玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/115.8426.3663.3142.5926.0715.02N/A新增合併個體
2024/104.621.2254.5436.7621.6613.55N/A新增合併個體
2024/94.564.4629.9132.1418.0512.460.47-
2024/84.3723.8543.6327.5716.2910.970.54-
2024/73.5314.8821.1223.212.2610.220.58-
2024/63.07-15.3213.4119.6710.819.510.74-
2024/53.6328.8916.5516.610.359.880.71-
2024/42.81-18.286.6612.988.739.190.76-
2024/33.4417.31-2.7310.169.3110.160.68-
2024/22.93-22.46-8.326.7216.7311.420.61-
2024/13.79-19.4548.113.7948.1112.060.58-
2023/124.731.4563.8238.4917.011.260.75本月合併營收增加,主因為子公司安國自112年11月合併星河半導體(股)公司,且星河公司營收成長所致。
2023/113.5819.5718.6633.7912.5310.080.84-
2023/102.99-14.915.9830.2111.849.550.88-
2023/93.5115.531.5827.2211.49.471.1-
2023/83.044.4313.1123.718.938.661.2-
2023/72.917.5712.3820.678.348.731.19-
2023/62.71-12.9798.7217.757.78.461.52本月營收差異原因係因去年同期尚未併入安國國際科技(股)公司之營收。
2023/53.1117.9629.8615.05-0.499.291.39-
2023/42.64-25.49-25.7611.93-6.219.381.37-
2023/33.5410.57-12.629.31.369.31.61-
2023/23.225.2642.655.7612.438.631.74-
2023/12.56-10.91-11.142.56-11.148.441.78-
2022/122.87-4.77-10.6132.89-4.458.461.93-
2022/113.0116.8614.3430.02-3.828.261.98-
2022/102.58-3.4513.727.01-5.57.942.06-
2022/92.67-0.71-37.0324.43-7.157.952.23-
2022/82.693.762.7221.76-1.416.642.67-
2022/72.5990.21100.0219.07-1.976.352.79營收增加係因自本月起併入安國國際科技(股)公司之營收所致。
2022/61.36-43.13-17.4816.48-9.247.311.13-
2022/52.4-32.575.4815.12-8.4210.00.83-
2022/43.55-12.294.3812.72-10.649.850.84-
2022/34.0580.539.379.17-15.369.170.74-
2022/22.24-21.97-40.025.12-28.218.330.82-
2022/12.88-10.38-15.172.88-15.178.720.78-
2021/123.2121.858.4534.43-44.688.110.75係因年底客戶新機種的導入,市場需求增加
2021/112.6316.2-42.3731.22-48.159.140.66-
2021/102.27-46.53-57.928.58-48.639.130.67本月營業收入減少原因係客戶零件短缺、疫情影響、產能受限以及新機種尚未推出等因素
2021/94.2461.99-32.1926.32-47.638.150.67-
2021/82.62102.03-62.1922.08-49.835.560.98本月營業收入減少原因係客戶零件短缺、疫情影響以及產能受限等因素
2021/71.3-21.52-75.7719.46-47.525.221.04本月營業收入減少原因係客戶零件短缺、疫情影響以及產能受限等因素
2021/61.65-27.3-66.1718.16-42.767.330.65本月營業收入減少原因係客戶零件短缺以及疫情影響加上中國手機市場庫存等因素
2021/52.27-33.27-54.9516.51-38.519.380.51本月營業收入減少原因係因客戶新舊機種轉換,存貨調節以及產能受限等因素
2021/43.4-8.1-34.8814.24-34.7110.850.44-
2021/33.7-1.0-45.1210.84-34.6510.840.32-
2021/23.7410.34-14.067.13-27.479.160.38-
2021/13.3967.4-38.123.39-38.129.990.35-
2020/122.03-55.7-67.7562.24-15.4111.980.32本月營業收入減少原因係因客戶新舊機種轉換,存貨調節以及產能受限等因素
2020/114.57-15.1-13.2160.22-10.5216.210.24-
2020/105.39-13.88-35.655.65-10.2918.560.21-
2020/96.25-9.66-26.3850.26-6.3518.530.14-
2020/86.9229.45-3.7544.01-2.5817.150.15-
2020/75.359.565.6137.08-2.3615.270.17-
2020/64.88-3.19-18.4931.73-3.5915.150.36-
2020/55.04-3.54-25.526.85-0.2717.020.32-
2020/45.23-22.55-16.0621.818.1916.330.34-
2020/36.7555.0112.6216.5819.0316.580.45-
2020/24.35-20.549.49.8323.8816.120.47-
2020/15.48-12.7538.435.4838.430.0N/A-
2019/126.2819.21121.3773.5824.520.0N/A業績成長
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/13.792023/12.562022/12.882021/13.392020/15.48
2024/22.932023/23.22022/22.242021/23.742020/24.35
2024/33.442023/33.542022/34.052021/33.72020/36.75
2024/42.812023/42.642022/43.552021/43.42020/45.23
2024/53.632023/53.112022/52.42021/52.272020/55.04
2024/63.072023/62.712022/61.362021/61.652020/64.88
2024/73.532023/72.912022/72.592021/71.32020/75.35
2024/84.372023/83.042022/82.692021/82.622020/86.92
2024/94.562023/93.512022/92.672021/94.242020/96.25
2024/104.622023/102.992022/102.582021/102.272020/105.39
2024/115.842023/113.582022/113.012021/112.632020/114.57
N/AN/A2023/124.72022/122.872021/123.212020/122.03
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 35.18%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)3.21132.61872.73
24Q2 (19)1.38-15.852200.0
24Q1 (18)1.64248.94763.16
23Q4 (17)0.4742.42327.27
23Q3 (16)0.33450.0266.67
23Q2 (15)0.06-68.420
23Q1 (14)0.1972.730
22Q4 (13)0.1122.221000.0
22Q3 (12)0.090800.0

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