玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1037.384.84-11.0371.78-3.53110.05N/A-
2024/935.65-3.7-18.78334.4-2.61110.090.3-
2024/837.02-1.06-12.49298.75-0.24110.930.3-
2024/737.422.55-9.19261.731.76112.660.29-
2024/636.49-5.85-12.18224.313.85115.020.24-
2024/538.76-2.57-5.8187.837.67118.640.23-
2024/439.78-0.811.57149.0711.83110.060.25-
2024/340.1132.921.66109.2916.11109.290.26-
2024/230.17-22.662.5669.1826.52109.670.26-
2024/139.01-3.6454.4439.0154.44118.580.24本月營收及本年累計營收均較去年同期增加,主要是因工作天數較多導致。
2023/1240.493.6-24.06464.96-32.07121.570.22-
2023/1139.08-6.94-36.31424.47-32.75124.970.22-
2023/1042.0-4.31-31.46385.39-32.37128.20.21-
2023/943.893.75-18.39343.39-32.47127.410.27-
2023/842.312.66-27.79299.5-34.14125.070.27-
2023/741.21-0.82-32.54257.19-35.08123.90.27-
2023/641.550.99-28.92215.98-35.54121.860.24-
2023/541.145.05-17.27174.43-36.94119.750.25-
2023/439.16-0.71-14.11133.29-41.25108.030.27-
2023/339.4534.09-34.4594.12-48.0894.120.4-
2023/229.4216.45-49.3554.68-54.85108.00.35本年累計營收較去年同期減少,主要是因工作天數較少導致。
2023/125.26-52.62-59.9225.26-59.92139.940.27本月營收及本年累計營收均較去年同期減少,主要是因工作天數較少導致。
2022/1253.32-13.11-20.72684.554.16175.970.25-
2022/1161.360.13-9.29631.236.99176.430.25-
2022/1061.2813.94-1.4569.869.1173.660.26-
2022/953.79-8.19-16.98508.5810.52173.470.32-
2022/858.59-4.1-7.62454.7915.03178.150.31-
2022/761.14.493.1396.219.36169.290.33-
2022/658.4617.556.05335.1122.89153.80.44-
2022/549.739.05-6.1276.6427.16155.520.43-
2022/445.6-24.22-7.78226.9137.88163.880.41-
2022/360.183.5936.04181.3157.49181.310.44本年累計營收較去年同期增加,主要是去年疫情影響,各客戶出貨減少,今年因疫情較緩和及新產品量產出貨增加所致。
2022/258.09-7.8473.6121.1270.88188.380.43本月營收及本年累計營收均較去年同期增加,主要是去年疫情影響,各客戶出貨減少,今年因疫情較緩和及新產品量產出貨增加所致。
2022/163.03-6.2868.4563.0368.45197.940.41本月營收及本年累計營收均較去年同期增加,主要是去年疫情影響,各客戶出貨減少,今年因疫情較緩和及新產品量產出貨增加所致。
2021/1267.26-0.5865.87657.258.72197.070.3本月營收及本年累計營收均較去年同期增加,主要是去年疫情影響,各客戶出貨減少,今年因疫情較緩和及新產品量產出貨增加所致。
2021/1167.658.8359.85589.9557.94194.60.3本月營收及本年累計營收均較去年同期增加,主要是去年疫情影響,各客戶出貨減少,今年因疫情較緩和及新產品量產出貨增加所致。
2021/1062.16-4.0567.92522.2957.7190.370.31本月營收及本年累計營收均較去年同期增加,主要是去年疫情影響,各客戶出貨減少,今年因疫情較緩和及新產品量產出貨增加所致。
2021/964.792.1569.66460.1356.41187.470.33本月營收及本年累計營收均較去年同期增加,主要是去年疫情影響,各客戶出貨減少,今年因疫情較緩和,各客戶出貨增加所致。
2021/863.427.0363.26395.3554.43177.810.35本月營收及本年累計營收均較去年同期增加,主要是去年疫情影響,各客戶出貨減少,今年因疫情較緩和,各客戶出貨增加所致。
2021/759.267.4856.94331.9252.86167.350.37本月營收及本年累計營收均較去年同期增加,主要是去年疫情影響,各客戶出貨減少,今年因疫情較緩和,各客戶出貨增加所致。
2021/655.134.0767.78272.6752.0157.550.33本月營收及本年累計營收均較去年同期增加,主要是去年疫情影響,各客戶出貨減少,今年因疫情較緩和,各客戶出貨增加所致。
2021/552.977.1170.01217.5448.46146.660.35本月營收較去年同期增加70.02%,主要是去年疫情影響,各客戶出貨減少,今年因疫情較緩和,各客戶出貨增加所致。
2021/449.4511.7855.05164.5742.64127.150.4本月營收較去年同期增加55.05%,主要是去年疫情影響,各客戶出貨減少,今年因疫情較緩和,各客戶出貨增加所致。
2021/344.2432.242.16115.1237.9115.120.36-
2021/233.46-10.5737.9270.8835.36111.430.37-
2021/137.42-7.7133.1537.4233.15120.290.34-
2020/1240.55-4.1933.31414.069.23119.880.27-
2020/1142.3214.3329.24373.517.13117.520.28-
2020/1037.02-3.068.49331.194.83114.050.29-
2020/938.19-1.714.52294.174.39114.790.27-
2020/838.852.8916.48255.993.03109.460.28-
2020/737.7614.917.17217.140.95101.770.3-
2020/632.865.45-4.72179.38-0.2695.910.33-
2020/531.16-2.311.01146.530.7894.170.34-
2020/431.892.496.12115.370.7287.270.37-
2020/331.1228.2512.5583.48-1.1983.480.39-
2020/224.26-13.663.6352.36-7.8782.770.39-
2020/128.1-7.6-15.9428.1-15.9491.260.35-
2019/1230.41-7.110.24379.0623.730.0N/A-
2019/1132.74-4.037.58348.6526.320.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/139.012023/125.262022/163.032021/137.422020/128.1
2024/230.172023/229.422022/258.092021/233.462020/224.26
2024/340.112023/339.452022/360.182021/344.242020/331.12
2024/439.782023/439.162022/445.62021/449.452020/431.89
2024/538.762023/541.142022/549.732021/552.972020/531.16
2024/636.492023/641.552022/658.462021/655.132020/632.86
2024/737.422023/741.212022/761.12021/759.262020/737.76
2024/837.022023/842.312022/858.592021/863.422020/838.85
2024/935.652023/943.892022/953.792021/964.792020/938.19
2024/1037.382023/1042.02022/1061.282021/1062.162020/1037.02
N/AN/A2023/1139.082022/1161.362021/1167.652020/1142.32
N/AN/A2023/1240.492022/1253.322021/1267.262020/1240.55
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 6.46%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)1.89-1.5617.39
24Q2 (19)1.923.7814.97
24Q1 (18)1.8526.7114.91
23Q4 (17)1.46-9.32-8.18
23Q3 (16)1.61-3.59-8.52
23Q2 (15)1.673.73-31.84
23Q1 (14)1.611.2629.84
22Q4 (13)1.59-9.6629.27
22Q3 (12)1.76-28.160
22Q2 (11)2.4597.580
22Q1 (10)1.240.810
21Q4 (9)1.2300

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