玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.057.14-3.50.024.590.0N/A-
2024/90.0-63.15-52.380.025.020.013.55客戶訂單減少
2024/80.0-37.29-28.830.029.180.012.72-
2024/70.024.69156.770.0214.960.012.3客戶訂單增加
2024/60.0-24.5312.50.024.750.013.95-
2024/50.065.1228.80.013.650.012.42-
2024/40.0-72.9512.710.01-1.620.013.21-
2024/30.013905.5510.750.01-4.10.013.13-
2024/20.0-91.78-88.810.0-32.090.08.26適逢農曆春節假期,出貨天數減少,客戶需求減少
2024/10.073.816.480.016.480.07.89-
2023/120.0260.0-52.980.02-73.720.014.55電商客戶訂單減少
2023/110.0-69.29-90.950.02-74.330.013.51電商客戶訂單減少
2023/100.0-22.44-75.480.02-73.590.017.58電商客戶訂單減少
2023/90.0-44.94-67.330.02-73.480.017.52電商客戶訂單減少
2023/80.0126.2710.330.02-73.820.016.66電商客戶訂單減少
2023/70.0-45.37-85.110.02-76.540.016.85電商客戶訂單減少
2023/60.0-13.6-47.820.02-75.530.016.26電商客戶訂單減少
2023/50.044.5-76.30.01-77.350.013.72電商客戶訂單減少
2023/40.0-73.42-82.230.01-77.580.014.06電商客戶訂單減少
2023/30.01304.34-62.280.01-76.520.015.0電商客戶訂單減少
2023/20.0-14.36-85.850.0-86.20.018.1電商客戶訂單減少
2023/10.0-29.85-86.480.0-86.480.015.93適逢春節假期出貨天數減少所致
2022/120.0-30.74-87.420.09-96.50.015.36受全球疫情影響導致外銷訂單量減少
2022/110.0-16.77-72.210.09-96.570.014.61受全球疫情影響導致外銷訂單量減少
2022/100.03.33-80.240.09-96.70.015.19受全球疫情影響導致外銷訂單量減少
2022/90.085.95-81.280.08-96.850.014.71受全球疫情影響導致外銷訂單量減少
2022/80.0-69.48-87.070.08-96.990.014.83受全球疫情影響導致外銷訂單量減少
2022/70.0191.54-86.610.07-97.070.023.09受全球疫情影響導致外銷訂單量減少
2022/60.0-60.75-99.090.07-97.310.024.09受全球疫情影響導致外銷訂單量減少
2022/50.018.31-97.990.06-96.920.042.66受全球疫情影響導致外銷訂單量減少
2022/40.01-43.56-97.880.05-96.540.042.61受全球疫情影響導致外銷訂單量減少
2022/30.0251.66-93.950.04-95.960.042.82受全球疫情影響導致外銷訂單量減少
2022/20.01-18.18-96.00.03-96.70.052.57受全球疫情影響導致外銷訂單量減少
2022/10.01-34.75-97.110.01-97.110.052.44受全球疫情影響導致外銷訂單量減少
2021/120.0253.05-96.462.66-49.930.062.38受全球疫情影響導致外銷訂單量減少
2021/110.01-40.82-96.972.64-43.970.062.28受全球疫情影響導致外銷訂單量減少
2021/100.02-2.12-91.692.62-38.240.072.11受全球疫情影響導致外銷訂單量減少
2021/90.0228.47-95.512.6-34.420.11.47受疫情影響客戶訂單減少
2021/80.02-68.39-96.592.58-24.870.530.28受疫情影響客戶訂單減少
2021/70.06-87.03-84.552.56-11.181.040.14訂單減少
2021/60.46-13.23-11.042.50.081.440.11-
2021/50.5314.08-8.542.042.971.270.13-
2021/40.4661.571.271.517.681.030.15-
2021/30.290.16-34.431.0510.751.050.1-
2021/20.29-40.91313.030.7748.941.370.08去年本月因受疫情影響銷售金額減少
2021/10.48-19.898.10.488.11.540.07-
2020/120.631.02-10.945.31-7.091.350.09-
2020/110.4662.17-5.234.71-6.571.280.09-
2020/100.28-47.1-17.574.25-6.711.370.09-
2020/90.54-2.439.963.97-5.821.470.15-
2020/80.5543.2215.073.43-7.891.450.15-
2020/70.38-25.3-21.692.88-11.271.470.15-
2020/60.51-10.7924.672.5-9.421.540.08-
2020/50.5826.326.171.98-15.411.470.09-
2020/40.464.6-27.471.41-21.910.960.14-
2020/30.44530.98-1.240.95-18.930.950.12-
2020/20.07-84.53-26.630.52-29.581.190.09-
2020/10.45-34.0-30.020.45-30.021.610.07-
2019/120.6839.4236.535.7242.150.0N/A-
2019/110.4941.058.35.0442.940.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.02023/10.02022/10.012021/10.482020/10.45
2024/20.02023/20.02022/20.012021/20.292020/20.07
2024/30.012023/30.012022/30.022021/30.292020/30.44
2024/40.02023/40.02022/40.012021/40.462020/40.46
2024/50.02023/50.02022/50.012021/50.532020/50.58
2024/60.02023/60.02022/60.02021/60.462020/60.51
2024/70.02023/70.02022/70.012021/70.062020/70.38
2024/80.02023/80.02022/80.02021/80.022020/80.55
2024/90.02023/90.02022/90.02021/90.022020/90.54
2024/100.02023/100.02022/100.02021/100.022020/100.28
N/AN/A2023/110.02022/110.02021/110.012020/110.46
N/AN/A2023/120.02022/120.02021/120.022020/120.6
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季
合約負債 QoQ YoY

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