玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1029.320.0715.12327.8333.4287.31N/A-
2024/929.32.13-3.21298.5135.5389.220.46-
2024/828.69-8.14-3.23269.2141.7187.320.47-
2024/731.2313.9931.68240.5250.0290.580.46客戶需求增加
2024/627.4-14.2625.64209.2953.295.70.4客戶需求增加
2024/531.95-12.129.59181.8958.44115.020.33客戶需求增加
2024/436.35-22.1873.65149.9466.33108.080.35客戶需求增加
2024/346.7286.7688.72113.5964.12113.590.35客戶需求增加
2024/225.01-40.231.0266.8750.4290.30.44客戶需求增加
2024/141.8578.65112.5241.85112.5291.30.44客戶需求增加
2023/1223.43-9.9624.98295.175.1474.920.64-
2023/1126.022.1625.56271.743.7281.770.59-
2023/1025.47-15.8628.95245.721.8485.390.56-
2023/930.272.1137.86220.25-0.5783.640.4-
2023/829.6525.051.83189.97-4.875.170.44客戶需求增加
2023/723.728.7730.89160.33-10.9470.180.48-
2023/621.8-11.56-7.71136.61-15.6267.390.52-
2023/524.6617.78-15.22114.8-16.9770.350.5-
2023/420.93-15.45-14.6290.15-17.4470.450.5-
2023/324.760.0-17.8669.21-18.2669.210.52-
2023/224.7625.734.9944.45-18.4763.20.57-
2023/119.695.06-36.3619.69-36.3659.160.6-
2022/1218.74-9.54-32.27280.73-13.5359.220.65-
2022/1120.724.92-26.61261.99-11.7962.430.62-
2022/1019.75-10.05-24.5241.26-10.2361.240.63-
2022/921.9612.46-19.02221.51-8.6959.60.78-
2022/819.537.76-32.16199.55-7.3961.280.76-
2022/718.12-23.33-35.93180.03-3.5770.840.66-
2022/623.63-18.74-7.64161.912.1977.240.52-
2022/529.0818.616.27138.284.0983.750.48-
2022/424.52-18.64-9.27109.193.5278.240.51-
2022/330.1427.88.1684.677.9384.670.42-
2022/223.58-23.7912.1654.537.8182.130.43-
2022/130.9512.134.7130.954.7186.780.41-
2021/1227.6-2.265.94324.6121.5282.00.43-
2021/1128.247.9325.27297.0123.2181.520.43-
2021/1026.16-3.5214.55268.7723.082.070.43-
2021/927.12-5.79-0.67242.6123.9884.190.33-
2021/828.791.7723.08215.4927.9882.660.34-
2021/728.2810.5323.36186.7128.7781.240.35-
2021/625.59-6.526.34158.4329.7979.980.29-
2021/527.371.2639.9132.8430.4782.260.29-
2021/427.03-3.011.91105.4728.2375.920.31-
2021/327.8732.5411.3678.4540.7578.450.26-
2021/221.02-28.8556.3550.5864.7176.60.27客戶需求增加
2021/129.5513.5771.2229.5571.2278.120.27客戶需求增加
2020/1226.0215.4332.79266.9816.9771.40.33-
2020/1122.54-1.2913.09240.9615.4872.590.32-
2020/1022.84-16.0610.55218.4215.7373.430.32-
2020/927.2116.3441.94195.5816.3773.520.35-
2020/823.392.0113.09168.3713.0866.530.39-
2020/722.9313.412.03144.9813.0862.70.41-
2020/620.223.343.47122.0613.2866.290.43-
2020/519.56-26.23-5.23101.8415.4571.140.4-
2020/426.525.8237.3282.2821.7765.020.44-
2020/325.0686.3440.8955.7615.5555.760.52-
2020/213.45-22.0910.2130.710.7650.380.58-
2020/117.26-12.25-5.5417.26-5.5456.870.51-
2019/1219.67-1.335.05228.3215.820.0N/A-
2019/1119.93-3.5119.13208.6514.290.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/141.852023/119.692022/130.952021/129.552020/117.26
2024/225.012023/224.762022/223.582021/221.022020/213.45
2024/346.722023/324.762022/330.142021/327.872020/325.06
2024/436.352023/420.932022/424.522021/427.032020/426.52
2024/531.952023/524.662022/529.082021/527.372020/519.56
2024/627.42023/621.82022/623.632021/625.592020/620.22
2024/731.232023/723.722022/718.122021/728.282020/722.93
2024/828.692023/829.652022/819.532021/828.792020/823.39
2024/929.32023/930.272022/921.962021/927.122020/927.21
2024/1029.322023/1025.472022/1019.752021/1026.162020/1022.84
N/AN/A2023/1126.022022/1120.722021/1128.242020/1122.54
N/AN/A2023/1223.432022/1218.742021/1227.62020/1226.02
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 16.23%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)3.536.9719.66
24Q2 (19)3.310.7424.53
24Q1 (18)2.98-4.185.3
23Q4 (17)3.115.4243.32
23Q3 (16)2.9511.3252.85
23Q2 (15)2.65-6.3631.84
23Q1 (14)2.8330.4151.34
22Q4 (13)2.1712.4448.63
22Q3 (12)1.93-3.9848.46
22Q2 (11)2.017.4936.73
22Q1 (10)1.8728.0838.52
21Q4 (9)1.4612.3187.18
21Q3 (8)1.3-11.563.17
21Q2 (7)1.478.8937.38
21Q1 (6)1.3573.087.14
20Q4 (5)0.78-38.1-25.0
20Q3 (4)1.2617.760.0
20Q2 (3)1.07-15.080.0
20Q1 (2)1.2621.150.0
19Q4 (1)1.040.00.0

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