玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/113.6110.57.6135.83-8.4410.14N/A-
2024/103.270.288.2732.21-9.959.81N/A-
2024/93.26-0.48-6.3128.95-11.639.531.42-
2024/83.289.23-16.2425.69-12.269.611.41-
2024/73.0-10.06-16.4322.41-11.659.661.41-
2024/63.330.33-8.5919.41-10.869.71.33-
2024/53.329.3-12.8616.08-11.329.931.3-
2024/43.04-14.84-19.8612.75-10.9110.21.26-
2024/33.57-0.5719.049.88-6.069.881.28-
2024/23.5931.94-2.56.31-16.079.241.37-
2024/12.72-6.9-29.092.72-29.099.01.4-
2023/122.92-12.913.6942.067.639.31.47-
2023/113.3611.189.6239.137.949.861.39-
2023/103.02-13.21-18.5935.787.7810.411.32-
2023/93.48-11.034.5132.7611.110.981.32-
2023/83.918.998.2829.2811.9411.151.3-
2023/73.59-1.6214.5825.3712.5311.051.31-
2023/63.65-4.36-12.4121.7812.211.261.26-
2023/53.810.5320.2418.1318.9210.611.34-
2023/43.7926.4921.2214.3218.5810.481.36-
2023/33.0-18.56-11.6510.5217.6510.521.4-
2023/23.68-4.0439.897.5235.5910.341.42-
2023/13.8436.1531.73.8431.79.721.51-
2022/122.82-7.9314.0739.0718.029.591.54-
2022/113.06-17.4423.5936.2518.3410.11.46-
2022/103.7111.4217.6833.1917.8810.651.39-
2022/93.33-7.838.7629.4817.910.071.44-
2022/83.6115.3326.626.1519.1810.911.33-
2022/73.13-24.821.9722.5418.0710.471.39-
2022/64.1631.2934.4819.4117.4610.471.34-
2022/53.171.369.615.2413.539.71.45-
2022/43.13-7.8215.8912.0714.629.161.54-
2022/33.428.9543.328.9414.188.941.43-
2022/22.63-9.6626.215.551.548.021.6-
2022/12.9117.92-13.692.91-13.697.861.63-
2021/122.47-0.252.5133.1128.978.11.48-
2021/112.48-21.3915.930.6331.718.691.38-
2021/103.152.9758.3928.1633.329.071.33營收成長主要係零組件等產品銷售成長
2021/93.067.2827.4825.030.718.481.28-
2021/82.8511.1141.8621.9431.178.521.27-
2021/72.57-17.0930.2519.0929.718.561.26-
2021/63.17.027.1316.5229.638.691.19-
2021/52.897.1734.4913.4330.227.961.29-
2021/42.713.9926.1210.5329.097.161.44-
2021/32.3713.562.857.8330.147.831.29-
2021/22.09-38.227.065.4647.067.871.29-
2021/13.3840.0791.193.3891.197.931.28營收成長主要係客戶驗收開立發票
2020/122.4112.7720.7825.678.216.541.52-
2020/112.147.423.6423.267.056.531.53-
2020/101.99-17.110.0221.127.416.41.56-
2020/92.419.3925.2819.138.246.381.43-
2020/82.012.017.8716.736.176.421.42-
2020/71.97-19.0711.6714.725.946.561.39-
2020/62.4413.233.1812.755.116.731.31-
2020/52.150.5-11.7710.310.126.61.34-
2020/42.14-7.048.748.163.826.391.38-
2020/32.318.21-3.346.022.176.021.31-
2020/21.9510.3133.673.715.935.711.38-
2020/11.77-11.51-13.81.77-13.80.0N/A農曆春節休假影響
2019/122.0-3.22-4.1523.725.950.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/12.722023/13.842022/12.912021/13.382020/11.77
2024/23.592023/23.682022/22.632021/22.092020/21.95
2024/33.572023/33.02022/33.42021/32.372020/32.3
2024/43.042023/43.792022/43.132021/42.72020/42.14
2024/53.322023/53.812022/53.172021/52.892020/52.15
2024/63.332023/63.652022/64.162021/63.12020/62.44
2024/73.02023/73.592022/73.132021/72.572020/71.97
2024/83.282023/83.912022/83.612021/82.852020/82.01
2024/93.262023/93.482022/93.332021/93.062020/92.4
2024/103.272023/103.022022/103.712021/103.152020/101.99
2024/113.612023/113.362022/113.062021/112.482020/112.14
N/AN/A2023/122.922022/122.822021/122.472020/122.41
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 14.17%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)1.3431.3710.74
24Q2 (19)1.02-4.67-33.33
24Q1 (18)1.07-18.32-36.69
23Q4 (17)1.318.26-43.78
23Q3 (16)1.21-20.92-53.46
23Q2 (15)1.53-9.47-45.74
23Q1 (14)1.69-27.47-43.29
22Q4 (13)2.33-10.38-36.16
22Q3 (12)2.6-7.85.69
22Q2 (11)2.82-5.3740.3
22Q1 (10)2.98-18.36-11.04
21Q4 (9)3.6548.3738.26
21Q3 (8)2.4622.3912.84
21Q2 (7)2.01-40.018.24
21Q1 (6)3.3526.8975.39
20Q4 (5)2.6421.161.96
20Q3 (4)2.1828.240.0
20Q2 (3)1.7-10.990.0
20Q1 (2)1.9117.180.0
19Q4 (1)1.630.00.0

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