玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/109.7-2.6742.8681.3922.7628.69N/A-
2024/99.9710.5934.6771.6920.4727.291.17-
2024/89.018.4826.4161.7218.4525.771.24-
2024/78.31-1.6618.5752.7117.1924.781.29-
2024/68.455.3428.7644.416.9323.931.28-
2024/58.027.5619.7535.9514.4622.891.33-
2024/47.460.688.5527.9213.0321.051.45-
2024/37.4119.819.5620.4714.7520.471.36-
2024/26.18-10.115.6913.0612.1921.411.3-
2024/16.88-17.6518.766.8818.7622.051.26-
2023/128.3522.4121.3281.489.5221.971.25-
2023/116.820.4713.4673.128.3121.021.31-
2023/106.79-8.2611.566.37.8121.331.29-
2023/97.43.8112.0959.517.421.541.3-
2023/87.131.7511.0952.16.7720.71.35-
2023/77.016.7710.5244.976.1120.271.38-
2023/66.56-2.024.2937.975.3420.131.4-
2023/56.7-2.488.7531.45.5619.761.42-
2023/46.8710.897.5424.74.7318.911.49-
2023/36.195.90.7217.843.6817.841.58-
2023/25.850.9918.3811.645.3318.531.52-
2023/15.79-15.87-5.215.79-5.2118.691.5-
2022/126.8814.480.9374.3914.2918.991.45-
2022/116.01-1.261.5967.5115.8618.711.47-
2022/106.09-7.763.0461.4917.4719.111.44-
2022/96.62.8610.1955.419.3119.361.41-
2022/86.421.2421.1648.820.6619.051.43-
2022/76.340.7423.4342.3820.5818.791.45-
2022/66.292.1715.536.0420.118.841.44-
2022/56.16-3.5713.229.7521.1218.71.45-
2022/46.393.8530.9723.5923.3817.481.56-
2022/36.1524.4738.4617.220.7817.21.55-
2022/24.94-19.135.3511.0512.7717.871.49-
2022/16.11-10.4219.576.1119.5718.851.42-
2021/126.8215.2417.8365.099.8318.651.38-
2021/115.920.1332.1158.268.9717.821.44-
2021/105.91-1.3623.4452.356.8517.21.5-
2021/95.9913.1118.5646.435.0516.431.59-
2021/85.33.1310.6340.443.3115.881.65-
2021/75.14-5.72-1.4435.142.2916.031.63-
2021/65.450.143.5330.012.9615.771.63-
2021/55.4411.557.2824.562.8314.761.74-
2021/44.889.79-6.319.121.6314.011.83-
2021/34.44-5.28-13.3114.244.6714.241.73-
2021/24.69-8.228.559.815.5415.591.58-
2021/15.11-11.7222.85.1122.815.381.6-
2020/125.7929.210.1759.267.4415.061.64-
2020/114.48-6.42-10.2753.477.1514.321.72-
2020/104.79-5.26-3.0948.999.0914.631.69-
2020/95.055.551.0144.210.5915.051.59-
2020/84.79-8.12-4.7439.1411.9715.261.56-
2020/75.21-0.9612.2434.3614.7715.551.54-
2020/65.263.7716.1829.1415.2415.541.49-
2020/55.07-2.5615.3223.8815.0315.41.5-
2020/45.21.5727.9118.8114.9514.651.58-
2020/35.1218.6118.0313.6110.6613.611.65-
2020/24.323.8131.388.486.6413.731.63-
2020/14.16-20.76-10.794.16-10.7914.411.56-
2019/125.255.17-7.0355.152.380.0N/A-
2019/114.991.06-13.9149.93.490.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/16.882023/15.792022/16.112021/15.112020/14.16
2024/26.182023/25.852022/24.942021/24.692020/24.32
2024/37.412023/36.192022/36.152021/34.442020/35.12
2024/47.462023/46.872022/46.392021/44.882020/45.2
2024/58.022023/56.72022/56.162021/55.442020/55.07
2024/68.452023/66.562022/66.292021/65.452020/65.26
2024/78.312023/77.012022/76.342021/75.142020/75.21
2024/89.012023/87.132022/86.422021/85.32020/84.79
2024/99.972023/97.42022/96.62021/95.992020/95.05
2024/109.72023/106.792022/106.092021/105.912020/104.79
N/AN/A2023/116.822022/116.012021/115.922020/114.48
N/AN/A2023/128.352022/126.882021/126.822020/125.79
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 111.75%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)10.5314.2119.12
24Q2 (19)9.2238.6513.83
24Q1 (18)6.65-1.19-7.51
23Q4 (17)6.73-23.871.97
23Q3 (16)8.849.144.99
23Q2 (15)8.112.66-1.22
23Q1 (14)7.198.94-12.74
22Q4 (13)6.6-21.62-2.65
22Q3 (12)8.422.6810.79
22Q2 (11)8.2-0.4912.02
22Q1 (10)8.2421.5312.26
21Q4 (9)6.78-10.790.0
21Q3 (8)7.63.8316.03
21Q2 (7)7.32-0.2714.91
21Q1 (6)7.348.264.71
20Q4 (5)6.783.51-16.4
20Q3 (4)6.552.830.0
20Q2 (3)6.37-9.130.0
20Q1 (2)7.01-13.560.0
19Q4 (1)8.110.00.0

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