-
2021/33.3610.8320.249.5536.499.550.69-
2021/23.03-3.8969.06.1947.39.520.69客戶訂單增加,出貨暢旺
2021/13.15-5.2631.133.1531.139.610.68-
2020/123.336.6521.1432.6511.929.230.69-
2020/113.1212.3320.5529.3210.968.860.72-
2020/102.78-5.9819.8826.29.928.40.76-
2020/92.9610.9325.3423.428.857.960.83-
2020/82.6613.7621.8120.466.827.850.85-
2020/72.34-17.443.3417.84.888.110.82-
2020/62.84-3.0628.3415.455.128.460.78-
2020/52.938.66.6912.621.018.420.79-
2020/42.7-3.524.839.69-0.587.280.91-
2020/32.7955.76-1.356.99-2.526.990.93-
2020/21.79-25.43-5.144.2-3.296.950.94-
2020/12.41-12.48-1.862.41-1.867.740.84-
2019/122.756.1312.7829.17-17.50.0N/A-
2019/112.5911.7110.0226.42-19.750.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/13.272023/12.472022/13.822021/13.152020/12.41
2024/22.542023/22.542022/23.522021/23.032020/21.79
2024/33.532023/33.282022/33.752021/33.362020/32.79
2024/43.752023/43.352022/43.522021/43.312020/42.7
2024/53.842023/53.172022/53.222021/53.282020/52.93
2024/63.872023/63.492022/63.332021/63.562020/62.84
2024/74.02023/72.92022/72.812021/73.312020/72.34
2024/83.742023/83.122022/82.632021/83.742020/82.66
2024/93.522023/93.012022/92.72021/93.952020/92.96
2024/103.432023/103.152022/102.72021/103.632020/102.78
N/AN/A2023/113.112022/113.062021/113.82020/113.12
N/AN/A2023/123.22022/123.382021/123.762020/123.33
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 0.4%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.06-68.42500.0
24Q2 (19)0.19111.11-62.75
24Q1 (18)0.0980.0-94.61
23Q4 (17)0.05400.0-97.8
23Q3 (16)0.01-98.04-99.33
23Q2 (15)0.51-69.460
23Q1 (14)1.67-26.430
22Q4 (13)2.2751.330
22Q3 (12)1.500

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