玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/117.1-5.240.0680.52-13.5822.67N/A-
2024/107.49-7.183.3473.42-14.723.46N/A-
2024/98.072.25-9.8565.93-16.3723.781.17-
2024/87.91.1-8.5257.85-17.223.321.2-
2024/77.812.63-10.9349.96-18.4222.981.21-
2024/67.610.7-5.9442.15-19.6822.521.25-
2024/57.562.73-13.2134.54-22.1821.91.28-
2024/47.365.21-15.4826.98-24.3720.831.35-
2024/36.997.89-22.1519.62-27.2419.621.47-
2024/26.485.3-27.5212.63-29.7819.451.48-
2024/16.15-9.72-32.016.15-32.0120.071.43-
2023/126.82-3.95-30.2499.99-21.3121.161.31-
2023/117.1-2.13-30.0293.18-20.5723.31.19-
2023/107.25-19.03-34.7286.08-19.6724.841.12-
2023/98.963.75-22.578.83-17.9326.361.13-
2023/88.63-1.55-23.8469.87-17.3125.491.17-
2023/78.778.37-23.3461.24-16.325.571.16-
2023/68.09-7.08-28.1652.47-14.9925.51.26-
2023/58.710.06-13.8544.38-12.0526.391.22-
2023/48.7-3.1-11.8735.67-11.626.621.21-
2023/38.980.45-13.4526.97-11.5226.971.17-
2023/28.94-1.23-9.7717.99-10.5227.761.13-
2023/19.05-7.35-11.259.05-11.2528.961.09-
2022/129.77-3.65-1.41127.0823.1631.021.0-
2022/1110.14-8.712.6117.3125.7832.810.94-
2022/1011.11-3.8816.28107.1728.5234.00.91-
2022/911.561.9728.396.0630.1134.330.81-
2022/811.33-0.928.8784.5130.3634.040.82-
2022/711.441.5536.1873.1730.5932.810.85-
2022/611.2611.4237.5361.7329.6131.250.84-
2022/510.112.3621.7750.4727.9630.360.86-
2022/49.88-4.8320.1540.3629.6130.160.87-
2022/310.384.7326.5230.4833.0130.480.81-
2022/29.91-2.8439.2520.1136.6230.020.82-
2022/110.22.9134.1610.234.1629.990.82-
2021/129.910.2752.72103.1839.3229.350.8銷售量及售價提高
2021/119.883.4447.2793.2738.0428.450.83-
2021/109.556.0650.0683.3837.0227.360.86銷售量及售價提高
2021/99.012.4246.273.8335.4926.20.86-
2021/88.84.7145.2564.8234.1325.380.89-
2021/78.42.5530.8156.0332.5324.890.91-
2021/68.19-1.3434.3447.6332.8424.710.86-
2021/58.31.031.5439.4432.5424.720.86-
2021/48.220.234.431.1432.8123.540.9-
2021/38.215.2631.0622.9232.2422.920.94-
2021/27.12-6.428.4614.7232.9121.211.02-
2021/17.617.1537.367.637.3620.81.04-
2020/126.49-3.3117.2974.05-3.2819.571.18-
2020/116.715.418.6667.57-4.8819.241.2-
2020/106.373.337.260.85-6.9218.581.24-
2020/96.161.753.8854.49-8.3318.641.09-
2020/86.05-5.692.1348.33-9.6818.571.09-
2020/76.425.3210.9742.27-11.1618.831.08-
2020/66.1-3.39-8.3535.85-14.2218.521.09-
2020/56.313.2-10.3229.76-15.3418.681.08-
2020/46.11-2.28-7.623.45-16.5917.911.13-
2020/36.2612.98-16.0817.33-19.3617.331.16-
2020/25.540.07-19.7311.07-21.116.61.22-
2020/15.530.03-22.435.53-22.430.0N/A-
2019/125.53-2.18-20.0776.57-16.950.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/16.152023/19.052022/110.22021/17.62020/15.53
2024/26.482023/28.942022/29.912021/27.122020/25.54
2024/36.992023/38.982022/310.382021/38.22020/36.26
2024/47.362023/48.72022/49.882021/48.222020/46.11
2024/57.562023/58.712022/510.112021/58.32020/56.31
2024/67.612023/68.092022/611.262021/68.192020/66.1
2024/77.812023/78.772022/711.442021/78.42020/76.42
2024/87.92023/88.632022/811.332021/88.82020/86.05
2024/98.072023/98.962022/911.562021/99.012020/96.16
2024/107.492023/107.252022/1011.112021/109.552020/106.37
2024/117.12023/117.12022/1110.142021/119.882020/116.71
N/AN/A2023/126.822022/129.772021/129.912020/126.49
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 7.87%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)4.51-5.650
24Q2 (19)4.789.3811850.0
24Q1 (18)4.371.390
23Q4 (17)4.3100

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