玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1018.33-7.19-45.58226.03-18.159.18N/A-
2024/919.76-6.34-34.8207.7-14.2864.160.5-
2024/821.09-9.5-20.19187.94-11.3564.70.5-
2024/723.3114.84-0.31166.85-10.0970.130.46-
2024/620.3-23.48-16.42143.54-11.575.650.44-
2024/526.53-7.99-12.38123.24-10.6379.540.41-
2024/428.8319.238.0896.72-10.1469.980.47-
2024/324.1842.55-2.8967.88-16.1567.880.57-
2024/216.96-36.56-32.3743.7-22.0368.630.56-
2024/126.747.28-13.6626.74-13.6678.020.5-
2023/1224.93-5.42-24.66327.29-18.3284.980.45-
2023/1126.36-21.78-24.27302.36-17.7590.350.43-
2023/1033.6911.19-22.25276.01-17.0690.430.43-
2023/930.314.63-37.87242.31-16.2980.120.5-
2023/826.4313.04-36.19212.01-11.9174.10.54-
2023/723.38-3.71-25.11185.58-6.8777.940.51-
2023/624.29-19.78-14.51162.19-3.4781.240.41-
2023/530.2713.4910.2137.91-1.2381.850.41-
2023/426.677.1154.8107.63-4.0376.660.44訂單增加,營收成長。
2023/324.9-0.72-26.8280.96-14.7180.960.46-
2023/225.08-19.01-10.9456.06-7.9489.140.42-
2023/130.97-6.38-5.3630.97-5.3698.860.38-
2022/1233.08-4.93-26.54400.712.65111.230.44-
2022/1134.8-19.69-18.61367.6218.33126.920.38-
2022/1043.34-11.1423.57332.8124.23133.550.36-
2022/948.7817.7350.13289.4724.33121.430.53
2022/841.4332.6735.16240.720.15101.070.64-
2022/731.239.9112.11199.2717.4487.110.74-
2022/628.413.4125.65168.0418.4873.110.69-
2022/527.4759.4314.5139.6317.1278.730.65-
2022/417.23-49.36-27.95112.1617.7879.430.64-
2022/334.0320.8145.9194.9333.1394.930.6-
2022/228.17-13.9337.060.926.91105.940.54-
2022/132.73-27.3319.3532.7319.35120.530.47-
2021/1245.045.3223.14355.6918.96122.870.42-
2021/1142.7621.9215.57310.6518.38110.320.47-
2021/1035.077.955.24267.8918.8498.210.53-
2021/932.495.995.93232.8121.290.990.69-
2021/830.6510.0420.41200.3324.181.110.78-
2021/727.8523.1814.4169.6824.7974.460.85-
2021/622.61-5.757.35141.8227.0670.520.64-
2021/523.990.317.08119.2131.6471.230.63-
2021/423.922.548.1195.2239.7267.80.66-
2021/323.3213.438.771.354.9171.30.52訂單增加,營收成長。
2021/220.56-25.0279.8847.9895.2684.550.44訂單增加,營收成長。
2021/127.42-25.01108.6327.42108.63101.00.37訂單增加,營收成長。
2020/1236.57-1.1545.25298.9814.84106.90.36-
2020/1137.011.0222.21262.4111.58100.990.38-
2020/1033.328.664.53225.4110.0189.450.43-
2020/930.6720.48-2.5192.0811.0380.470.51-
2020/825.454.55-3.04161.4114.0370.860.58-
2020/724.3515.59-3.88135.9617.9267.810.61-
2020/621.06-5.9937.84111.6124.0765.590.42-
2020/522.411.2848.0890.5521.2565.980.41-
2020/422.123.137.0168.1514.4355.00.5-
2020/321.4687.7246.4946.036.0346.030.58-
2020/211.43-13.0427.5524.57-14.5649.750.54-
2020/113.14-47.79-33.6213.14-33.6268.60.39-
2019/1225.18-16.8328.01260.33-2.750.0N/A-
2019/1130.28-5.020.44235.15-5.190.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/126.742023/130.972022/132.732021/127.422020/113.14
2024/216.962023/225.082022/228.172021/220.562020/211.43
2024/324.182023/324.92022/334.032021/323.322020/321.46
2024/428.832023/426.672022/417.232021/423.922020/422.12
2024/526.532023/530.272022/527.472021/523.992020/522.41
2024/620.32023/624.292022/628.412021/622.612020/621.06
2024/723.312023/723.382022/731.232021/727.852020/724.35
2024/821.092023/826.432022/841.432021/830.652020/825.45
2024/919.762023/930.32022/948.782021/932.492020/930.67
2024/1018.332023/1033.692022/1043.342021/1035.072020/1033.32
N/AN/A2023/1126.362022/1134.82021/1142.762020/1137.0
N/AN/A2023/1224.932022/1233.082021/1245.042020/1236.57
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 0.31%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.1-23.080
24Q2 (19)0.13-7.140
24Q1 (18)0.1475.00
23Q4 (17)0.0800

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