玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1013.17-13.46-7.94168.31-4.0646.8N/A-
2024/915.22-17.391.14155.14-3.7155.170.52-
2024/818.42-14.441.19139.92-4.2158.120.49-
2024/721.5318.47-0.12121.5-4.9857.820.49-
2024/618.170.3-7.5699.97-5.9755.380.71-
2024/518.12-5.08-10.1881.8-5.6151.10.77-
2024/419.0937.351.7863.68-4.2247.420.83-
2024/313.9-3.68-6.5744.59-6.5844.590.91-
2024/214.43-11.34.8630.7-6.5945.430.9-
2024/116.2710.42-14.8416.27-14.8445.070.9-
2023/1214.734.7-9.81204.24-4.5243.110.61-
2023/1114.07-1.63-1.95189.5-4.0943.420.6-
2023/1014.31-4.912.71175.43-4.2547.550.55-
2023/915.04-17.34-4.47161.13-4.8354.80.57-
2023/818.2-15.56-7.18146.08-4.8659.420.53-
2023/721.569.65-7.79127.88-4.5261.390.51-
2023/619.66-2.54-1.87106.32-3.8358.580.7-
2023/520.177.560.1586.66-4.2753.80.77-
2023/418.7526.06-5.966.49-5.5347.390.87-
2023/314.888.1-4.0147.74-5.3947.740.82-
2023/213.76-27.96-2.3132.86-6.049.20.79-
2023/119.116.94-8.4919.1-8.4949.790.78-
2022/1216.3413.825.42213.922.8944.610.61-
2022/1114.353.04-17.08197.592.6944.030.62-
2022/1013.93-11.56-19.36183.244.6449.290.55-
2022/915.75-19.698.42169.317.2758.740.57-
2022/819.61-16.1113.98153.567.1563.030.53-
2022/723.3816.689.04133.956.2263.560.52-
2022/620.04-0.521.05110.575.6460.110.67-
2022/520.141.06-12.4390.536.7155.570.72-
2022/419.9328.5919.0570.3913.8449.510.81-
2022/315.510.0120.7350.4611.9150.460.68-
2022/214.09-32.526.8334.968.3950.460.68-
2022/120.8834.739.4720.889.4753.680.64-
2021/1215.5-10.463.75207.96.7450.070.58-
2021/1117.310.227.97192.416.9949.10.59-
2021/1017.2718.937.8175.15.2849.00.59-
2021/914.52-15.571.9157.832.6353.170.54-
2021/817.21-19.75-14.34143.32.7158.470.49-
2021/721.448.14-7.89126.15.5864.270.44-
2021/619.83-13.87.43104.668.8459.570.52-
2021/523.037.4114.0184.839.1752.580.59-
2021/416.7430.3910.5461.837.4842.760.73-
2021/312.84-2.64-0.0545.096.3845.090.69-
2021/213.19-30.856.132.259.1847.190.66-
2021/119.0727.6911.4219.0711.4247.530.66-
2020/1214.9310.4219.43194.7611.1240.990.62-
2020/1113.527.9110.52179.8310.4940.310.63-
2020/1012.53-12.073.52166.310.4846.870.54-
2020/914.25-29.033.56153.7711.0957.620.48-
2020/820.09-13.727.42139.5211.9261.820.45-
2020/723.2826.1418.16119.439.6861.90.45-
2020/618.45-8.5314.496.157.8153.770.58-
2020/520.1733.2315.4477.76.3548.160.65-
2020/415.1417.89-6.9257.533.540.410.78-
2020/312.843.3612.9142.387.8142.380.69-
2020/212.43-27.393.4829.545.7442.040.7-
2020/117.1136.877.4517.117.4541.850.7-
2019/1212.52.1814.56175.267.230.0N/A-
2019/1112.241.0712.28162.756.710.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/116.272023/119.12022/120.882021/119.072020/117.11
2024/214.432023/213.762022/214.092021/213.192020/212.43
2024/313.92023/314.882022/315.52021/312.842020/312.84
2024/419.092023/418.752022/419.932021/416.742020/415.14
2024/518.122023/520.172022/520.142021/523.02020/520.17
2024/618.172023/619.662022/620.042021/619.832020/618.45
2024/721.532023/721.562022/723.382021/721.442020/723.28
2024/818.422023/818.22022/819.612021/817.212020/820.09
2024/915.222023/915.042022/915.752021/914.522020/914.25
2024/1013.172023/1014.312022/1013.932021/1017.272020/1012.53
N/AN/A2023/1114.072022/1114.352021/1117.312020/1113.52
N/AN/A2023/1214.732022/1216.342021/1215.52020/1214.93
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 85.2%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)8.45-26.785.1
24Q2 (19)11.5423.9514.26
24Q1 (18)9.31-0.964.14
23Q4 (17)9.416.92-6.37
23Q3 (16)8.04-20.4-7.59
23Q2 (15)10.112.98-16.39
23Q1 (14)8.94-10.96-7.26
22Q4 (13)10.0415.410.21
22Q3 (12)8.7-27.9837.66
22Q2 (11)12.0825.3151.76
22Q1 (10)9.645.8255.74
21Q4 (9)9.1144.1517.55
21Q3 (8)6.32-20.612.26
21Q2 (7)7.9628.59-1.61
21Q1 (6)6.19-20.1316.57
20Q4 (5)7.7537.6631.58
20Q3 (4)5.63-30.410.0
20Q2 (3)8.0952.350.0
20Q1 (2)5.31-9.850.0
19Q4 (1)5.890.00.0

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